Baggy-Margarine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$372

Hit rate

31.5%

Resolved

Trades

831

lifetime

Volume

$111.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$134

Open exposure

$4.06K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-09 14:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

12% 50% $-1,351

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+4,200	$3,348	90¢	$3.8K	+$453	06-09 14:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	-2,699	$-162	6¢	$-148	+$13	06-07 07:22
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	-860	$-69	10¢	$-82	$-13	05-28 10:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	-37	$52	79¢	$-30	$-81	06-08 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	72	$17.4K	30,633	33,656	-3,023	open	—	05-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	14	$8.6K	4,963	4,385	+579	open	—	05-28 22:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	29	$7.2K	9,134	9,134	+0	open	—	05-25 01:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$6.9K	6,200	2,000	+4,200	open	—	06-09 14:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	43	$6.3K	12,195	12,195	+0	open	—	05-12 23:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	33	$6.0K	7,285	7,285	+0	open	—	06-08 00:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	27	$6.0K	4,617	5,270	-653	open	—	05-29 00:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	29	$5.8K	3,727	2,797	+930	open	—	04-30 03:16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	3	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-02 07:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$3.5K	3,100	700	+2,400	open	—	05-29 22:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	40	$3.2K	2,978	3,016	-37	open	—	06-08 14:37
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$3.0K	3,924	3,924	+0	open	—	04-29 22:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$2.6K	1,337	1,337	+0	open	—	05-29 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	8	$2.5K	1,393	1,393	+0	open	—	05-02 00:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	11	$2.3K	2,181	2,181	+0	open	—	04-21 23:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	47	$2.0K	1,980	1,382	+599	open	—	04-27 05:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	10	$2.0K	1,326	1,319	+7	open	—	04-30 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	15	$1.8K	2,658	2,651	+6	open	—	04-28 06:30
btc updown 5m 1780560600	40	$1.8K	1,012	1,011	+0	open	—	06-04 08:13
deepseek v4 released by april 24	2	$1.6K	813	813	+0	open	—	04-24 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$1.4K	1,645	0	+1,645	open	—	05-02 00:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	16	$1.3K	3,564	3,471	+93	open	—	04-22 14:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-18 01:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$1.1K	540	540	+0	open	—	04-29 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$1.0K	2,243	0	+2,243	Down	$-1,013	05-05 13:55
btc updown 5m 1780561200	14	$980	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-04 08:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$894	1,016	0	+1,016	open	—	05-30 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	31	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-870	05-05 13:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	66	$846	5,701	8,400	-2,699	open	—	06-07 07:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$635	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	06-03 14:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:07:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x6a06a9…
06-08 14:37:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	49	58¢	$28	0xa1f1b7…
06-08 14:23:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xab0819…
06-08 14:11:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	332	58¢	$193	0x148068…
06-08 13:44:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	298	58¢	$173	0x9d2e9a…
06-08 09:04:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x9d5321…
06-08 09:04:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x984392…
06-08 09:04:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x4675e7…
06-08 09:04:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	278	48¢	$132	0x9ac46a…
06-08 04:55:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$12	0xa6850c…
06-08 04:33:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	197	45¢	$89	0x1b3d19…
06-08 04:30:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x842819…
06-08 03:52:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xe0c289…
06-08 03:52:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xd1774b…
06-08 03:52:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x45bd64…
06-08 03:52:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x030fb2…
06-08 03:51:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x0d0084…
06-08 03:49:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x6500dc…
06-08 03:47:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2bd09f…
06-08 03:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0x2a7117…
06-08 03:16:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x90e4d7…
06-08 03:16:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8616c2…
06-08 03:16:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x62a5f5…
06-08 03:16:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x3c14bc…
06-08 03:16:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x0e0724…
06-08 03:16:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x487213…
06-08 03:16:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x30d548…
06-08 03:16:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x24a14d…
06-08 03:05:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	269	45¢	$121	0xaeea7f…
06-08 01:05:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,000	89¢	$890	0x0b8787…
06-08 00:03:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,027	29¢	$588	0x19509f…
06-07 23:54:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,298	23¢	$299	0x17f496…
06-07 07:22:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,017	6¢	$121	0x81fc09…
06-05 14:59:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x010ad1…
06-05 14:52:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa4150b…
06-05 14:12:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x854885…
06-05 13:43:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0xd9e4ef…
06-05 12:59:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	176	6¢	$11	0x13786c…
06-05 12:58:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	46	6¢	$3	0x7e3adc…
06-05 09:50:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,298	23¢	$295	0xa7b270…
06-05 09:46:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xcd7f26…
06-05 09:46:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,985	36¢	$709	0x63f453…
06-04 18:22:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0x7bf84c…
06-04 18:01:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x3ad6e1…
06-04 16:15:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	44	6¢	$3	0x091044…
06-04 16:05:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	411	6¢	$25	0xb398a4…
06-04 15:31:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0xfd8cee…
06-04 15:01:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0x99e0f7…
06-04 14:40:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	69	6¢	$4	0xa170f1…
06-04 13:34:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0xa3b0f7…
06-04 13:33:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xc61d38…
06-04 13:33:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	750	6¢	$45	0xc7f4d1…
06-04 12:54:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x3f04ab…
06-04 12:29:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xd440b4…
06-04 12:26:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x983958…
06-04 10:13:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	180	6¢	$11	0xe8a659…
06-04 09:04:18	btc updown 5m 1780563600	Up	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0xb4b112…
06-04 08:38:21	btc updown 5m 1780562100	Down	BUY	268	38¢	$102	0xec53fa…
06-04 08:38:21	btc updown 5m 1780562100	Down	BUY	146	38¢	$55	0xe3fb04…
06-04 08:38:21	btc updown 5m 1780562100	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xdfe3c8…
06-04 08:38:21	btc updown 5m 1780562100	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x674cb5…
06-04 08:24:01	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x462340…
06-04 08:23:58	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xc102ec…
06-04 08:23:55	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x22d52d…
06-04 08:23:51	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xffad6b…
06-04 08:23:49	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6009ad…
06-04 08:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb5b28b…
06-04 08:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x332cd9…
06-04 08:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xf5aba8…
06-04 08:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0xb49af3…
06-04 08:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xa14770…
06-04 08:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x32b126…
06-04 08:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x27f44d…
06-04 08:23:46	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x053a19…
06-04 08:23:45	btc updown 5m 1780561200	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x65c471…
06-04 08:16:00	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	320	73¢	$233	0x63e628…
06-04 08:16:00	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x5a57ca…
06-04 08:16:00	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x03a494…
06-04 08:15:58	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0xa05a91…
06-04 08:15:58	btc updown 5m 1780560900	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8ffb2f…
06-04 08:13:40	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0xaa50f1…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf76579…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe9407d…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xd82766…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xce8732…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xccb6a2…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xcab90d…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0xc5dbd7…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbd591f…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7ae313…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6dfba9…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x48a8e4…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x245fbb…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2408d9…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x23ff8f…
06-04 08:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x07989a…
06-04 08:13:37	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xeb91ac…
06-04 08:13:37	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdbe53f…
06-04 08:13:37	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd07a4f…
06-04 08:13:37	btc updown 5m 1780560600	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xccd480…