False-Fill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$53.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$343

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-02 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

67% 88% $-1,600

Other

18% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	2	$7.2K	6,467	6,467	+0	Knicks	$-4,784	05-09 01:35
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$4.6K	2,486	2,486	+0	Knicks	+$251	05-05 01:41
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	2	$4.5K	2,490	2,490	+0	Timberwolves	+$468	05-05 04:37
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	1	$4.0K	5,399	0	+5,399	76ers	+$1,403	05-06 23:59
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	2	$3.8K	2,072	2,072	+0	open	—	05-03 02:05
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$3.3K	4,026	0	+4,026	Pistons	+$765	05-06 00:10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2.2K	1,252	1,244	+8	open	—	04-25 16:10
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$2.1K	1,161	1,161	+0	open	—	05-01 02:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	4	$2.0K	1,173	1,160	+12	open	—	04-24 15:55
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	2	$1.4K	795	785	+10	open	—	04-21 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$1.2K	1,424	0	+1,424	open	—	04-26 16:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1.0K	991	991	+0	open	—	05-14 19:36
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	2	$897	504	501	+3	open	—	04-28 05:18
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	3	$829	482	482	+0	Cavaliers	+$135	05-12 02:34
btc updown 5m 1776734700	2	$819	638	608	+30	open	—	04-21 01:30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$791	497	492	+5	open	—	04-27 20:49
btc updown 5m 1777004400	1	$789	880	0	+880	open	—	04-24 04:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$639	346	343	+2	open	—	04-27 15:38
ufc kyl1 ter1 2026 03 28	3	$588	359	359	+0	open	—	03-29 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$543	780	0	+780	open	—	04-28 05:32
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$542	298	297	+2	open	—	04-27 06:12
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	2	$510	289	286	+2	open	—	04-20 13:11
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	2	$489	329	327	+2	open	—	04-21 01:15
wta sabalen gauff 2026 03 28	2	$453	239	239	+0	open	—	03-28 21:47
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	3	$450	275	273	+2	open	—	04-19 17:23
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$411	251	248	+3	open	—	04-26 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$400	577	0	+577	open	—	05-14 20:07
ufc mar12 tfortu 2026 03 28	2	$376	270	261	+10	open	—	03-28 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$317	269	264	+5	open	—	04-26 19:11
ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	1	$308	481	0	+481	open	—	03-29 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 15:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x6ac8d4…
05-26 23:43:15	Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x4ad4bd…
05-25 01:53:29	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	672	0¢	$1	0x4b9f73…
05-23 04:49:14	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	672	14¢	$95	0xc7016d…
05-17 01:43:56	UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Modestas Bukauskas	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0xa5b08b…
05-17 00:57:49	UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Modestas Bukauskas	BUY	175	74¢	$129	0xf9ad64…
05-16 23:55:36	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	SELL	129	97¢	$125	0x13c2e2…
05-16 23:41:57	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0x23602d…
05-16 23:25:04	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x060741…
05-16 22:45:54	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x9dacae…
05-16 22:32:57	UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	Andre Petroski	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xaa3d43…
05-16 21:31:31	UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xb058ea…
05-16 21:07:38	UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0x9ea03f…
05-14 22:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	127	51¢	$65	0xf69b73…
05-14 20:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xc5eb64…
05-14 20:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	456	66¢	$300	0xb5602b…
05-14 20:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	146	99¢	$144	0xc3fa27…
05-14 20:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0xd5eb65…
05-14 19:36:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	991	46¢	$459	0x679439…
05-14 18:31:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	991	55¢	$542	0x1de32c…
05-12 02:34:15	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2e8049…
05-12 02:31:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	482	100¢	$482	0xf308be…
05-12 00:24:20	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	482	72¢	$347	0xecd68c…
05-11 02:10:54	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	351	61¢	$213	0x029b19…
05-09 01:35:59	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	SELL	6,467	19¢	$1,216	0x826423…
05-08 23:27:49	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	6,467	93¢	$6,000	0xfda5a2…
05-07 23:15:01	1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)	Pistons	BUY	95	73¢	$70	0xc35fd3…
05-06 23:59:39	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	5,399	74¢	$3,996	0x258711…
05-06 00:10:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	4,026	81¢	$3,261	0x78614f…
05-05 04:37:00	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	2,490	100¢	$2,488	0xa65cb5…
05-05 03:07:14	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	2,490	81¢	$2,020	0x2cdf9d…
05-05 01:41:30	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	2,486	97¢	$2,414	0x9120ed…
05-05 01:06:30	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2,486	87¢	$2,163	0xecc196…
05-04 02:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x8fc0ea…
05-04 01:40:16	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	SELL	110	17¢	$19	0x9a8d70…
05-04 00:44:16	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0x325468…
05-03 02:05:30	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	SELL	2,072	100¢	$2,070	0xafe98a…
05-02 23:54:28	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	2,072	82¢	$1,700	0x7efc6e…
05-01 02:05:22	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	1,161	99¢	$1,149	0x1727f5…
05-01 01:41:30	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,161	84¢	$976	0x121b27…
04-28 05:32:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	780	70¢	$543	0xd1b663…
04-28 05:18:22	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Nuggets	SELL	501	99¢	$496	0xc44b93…
04-28 04:10:14	Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)	Nuggets	BUY	504	79¢	$400	0x257e83…
04-27 20:49:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	492	91¢	$448	0x4490f2…
04-27 19:30:46	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	497	69¢	$343	0x46108d…
04-27 15:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	343	100¢	$343	0x95e009…
04-27 15:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	346	86¢	$296	0x7af949…
04-27 06:12:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x124cdd…
04-27 03:07:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	298	82¢	$245	0x547494…
04-26 21:59:54	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	SELL	248	99¢	$246	0x76283c…
04-26 21:37:42	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	251	66¢	$165	0x7afebe…
04-26 19:12:38	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	167	67¢	$112	0x7759ec…
04-26 19:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	264	44¢	$117	0xc0502a…
04-26 19:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	269	74¢	$200	0x245e45…
04-26 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,228	87¢	$1,068	0x76c894…
04-26 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	196	89¢	$175	0x114470…
04-25 16:10:08	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	1,244	100¢	$1,243	0x33cad7…
04-25 15:21:34	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	1,252	80¢	$1,001	0x3c8c47…
04-24 15:55:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0xbe077e…
04-24 15:44:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	1,083	81¢	$874	0x275a87…
04-24 12:59:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	SELL	88	59¢	$52	0x59e60a…
04-24 12:08:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	No	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0x3d289a…
04-24 04:21:54	btc updown 5m 1777004400	Up	BUY	880	90¢	$789	0x3a221e…
04-24 00:26:38	btc updown 5m 1776990300	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x9c09b0…
04-21 15:17:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	SELL	785	100¢	$784	0x307759…
04-21 11:44:58	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	No	BUY	795	76¢	$601	0x094b33…
04-21 01:30:24	btc updown 5m 1776734700	Up	SELL	608	99¢	$602	0x2bf4c4…
04-21 01:29:30	btc updown 5m 1776734700	Up	BUY	638	34¢	$217	0x1a55fc…
04-21 01:15:50	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	SELL	327	67¢	$219	0x73d95f…
04-21 00:49:14	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Knicks	BUY	329	82¢	$270	0x028899…
04-20 13:11:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	SELL	286	94¢	$270	0xfc1520…
04-20 05:43:08	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	Yes	BUY	289	83¢	$240	0x05bd03…
04-19 17:23:08	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x8fa006…
04-19 17:21:20	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	SELL	273	88¢	$240	0x614547…
04-19 17:00:32	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	Yes	BUY	275	76¢	$209	0x1c48f7…
04-19 01:59:02	ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	Charles Jourdain	BUY	211	78¢	$164	0x7d2b8c…
04-19 01:10:38	ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	Jasmine Jasudavicius	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0x627036…
04-19 00:59:26	ufc kar5 jas3 2026 04 18	Jasmine Jasudavicius	BUY	167	69¢	$116	0x068a73…
04-18 19:33:06	btc updown 5m 1776540600	Down	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x63f3c9…
04-18 19:11:12	btc updown 5m 1776539100	Up	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x3287a1…
04-18 19:08:46	btc updown 5m 1776539100	Up	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0x53cdfa…
04-18 19:06:22	btc updown 5m 1776538800	Up	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x56dc32…
04-18 19:02:20	btc updown 5m 1776538800	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x199846…
04-18 18:59:12	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Knicks	SELL	149	68¢	$101	0x3d8a09…
04-18 16:42:54	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	Knicks	BUY	150	69¢	$104	0x65acfb…
04-17 18:10:28	btc updown 5m 1776449100	Down	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x59ee88…
04-17 18:09:06	btc updown 5m 1776449100	Down	BUY	106	81¢	$86	0xc2a1f0…
04-16 04:39:20	mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x5606f3…
04-16 02:02:28	mlb nym lad 2026 04 15	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	87	63¢	$55	0x0abaa2…
04-15 14:34:54	btc updown 5m 1776263400	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x5c78d8…
04-15 14:30:40	btc updown 5m 1776263400	Down	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0x6aba99…
03-29 18:21:18	btc updown 5m 1774808400	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xe14c5f…
03-29 07:23:14	btc updown 5m 1774768800	Down	BUY	217	65¢	$142	0xf226d1…
03-29 06:59:34	btc updown 5m 1774767300	Down	BUY	142	93¢	$132	0xe9b95c…
03-29 03:31:16	btc updown 5m 1774754700	Down	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0xd47fe3…
03-29 03:29:20	btc updown 5m 1774754700	Down	BUY	133	86¢	$114	0xc692c7…
03-29 02:29:14	btc updown 5m 1774751100	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$99	0xc094d9…
03-29 02:16:06	btc updown 5m 1774750500	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x1e8e86…
03-29 01:59:28	ufc ale17 may 2026 03 28	Maycee Barber	BUY	481	64¢	$308	0xfa5144…
03-29 00:22:02	ufc kyl1 ter1 2026 03 28	Terrance McKinney	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x754754…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	57	$30.4K	3,142	06-02 15:39
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	54	$38.5K	666	06-02 15:38
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	47	$180.9K	957	05-24 22:53
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	45	$17.1K	1,933	06-02 15:39
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	43	$44.6K	9,687	06-02 15:39
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	42	$24.7K	1,947	05-14 22:59
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	42	$12.0K	905	06-02 15:38
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	42	$9.39K	881	06-02 15:39