Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$100.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$246

Open exposure

$196

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-20 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 56% -$581

Politics

12% 75% +$48

Other

4% 77% -$793

Tech

0% 0% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-100	-$93	99¢	$-99	-$6	05-05 15:18
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		-100	-$96	97¢	$-97	-$1	05-20 14:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	148	$43.1K	68,060	71,705	-3,645	No	+$4,386	04-30 18:12
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	87	$22.8K	19,743	19,753	-11	Yes	-$9	04-30 19:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$7.4K	4,800	4,800	+0	No	+$100	05-11 19:14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	22	$6.9K	51,811	52,311	-500	No	-$3,642	04-30 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	10	$3.9K	1,976	2,562	-586	No	-$58	05-10 09:00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$3.7K	3,349	3,349	+0	Yes	+$502	04-16 13:57
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$3.0K	3,100	100	+3,000	Yes	+$157	04-30 18:30
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	23	$2.1K	33,104	44,283	-11,179	No	-$1,905	04-30 17:57
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.8K	1,097	1,097	+0	Yes	+$191	04-23 15:54
megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	14	$1.2K	3,079	2,964	+114	No	-$205	04-30 20:15
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	17	$1000	13,500	0	+13,500	No	-$1,000	04-13 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	5	$925	620	320	+300	No	+$5	05-08 21:29
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$468	254	254	+0	Yes	+$10	04-23 11:42
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	5	$206	0	15,482	-15,482	No	+$206	04-30 16:59
Over $1M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	04-09 13:46
Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$190	100	94	+6	No	+$1	04-24 22:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$176	100	100	+0	Yes	-$16	04-20 21:55
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	1	$107	110	0	+110	No	+$3	04-18 18:32
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$103	107	0	+107	No	+$4	04-25 00:41
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-18 10:36
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	04-22 09:22
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$98	0	100	-100	Yes	-$2	05-08 13:58
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	04-18 10:36
Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	04-18 11:16
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	2	$97	100	0	+100	Yes	+$3	04-18 12:16
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$96	0	100	-100	open	—	05-20 14:09
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	04-21 23:29
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	8	$94	0	100	-100	Yes	-$6	05-05 16:24
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$93	0	100	-100	open	—	05-05 15:18
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	1	$91	95	0	+95	Yes	+$4	04-18 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 14:09:46	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7f714f…
05-18 11:46:16	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x201a60…
05-15 02:46:28	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x965db5…
05-11 19:14:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,170	81¢	$948	0xb8d865…
05-11 08:05:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,170	79¢	$924	0x251f44…
05-11 00:00:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	473	81¢	$383	0x74f587…
05-10 23:57:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1c0c64…
05-10 23:54:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	520	81¢	$421	0x18b0c1…
05-10 23:53:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	81¢	$55	0xf79e25…
05-10 23:48:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xa154cc…
05-10 23:46:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	81¢	$11	0x56c79b…
05-10 22:26:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	80¢	$880	0x203b73…
05-10 22:06:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	80¢	$880	0xc8bb56…
05-10 20:21:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	76¢	$836	0x1b5350…
05-10 20:12:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,093	74¢	$809	0x12568d…
05-10 20:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x9157a8…
05-10 09:58:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	72¢	$792	0xad2251…
05-10 09:00:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x59444f…
05-10 08:56:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	632	86¢	$540	0x00a87e…
05-10 08:29:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf43a85…
05-10 08:24:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	632	84¢	$533	0x1d7abc…
05-10 02:56:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	990	85¢	$842	0x6f1aa7…
05-10 01:21:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	936	84¢	$785	0xc98fae…
05-10 01:19:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0xafed1d…
05-10 01:19:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x7596a2…
05-09 09:26:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	940	86¢	$813	0x888f8f…
05-09 07:25:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	340	86¢	$291	0xa576f1…
05-08 21:29:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xfad4b8…
05-08 20:15:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	318	98¢	$313	0x3a005f…
05-08 20:08:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x68ec0e…
05-08 15:43:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	289	98¢	$282	0x2e4685…
05-08 15:41:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x445a95…
05-08 13:58:56	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x25e274…
05-08 13:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	330	66¢	$218	0xb694ba…
05-08 12:24:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	66¢	$218	0xb5dbf0…
05-05 16:24:18	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5e8feb…
05-05 15:34:16	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd0f368…
05-05 15:32:28	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xd0a90e…
05-05 15:19:06	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8e5d43…
05-05 15:18:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xce75d2…
05-05 15:16:52	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcc8bac…
05-05 15:10:08	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd6a110…
05-05 15:06:06	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf25d1e…
05-05 08:02:02	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x7b976e…
05-05 07:12:22	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x4c2a0a…
04-30 20:15:56	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	910	10¢	$91	0x6caacd…
04-30 19:20:54	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	189	48¢	$91	0x0c6036…
04-30 19:20:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	215	48¢	$103	0xbd94d7…
04-30 18:57:36	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0xb6cb09…
04-30 18:30:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	2,800	95¢	$2,663	0xefe1f8…
04-30 18:29:22	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	468	44¢	$206	0xe7031a…
04-30 18:28:04	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb7cccb…
04-30 18:27:28	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xf0c450…
04-30 18:18:08	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x0a522e…
04-30 18:17:36	megaeth fdv above 1pt8b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	113	8¢	$9	0xcf8c1e…
04-30 18:17:06	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	466	12¢	$56	0x2f0f3d…
04-30 18:15:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	4,703	53¢	$2,493	0x50a13b…
04-30 18:12:52	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	15,045	16¢	$2,344	0x6c1af3…
04-30 17:57:06	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	18,853	0¢	$19	0x688279…
04-30 17:50:36	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	20,891	0¢	$28	0xda4976…
04-30 17:50:20	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	2,038	0¢	$4	0x457e17…
04-30 17:17:44	megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1,586	23¢	$365	0xed49b3…
04-30 17:16:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35,509	0¢	$151	0x35fd11…
04-30 17:15:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	269	1¢	$3	0x358154…
04-30 17:11:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,314	1¢	$15	0xf102dc…
04-30 16:59:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,090	0¢	$8	0x7d3688…
04-30 10:19:06	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	5,000	33¢	$1,650	0x80a504…
04-30 09:37:24	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	2,000	39¢	$780	0x54a583…
04-30 09:37:04	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	2,000	39¢	$780	0x723969…
04-30 09:36:50	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x3519eb…
04-30 09:32:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	250	71¢	$178	0xa67041…
04-30 09:32:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	4,453	71¢	$3,162	0x095967…
04-30 09:14:36	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	BUY	10,286	7¢	$720	0x3a6933…
04-30 09:14:26	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	BUY	21,001	6¢	$1,155	0x6dc7a9…
04-30 09:14:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17,751	13¢	$2,299	0x4d30f5…
04-30 08:11:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x8c3a9d…
04-30 08:11:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,211	11¢	$134	0x700cfa…
04-30 08:11:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	177	11¢	$20	0x0ea603…
04-30 08:11:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15,000	11¢	$1,635	0x0ebb2e…
04-30 05:28:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3,199	8¢	$268	0xf9a9f0…
04-30 05:10:32	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	4,730	38¢	$1,789	0x88e22d…
04-30 04:54:22	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	19,083	42¢	$7,973	0x7bee76…
04-30 04:44:06	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	1,802	42¢	$761	0x2850e1…
04-30 04:42:48	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	1,028	41¢	$422	0xb3b2e6…
04-30 04:42:40	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	1,510	42¢	$634	0x9d6433…
04-30 04:40:34	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	4,507	45¢	$2,034	0x961c4d…
04-30 04:35:50	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	120	48¢	$58	0x2521be…
04-30 04:32:10	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	96	48¢	$46	0xe3b480…
04-30 04:30:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xaf9270…
04-30 04:29:50	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	85	48¢	$41	0xac940c…
04-30 04:27:38	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	75	48¢	$36	0x8ad543…
04-30 04:26:08	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	SELL	400	48¢	$192	0xd49acf…
04-29 21:40:48	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	307	31¢	$95	0x88dabf…
04-29 21:26:46	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	271	31¢	$84	0xf3be45…
04-29 21:26:08	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xa22af0…
04-29 20:35:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	497	33¢	$164	0xfb7c94…
04-29 20:34:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	4,000	33¢	$1,318	0x6b114b…
04-29 20:16:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	125	28¢	$35	0x76e4eb…
04-29 20:13:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	1,400	26¢	$364	0xbeec3e…
04-29 20:12:42	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x7a8228…