Well-Groomed-Fiction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

-$223

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$90

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-27 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

71% 40% -$160

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

11% 57% -$4

Sports

5% 0% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes		+2,463	$258	4¢	$87	-$171	10-27 20:56
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+118	$55	2¢	$3	-$52	10-27 08:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	3	$258	2,463	0	+2,463	open	—	10-27 20:56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$172	563	0	+563	No	-$172	05-30 16:10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$143	1,411	676	+735	No	-$53	07-05 20:37
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$116	133	133	+0	No	+$76	07-07 17:54
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	2	$115	157	157	+0	Yes	+$5	06-29 21:57
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	2	$107	1,524	1,524	+0	No	-$93	05-27 19:23
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	4	$96	131	131	+0	Yes	+$50	07-09 21:48
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	2	$91	79	79	+0	No	+$39	06-29 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	4	$83	95	95	+0	Down	+$13	06-30 08:04
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	2	$82	77	77	+0	Under	+$2	06-30 21:50
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	3	$82	120	60	+60	Yes	+$32	07-15 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	4	$74	178	132	+46	Down	-$6	06-30 08:59
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	2	$73	103	103	+0	No	-$1	07-14 19:22
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	2	$65	167	85	+82	Yes	+$67	07-10 20:35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$65	114	0	+114	No	-$65	07-11 20:37
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	1	$64	200	0	+200	Over	-$64	06-18 19:19
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	2	$58	109	109	+0	Yes	+$8	07-01 17:43
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$55	118	0	+118	open	—	10-27 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:05 UTC	3	$51	119	119	+0	Down	-$9	07-01 08:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$50	192	0	+192	No	-$50	07-19 18:50
England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	2	$50	51	25	+26	Yes	+$26	07-15 20:35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$48	250	250	+0	open	—	10-27 20:26
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?	2	$45	114	62	+51	No	-$5	06-30 18:31
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	1	$43	135	0	+135	No	-$43	05-25 12:52
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$40	105	0	+105	Spain	-$40	07-14 19:34
Brazil leading at halftime?	2	$36	71	71	+0	No	-$4	07-05 20:37
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 first half total 0pt5	1	$35	71	0	+71	Over	-$35	07-02 19:26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	103	0	+103	Yes	+$68	06-20 21:42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	1	$35	71	0	+71	Yes	+$36	07-06 19:35
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	1	$35	71	0	+71	Under	+$36	07-14 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:56:30	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0x481a69…
10-27 20:28:08	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	362	5¢	$18	0x3a5834…
10-27 20:26:53	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x51fbd3…
10-27 08:54:00	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	118	47¢	$55	0xad76f1…
10-27 08:51:45	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	1,501	14¢	$210	0xc267f4…
10-26 18:49:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xd7254e…
07-19 20:48:27	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	63	27¢	$17	0xd7d31c…
07-19 20:40:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	45	14¢	$6	0xc98b99…
07-19 18:53:22	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x3e4e35…
07-19 18:50:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x62676f…
07-19 18:50:42	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xf0e00c…
07-19 18:50:27	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	138	8¢	$11	0x5493c9…
07-19 18:13:30	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x2cec90…
07-19 18:12:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xdea86d…
07-19 18:10:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0x14b4bd…
07-19 18:09:34	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xc39430…
07-18 21:02:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x4c8d99…
07-18 21:01:39	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0x01e4aa…
07-15 20:35:43	Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x8702e4…
07-15 20:35:20	England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5fc6db…
07-15 20:34:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0xa2cacc…
07-15 20:15:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xd50d5e…
07-15 19:58:38	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x1f7cac…
07-15 19:02:34	England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe616d6…
07-15 19:02:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	83	54¢	$45	0xa92159…
07-14 19:35:52	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0x801bf5…
07-14 19:34:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x54214f…
07-14 19:22:53	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	103	35¢	$36	0x5e32ad…
07-14 18:50:14	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	103	36¢	$37	0x152551…
07-14 18:49:17	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xb79d9f…
07-14 18:48:55	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xff809a…
07-11 20:37:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	114	57¢	$65	0xe9e1dd…
07-11 20:35:22	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x00214e…
07-10 20:58:07	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xb3f866…
07-10 20:35:41	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	85	30¢	$25	0xa19d0e…
07-10 19:55:53	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0x8b4512…
07-09 21:48:43	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	131	56¢	$73	0xcf0cf0…
07-09 20:31:47	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xfc1c7b…
07-09 20:26:53	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x431c91…
07-09 20:25:29	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xdcb9f1…
07-07 17:54:20	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	133	72¢	$96	0xf7c575…
07-07 17:35:08	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x5d5df1…
07-06 19:35:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0xc29067…
07-06 19:10:28	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x44ccaf…
07-05 20:37:49	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	735	7¢	$50	0xde0ee9…
07-05 20:37:16	Brazil leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0xe388ca…
07-05 20:36:31	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	676	7¢	$45	0x62ee0e…
07-05 20:33:04	Brazil leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xc06e05…
07-05 19:54:05	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	676	7¢	$48	0x9520c4…
07-02 20:33:55	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x656c26…
07-02 19:26:53	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x275c6d…
07-02 06:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x62812c…
07-02 06:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x910d87…
07-01 17:43:20	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	109	30¢	$33	0x6bfe64…
07-01 17:16:04	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x9a748a…
07-01 08:08:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	119	18¢	$21	0x3b1ab7…
07-01 08:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbb0629…
07-01 08:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x7decbb…
07-01 08:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	77	15¢	$12	0x3976d9…
07-01 08:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x9887e7…
06-30 21:50:41	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	77	55¢	$42	0x13ce95…
06-30 21:26:40	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x6ca9f7…
06-30 18:31:02	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0x57e195…
06-30 18:12:37	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x0f7de7…
06-30 08:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x22ebd8…
06-30 08:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	132	26¢	$34	0xc5f0db…
06-30 08:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4cf9f2…
06-30 08:55:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0x0f1d83…
06-30 08:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	47	28¢	$13	0xb6b249…
06-30 08:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xebb955…
06-30 08:28:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	111	21¢	$23	0x1d2c41…
06-30 08:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x9a4943…
06-30 08:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x218dda…
06-30 08:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	95	50¢	$48	0xdb800e…
06-30 08:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0d094d…
06-30 08:03:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xed0723…
06-30 08:03:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x54ca5b…
06-29 21:57:26	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	157	38¢	$60	0x410e39…
06-29 21:40:25	Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	157	35¢	$55	0xd13a86…
06-29 18:53:35	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	79	82¢	$65	0xddb90e…
06-29 18:07:17	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0xec5299…
06-28 20:48:16	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc3f3f6…
06-27 20:38:20	Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x78794f…
06-23 17:19:28	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xb1786d…
06-20 21:42:58	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x630cb4…
06-18 19:19:55	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x24b099…
05-30 16:10:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0xdceecf…
05-30 15:57:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x926eeb…
05-27 19:23:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,524	0¢	$7	0xc35b2b…
05-25 12:52:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	135	32¢	$43	0x435788…
05-25 12:47:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,524	7¢	$100	0xa5509c…