Afraid-Impulse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$528

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-29 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

36% — —

Politics

24% 100% +$1

Crypto

18% 100% +$0

Tech

12% — —

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	06-27 16:45
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	1	$48	49	+49	open	—	06-26 04:50
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$33	34	+34	open	—	05-16 14:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-15 05:09
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$31	32	+32	open	—	05-14 18:43
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$31	31	+31	Yes	+$1	05-09 10:09
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$30	31	+31	open	—	05-25 20:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$29	31	+31	open	—	05-19 09:18
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	06-28 11:06
tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	2	$11	11	+11	open	—	01-20 18:42
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-26 05:51
will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	06-29 22:12
will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	06-28 22:59
will openai have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-07 20:05
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	06-28 23:15
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$0	04-14 00:30
will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-24 13:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-17 05:02
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-11 08:27
will xrp dip to 1 in march 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	03-31 08:43
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	02-20 17:53
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-16 17:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-09 08:18
si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-10 06:46
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-24 19:12
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-16 18:55
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-13 22:06
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-05 13:18
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	2	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-11 11:43
meta above 780 on january 30 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	01-11 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 22:12:01	will wti reach 90 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf9774…
06-29 06:21:08	will nvda dip to 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4df7ab…
06-28 23:15:34	will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x670e71…
06-28 22:59:29	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd8ed09…
06-28 11:06:14	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xac13f8…
06-27 16:45:56	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7aa175…
06-26 04:50:32	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0xf59f47…
05-27 00:58:24	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6531c8…
05-25 20:03:23	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xb1c96a…
05-19 09:18:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0x1408a1…
05-17 05:02:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cd05a…
05-16 14:38:42	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x55fe9b…
05-15 05:09:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xc1fbe6…
05-14 18:43:19	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xb38403…
05-09 10:09:22	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xea865d…
05-09 08:18:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xea6078…
05-08 00:19:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc12a39…
05-08 00:00:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x992ac1…
04-24 19:12:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x98d8dc…
04-16 18:55:28	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x212ffd…
04-16 17:08:22	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0ca4cb…
04-14 02:50:37	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdcccda…
04-14 00:30:25	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xc8ebd4…
04-13 22:06:17	Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe9ce98…
04-13 09:29:27	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb379b5…
04-11 23:12:19	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1fc367…
04-11 13:43:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x08aa66…
04-11 11:43:47	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1bbb43…
04-11 08:27:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5f564b…
04-11 08:09:27	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2fe8b6…
04-11 07:50:53	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x392131…
04-10 15:00:17	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd9f2fc…
04-10 10:03:47	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x799bc7…
04-10 07:17:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x08d19e…
04-08 12:47:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x54fc2f…
04-06 23:29:39	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ca8e5…
04-06 14:13:23	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x647d6d…
04-06 06:50:15	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3eee1d…
04-05 13:18:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc8b907…
03-31 08:43:15	will xrp dip to 1 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1cc6e…
03-30 06:25:20	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd62df2…
03-29 18:41:20	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b1bfe…
03-29 18:11:38	will bnb reach 700 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ac7df…
03-29 04:01:50	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x324e71…
03-28 21:51:26	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x65a491…
03-27 03:20:21	msft above 420 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb70a56…
03-26 12:40:31	will xrp reach 2pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd324a0…
03-26 06:02:57	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd06b23…
03-24 23:14:11	will bnb dip to 400 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2e4d73…
03-24 20:56:19	nvda above 220 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc80a57…
03-24 19:27:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x0ad375…
03-24 13:55:31	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x155552…
03-24 04:58:27	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99da9f…
03-22 16:06:29	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf616f2…
03-22 00:59:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdd1384…
03-11 19:20:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa513d0…
03-10 19:59:01	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdbfd06…
03-10 03:39:15	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf9ea06…
03-09 20:20:07	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x6105e6…
03-08 01:08:59	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x030310…
03-06 04:47:43	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdfe5e4…
03-06 03:21:15	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa555bb…
03-06 03:07:51	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb07243…
03-06 00:05:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c0695…
03-05 17:51:49	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a41a9…
03-05 14:29:35	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd0cc61…
03-05 08:59:37	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89bc6c…
03-04 12:09:39	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x370d2d…
03-03 23:37:39	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2299fa…
03-03 22:02:51	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7aa4b…
03-03 21:53:05	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c9381…
02-24 13:18:42	will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83bf00…
02-24 08:51:08	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x856b74…
02-24 08:06:36	meta above 800 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ec6b1…
02-24 06:19:14	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf4bea…
02-23 06:42:42	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0705c5…
02-23 06:34:58	amzn above 260 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef00f2…
02-21 21:00:40	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x408e78…
02-21 18:47:28	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x86ea29…
02-21 08:26:32	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7917a8…
02-21 08:18:10	will meituan have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa526e9…
02-21 08:01:28	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbe058d…
02-20 17:53:18	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xc4eeb4…
02-10 00:55:45	nvda above 130 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9a3111…
02-04 18:52:45	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80cb2d…
01-26 05:51:18	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x0c276b…
01-23 16:04:30	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbadd77…
01-22 11:11:28	msft above 555 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5429f…
01-21 04:36:08	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x84c58c…
01-20 18:42:20	tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x25e447…
01-15 07:09:38	will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x85209f…
01-13 08:10:31	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4023dd…
01-12 15:06:16	si above 120 jan 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xf219be…
01-11 11:07:22	meta above 780 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x00bb10…
01-10 06:46:52	si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfed767…
01-09 10:50:34	tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x01edf6…
01-07 20:05:37	will openai have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6ae0dc…