Focused-Hearthside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-01

last 09-22 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

92% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 33% -$1

Other

3% 71% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA VI released by November 30?	No		+14	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	09-22 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	-0	open	—	06-05 14:39
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$1	08-17 20:29
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$101	102	0	+102	No	+$1	08-17 20:28
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	07-31 13:12
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-22 17:43
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-22 17:44
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	-$3	06-01 08:56
atp fery minaur 2026 08 17	1	$2	2	0	+2	Alex de Minaur	+$0	08-17 20:30
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 08 17	1	$2	2	0	+2	Diana Shnaider	+$0	08-17 20:31
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-08-17?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-17 20:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	09-22 17:47
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-22 17:47
GTA VI released by November 30?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	09-22 17:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	07-31 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 17:47:22	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8c6ccd…
09-22 17:47:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6b469b…
09-22 17:45:13	GTA VI released by November 30?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c3f35…
09-22 17:44:19	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf9498b…
09-22 17:43:57	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9302a7…
08-17 20:31:39	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-08-17?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb2da6a…
08-17 20:31:18	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 08 17	Diana Shnaider	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x96136d…
08-17 20:30:58	atp fery minaur 2026 08 17	Alex de Minaur	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6daf81…
08-17 20:29:31	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xe51fa0…
08-17 20:28:49	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x08d685…
07-31 13:12:20	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xefaa13…
07-31 13:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x198185…
06-05 14:39:48	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,017	99¢	$1,009	0x5d0642…
06-01 08:56:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x660551…
06-01 08:55:50	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,017	99¢	$1,010	0xb1c947…