Simplistic-Crisp — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

33 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$50

$50 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-04 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-04 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-05 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x01eb9b…
05-06 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43fbb2…
05-06 01:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x956c69…
05-06 01:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xbf1715…
05-05 18:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1b688…
05-05 18:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xa45ba6…
05-05 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9edb9e…
05-05 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xffa22f…
05-05 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x15ea38…
05-05 09:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa72bda…
05-05 09:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0bc540…
05-05 09:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x35d56e…
05-05 08:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x20c5d0…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x684f5c…
05-05 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x37b2ab…
05-05 08:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x7a4b59…
05-05 08:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc5ec6f…
05-05 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x016912…
05-05 08:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4f1819…
05-05 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf9eac7…
05-05 08:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x5f4620…
05-05 08:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x81436e…
05-05 08:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x5d7fa1…
05-05 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xfe8869…
05-05 07:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7dc733…
05-05 07:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9dc631…
05-05 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x48b227…
05-05 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdc5679…
05-05 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5780c4…
05-05 07:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xdeccab…
05-05 05:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xaee032…
05-04 23:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7fd3ce…
05-04 20:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1ba587…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	32	$4.87K	180	05-06 01:59
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	29	$2.03K	107	05-06 01:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	29	$1.88K	99	05-06 01:58
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	26	$1.82K	172	05-06 01:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	26	$1.49K	143	05-06 01:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$6.32K	164	05-06 01:59
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	25	$3.05K	75	05-06 01:59
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	23	$1.74K	55	05-06 01:59