Downright-Diction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

4,814

Trades

5,224

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 11-07 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% -$12

Politics

0% 50% $0

Other

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	10	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	06-07 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-27 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 04:20 UTC	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	$0	09-20 04:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:00 UTC	6	$5	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	09-20 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:55 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$0	09-20 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$0	07-21 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:45 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$0	09-20 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:20 UTC	3	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	07-22 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	3	$3	3	3	+0	Up	-$1	07-21 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:25 UTC	3	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	07-21 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:40 UTC	3	$3	3	3	+0	Up	-$1	07-22 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:15 UTC	2	$2	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	08-25 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$2	2	1	+1	Up	$0	07-21 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-27 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 02:05 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	06-21 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:40 UTC	3	$2	2	2	+0	Down	-$2	07-21 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:05 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-25 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:50 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-25 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:00 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	06-21 01:04
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	06-21 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 06:05 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	06-27 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	09-01 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	10-27 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	09-20 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	09-01 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:45 UTC	3	$2	2	2	+0	Up	-$2	07-20 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-27 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:30 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	08-28 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	09-01 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 07:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1cfd06…
11-07 07:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde6f27…
11-07 07:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde1f30…
11-07 06:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x871679…
11-06 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xee569d…
11-06 11:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5a0fea…
11-06 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2d7dae…
11-06 11:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcd7c51…
11-06 11:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x34c972…
11-06 11:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e5e70…
11-06 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x79a73b…
11-06 11:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5567c0…
11-06 11:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x391e5a…
11-06 10:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4ba69c…
11-06 10:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd5152f…
11-06 10:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5cc9fd…
11-06 10:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9dadef…
11-06 10:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x296971…
11-06 10:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c3db1…
11-06 10:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x69fc3d…
11-06 10:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x076e9f…
11-06 10:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf3c966…
11-06 10:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa6a83b…
11-06 10:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6275f2…
11-06 09:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c0a65…
11-06 09:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x61861b…
11-06 09:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe161f3…
11-06 09:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6fa468…
11-06 09:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x959721…
11-06 09:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81507d…
11-06 09:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a74df…
11-06 09:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd283cb…
11-06 09:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x279ece…
11-06 09:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x11a23d…
11-06 08:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3e9c42…
11-06 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfa9a2f…
11-06 08:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd488f4…
11-06 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1f4b77…
11-06 08:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcedc64…
11-06 08:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8adab9…
11-06 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8b3626…
11-06 08:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa31a1f…
11-06 08:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x03091d…
11-06 08:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x010524…
11-06 08:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x24e247…
11-06 07:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1bba2b…
11-06 07:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9b9574…
11-06 07:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x54b735…
11-06 07:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9422b4…
11-06 07:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0681ea…
11-06 07:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f7775…
11-06 07:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x935e50…
11-06 07:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa55f84…
11-06 07:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0cdd47…
11-06 07:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1e76ae…
11-06 07:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b231b…
11-06 06:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9ad71d…
11-06 06:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ac675…
11-06 06:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa606c2…
11-06 06:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x67860c…
11-06 06:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9678ad…
11-06 06:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x232094…
11-06 06:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x91887e…
11-06 06:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x312885…
11-06 06:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf7d256…
11-06 06:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x450ddc…
11-06 06:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7d6da6…
11-06 05:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad2fdf…
11-06 05:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdacd86…
11-06 05:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x41f163…
11-06 05:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x223e7f…
11-06 05:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa7b8d4…
11-06 05:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6e5a8c…
11-06 05:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x370214…
11-06 05:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e9809…
11-06 05:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x08d762…
11-06 05:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x02161a…
11-06 05:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd8867…
11-06 05:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x85f480…
11-06 04:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x63e03a…
11-06 04:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43bb55…
11-06 04:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd359ec…
11-06 04:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd10ad1…
11-06 04:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x88a6a9…
11-06 04:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0294e8…
11-06 04:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x57f4a1…
11-06 04:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd3a6f1…
11-06 04:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2e99d…
11-06 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xbda146…
11-06 03:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5bdfe0…
11-06 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x23c4f7…
11-06 03:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb60714…
11-06 03:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1f6245…
11-06 03:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab56c2…
11-06 03:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x094b02…
11-06 03:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x33b01c…
11-06 03:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x409527…
11-06 03:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x94030d…
11-06 03:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xca4cd4…
11-06 03:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x86ea6c…