Cultivated-Bull — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$193

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 11-04 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% -$44

Other

37% 40% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+362	$13	3¢	$11	-$2	11-04 16:37
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+25	$5	24¢	$6	+$1	11-02 22:46
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	No	+11	$5	34¢	$4	-$1	11-02 22:44
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	-100	-$5	4¢	$-4	+$1	09-17 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-18	-$3	11¢	$-2	+$1	06-03 20:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	3	$25	3,499	0	+3,499	No	-$25	04-23 12:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	04-23 12:13
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$22	1,541	0	+1,541	No	-$22	06-03 20:20
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$19	13	20	-7	Yes	-$8	11-02 22:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	04-06 22:20
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$13	362	0	+362	open	—	11-04 16:37
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$10	0	20	-20	cancelled	+$0	06-03 20:19
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	03-31 16:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	11-02 22:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	11-02 22:42
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 total 2pt5	1	$5	10	0	+10	Under	-$5	03-31 16:24
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	11-02 22:44
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-11-08?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	11-02 22:47
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	11-02 22:46
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 btts	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	03-31 16:24
Iran Nuke before 2027?	1	$5	0	100	-100	open	—	09-17 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$3	0	18	-18	open	—	06-03 20:19
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	09-17 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:37:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x92fc9a…
11-02 22:47:36	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ea16e…
11-02 22:46:52	Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc1149b…
11-02 22:45:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x62b96a…
11-02 22:44:30	Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc93f79…
11-02 22:42:37	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8ebe7f…
11-02 22:42:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa86ddb…
09-17 15:20:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x7be076…
09-17 15:20:13	Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6d9ab9…
09-17 15:18:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x8e1945…
06-03 20:20:51	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	626	1¢	$9	0xbff5cd…
06-03 20:20:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x00fdc8…
06-03 20:20:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	914	1¢	$13	0x7f1b99…
06-03 20:19:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0xc11efa…
06-03 20:19:42	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x509d03…
04-23 12:32:10	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,064	0¢	$10	0x5e2f7a…
04-23 12:15:38	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xf8436f…
04-23 12:13:54	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x2fa845…
04-07 21:47:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xa5fe41…
04-06 22:20:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd77b34…
04-02 19:15:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x403be3…
04-01 22:30:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x25e45b…
03-31 16:24:17	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35aaab…
03-31 16:24:13	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdf7b9e…
03-31 16:24:07	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 btts	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x435e26…