Robust-Panda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$499

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$173

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-28 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% -$501

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Other

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	14	$10.9K	8,759	2,120	+6,639	Yes	+$15	01-06 04:00
bitcoin above 90k on january 6	7	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$1	01-06 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 07:00 UTC	2	$156	206	0	+206	Down	+$50	01-06 07:06
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	7	$120	200	0	+200	Up	-$120	01-06 11:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:45 UTC	1	$90	200	0	+200	Down	+$110	01-06 04:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	6	$90	200	0	+200	Down	-$90	01-06 05:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	3	$86	200	0	+200	Down	-$86	01-06 05:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:00 UTC	1	$86	200	0	+200	Up	-$86	01-06 05:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	7	$86	200	0	+200	Down	-$86	01-06 06:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	5	$86	200	0	+200	Up	+$114	01-06 06:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:30 UTC	3	$80	200	0	+200	Up	-$80	01-06 04:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:15 UTC	1	$80	200	0	+200	Up	-$80	01-06 04:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:00 UTC	1	$80	200	0	+200	Down	-$80	01-06 12:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:30 UTC	1	$80	200	0	+200	Down	-$80	01-06 12:31
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:15 UTC	1	$80	200	0	+200	Down	+$120	01-06 12:17
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:45 UTC	2	$80	200	0	+200	Up	-$80	01-06 12:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:30 UTC	1	$43	100	0	+100	Up	-$43	01-06 06:30
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-08 07:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-11 12:27
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-21 00:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	05-19 04:36
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-11 12:27
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	03-21 00:02
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-19 04:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	02-08 07:33
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-10 00:47
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	09-28 00:59
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	08-14 05:00
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-20 00:06
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-10 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 00:59:18	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1431dd…
08-14 05:00:15	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6396ab…
07-20 00:06:09	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3fbb6c…
06-10 00:49:12	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x345eef…
06-10 00:48:18	Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84d834…
06-10 00:47:46	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdddf95…
05-19 04:37:02	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xceb034…
05-19 04:36:24	Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1391d9…
05-19 04:36:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x479ee2…
04-11 12:28:17	highest temperature in atlanta on april 12 2026 73forbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdd8b4…
04-11 12:27:35	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x39db61…
04-11 12:27:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x225562…
03-21 00:02:51	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31d0b5…
03-21 00:02:39	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfe84d6…
03-21 00:02:15	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7b977a…
02-08 07:33:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x356c17…
02-08 07:33:31	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x22f38c…
02-08 07:33:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b55ff…
01-06 14:09:41	nvda above 160 on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f44c8…
01-06 13:07:17	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x952f5a…
01-06 13:06:35	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x7aa7db…
01-06 13:04:33	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x24076a…
01-06 12:58:23	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x76d166…
01-06 12:53:55	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	SELL	566	100¢	$564	0x2c5363…
01-06 12:47:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xb715b4…
01-06 12:47:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	145	40¢	$58	0x72f99e…
01-06 12:31:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x557e2f…
01-06 12:17:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x64b106…
01-06 12:00:23	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x551b4f…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbe5584…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9aa78d…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x908fc9…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x7f7895…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x4e1b2c…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x306ccf…
01-06 11:49:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x26a174…
01-06 07:06:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6037fc…
01-06 07:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	196	75¢	$147	0x479253…
01-06 06:40:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	123	43¢	$53	0x52e7ac…
01-06 06:40:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xafe220…
01-06 06:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x90b9aa…
01-06 06:40:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5b01a2…
01-06 06:40:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x19c487…
01-06 06:39:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x3d93f8…
01-06 06:39:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xb283e4…
01-06 06:30:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xfec2c1…
01-06 06:15:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xdbe7a3…
01-06 06:15:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xdbc815…
01-06 06:15:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0xd394b2…
01-06 06:15:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x7f7c6c…
01-06 06:15:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xf34d74…
01-06 05:57:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x9a466e…
01-06 05:16:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x9795a1…
01-06 05:16:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	134	43¢	$58	0x36a977…
01-06 05:16:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xf5d7c6…
01-06 05:01:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x6323ad…
01-06 05:01:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x329a98…
01-06 05:01:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x3cb1fc…
01-06 05:00:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x241430…
01-06 05:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	86	45¢	$39	0xba9980…
01-06 05:00:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x26e6ca…
01-06 04:48:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xbc24ea…
01-06 04:36:07	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xff8960…
01-06 04:32:57	bitcoin above 90k on january 6	Yes	BUY	935	100¢	$931	0x526c66…
01-06 04:32:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa08bd0…
01-06 04:32:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x149b3c…
01-06 04:32:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x8e0bc4…
01-06 04:15:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x314aaf…
01-06 04:00:13	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	SELL	2,120	100¢	$2,118	0x058598…
01-06 03:11:19	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x48ff9e…
01-06 03:06:19	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x133b00…
01-06 02:46:13	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x5ea781…
01-06 02:43:01	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xc82e09…
01-06 02:42:09	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x256a79…
01-06 02:42:07	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x3a9697…
01-06 02:37:19	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,148	0x2495e6…
01-06 02:34:35	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x86b1f1…
01-06 02:32:35	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x044949…
01-06 02:22:23	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x3da3d4…
01-06 02:17:21	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	1,643	100¢	$1,640	0xb4ba9d…
01-06 02:14:57	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	755	100¢	$753	0x44f1a7…
01-06 02:10:19	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	418	100¢	$417	0x9b8d62…