Cautious-Feng — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

555

Trades

1,730

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-27 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

99% 54% +$29

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Tech

0% 50% -$2

Sports

0% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Yes		+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-24 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	19	$59	77	0	+77	No	+$18	08-18 14:48
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	15	$42	107	107	+0	No	+$23	08-19 18:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	5	$42	54	54	+0	Yes	+$14	07-27 18:46
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$41	70	0	+70	Over	+$29	07-06 22:47
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	3	$34	62	0	+62	No	-$34	07-05 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-14 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	4	$30	37	37	+0	Yes	+$10	06-29 20:06
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$30	56	0	+56	Under	-$30	07-06 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	16	$29	96	96	+0	No	-$2	08-19 18:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	9	$27	34	34	+0	No	+$13	10-01 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	3	$27	28	0	+28	No	+$1	10-15 20:17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	16	$27	115	115	+0	No	+$18	08-19 18:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	6	$26	28	0	+28	No	+$2	08-12 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	17	$24	85	5	+80	No	-$18	10-20 14:27
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	5	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	08-18 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	9	$24	70	70	+0	Yes	+$11	10-20 09:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$23	42	42	+0	Yes	+$3	06-08 02:19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	8	$22	61	61	+0	No	+$9	10-21 23:36
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	5	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-11 03:41
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	7	$22	57	57	+0	Yes	+$9	10-21 23:36
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	4	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$1	08-30 17:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	20	$20	97	97	+0	No	-$17	08-19 18:17
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	1	$20	25	0	+25	Over	+$5	07-02 21:20
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	1	$20	29	0	+29	Over	+$9	07-07 16:12
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$20	48	0	+48	No	-$20	05-26 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	3	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-14 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	10-22 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	3	$20	35	35	+0	No	+$12	07-09 08:18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	09-08 10:49
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$19	21	0	+21	No	+$2	08-18 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa655c5…
10-27 15:57:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf35888…
10-27 15:55:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc29a7…
10-27 15:53:02	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6651a2…
10-27 15:51:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7defab…
10-26 19:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x98551f…
10-26 17:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x94dcfd…
10-26 17:05:56	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x83962f…
10-26 10:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xdc5537…
10-26 05:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x802438…
10-26 03:53:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2dffa9…
10-25 17:50:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x69ebb8…
10-25 17:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x29e706…
10-25 17:48:41	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x7c25e9…
10-25 14:41:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcf6647…
10-25 14:13:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5b537c…
10-25 14:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x904369…
10-25 12:02:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbe0eb2…
10-25 06:10:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6814da…
10-24 20:04:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0xa9fa69…
10-24 20:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc5820e…
10-24 14:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9db66…
10-24 14:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc0d34b…
10-24 13:34:09	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2dbe25…
10-24 13:34:03	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfcd5c1…
10-24 13:33:47	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x21c4da…
10-24 13:33:41	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x479127…
10-24 12:51:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa9cf7f…
10-24 12:51:11	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x880926…
10-24 12:49:44	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbc2cc3…
10-24 12:49:26	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1ad13a…
10-23 22:37:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0d73af…
10-23 17:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x22428c…
10-23 17:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xae6f66…
10-23 17:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfc3c41…
10-23 17:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3becb7…
10-23 17:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x0536be…
10-22 16:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa86773…
10-22 16:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1c3e27…
10-22 16:29:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5bf3af…
10-22 16:29:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x8ec036…
10-22 16:28:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x6f7eb4…
10-22 16:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5f31e2…
10-22 16:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa45495…
10-22 16:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x751229…
10-22 13:49:45	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcf2888…
10-22 13:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x399328…
10-22 13:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x05eafc…
10-22 13:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd41802…
10-22 13:44:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x825ed3…
10-22 13:44:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7e0f9c…
10-22 13:41:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3626f5…
10-22 13:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbed7cf…
10-22 13:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x51c4d4…
10-22 13:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcd83cc…
10-22 13:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x598277…
10-22 13:41:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf35b9f…
10-22 13:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x13f3a5…
10-22 13:40:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf4d49b…
10-22 13:40:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfbfcb6…
10-22 13:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x671a4f…
10-22 13:40:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaeadba…
10-22 13:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9e6509…
10-22 13:40:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcc60ff…
10-22 13:40:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa19d2f…
10-22 13:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a434a…
10-22 13:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaab0b8…
10-22 13:40:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3f754c…
10-22 13:40:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6a75b6…
10-22 13:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x672bb4…
10-22 13:40:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa6938e…
10-22 00:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x09b5f8…
10-22 00:02:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x252fa3…
10-22 00:02:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x119924…
10-22 00:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b858e…
10-22 00:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3786a…
10-22 00:02:33	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb27ff7…
10-22 00:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a97f4…
10-22 00:00:11	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 975m and 980m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x5e6b25…
10-21 23:59:23	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f2fdb…
10-21 23:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x161ae8…
10-21 23:37:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x20c5e6…
10-21 23:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5a2fd…
10-21 23:36:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x8e6717…
10-21 23:36:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0xd424a0…
10-21 23:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	27¢	$15	0x762ca0…
10-21 23:36:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0xcc9601…
10-21 23:36:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0x9508be…
10-21 23:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x82afd2…
10-21 17:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x82b6a6…
10-21 17:56:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x91e039…
10-21 17:55:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x25e13f…
10-21 17:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x36543a…
10-21 17:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7ad4e1…
10-21 17:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x620c8e…
10-21 16:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x25d275…
10-21 16:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb63bb5…
10-21 16:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc9dac2…
10-21 16:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd5f75c…
10-21 15:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x49b238…