Flawed-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

208

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 09-03 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 42% -$92

Other

17% 41% -$34

Sports

1% 0% -$16

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on july 1 2026	18	$72	114	92	+23	Down	+$0	07-01 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:20 UTC	4	$63	37	37	+0	Down	+$2	06-30 18:22
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	7	$59	518	518	+0	open	—	07-01 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 13:30 UTC	3	$46	43	26	+17	Up	+$3	06-30 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:45 UTC	2	$41	38	38	+0	Up	+$3	07-01 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	2	$35	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	06-30 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 22:30 UTC	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	07-02 22:45
spx up or down on july 2 2026	2	$31	22	22	+0	Up	+$7	07-02 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:50 UTC	2	$29	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	06-30 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:10 UTC	2	$28	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	07-04 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 06:15 UTC	4	$26	53	53	+0	Down	-$4	06-06 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:30 UTC	2	$26	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	07-04 01:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:50 UTC	2	$26	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	07-04 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:35 UTC	2	$26	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	07-04 01:39
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	15	$25	59	59	+0	Up	+$1	06-27 11:35
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$24	15	15	+0	Belgium	+$6	07-01 22:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 10:10 UTC	3	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	06-07 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:25 UTC	3	$23	16	12	+4	Down	-$1	07-01 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 20:00 UTC	2	$23	17	16	+0	Up	+$5	06-07 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:55 UTC	2	$22	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	07-04 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 10:45 UTC	3	$22	21	12	+9	Up	+$0	07-01 10:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:25 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-30 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-30 20:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 09:45 UTC	7	$21	26	15	+11	Up	-$1	06-08 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	07-04 00:24
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	3	$20	138	0	+138	No	-$20	07-01 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:15 UTC	4	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	07-04 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:05 UTC	3	$20	23	16	+7	Up	$0	06-07 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:00 UTC	4	$19	17	6	+11	Up	+$3	07-04 00:04
spy up or down on june 26 2026	12	$18	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	06-26 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 12:01:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	Yes	BUY	868	1¢	$9	0x87b7dd…
07-21 21:35:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x027d20…
07-20 16:34:18	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x42c0fe…
07-20 16:09:51	bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x064328…
07-20 16:09:39	bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa8cefd…
07-18 21:43:45	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x1b1360…
07-18 19:00:45	bitcoin above 66k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5a8160…
07-18 19:00:37	bitcoin above 68k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0x3a9e8f…
07-18 19:00:22	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xb3147e…
07-18 11:55:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb96ecb…
07-17 12:43:39	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8fe25e…
07-17 10:53:37	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0xbfd225…
07-16 14:17:05	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb5f67a…
07-16 14:07:52	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x301a05…
07-16 13:55:23	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4e30df…
07-16 13:49:50	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x83ddab…
07-16 12:18:25	nvda up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0afeba…
07-16 12:17:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa988f6…
07-16 12:16:43	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x44f3c3…
07-16 11:42:07	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x340dc2…
07-16 10:58:34	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x383a52…
07-16 09:11:47	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x6bb02b…
07-16 09:11:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x80194f…
07-15 18:31:29	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x79b1fe…
07-15 18:12:35	bitcoin above 64k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2fd5c4…
07-15 18:11:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2b613f…
07-14 13:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xbc0256…
07-14 00:17:01	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x64a3b7…
07-13 20:26:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x8bd38c…
07-13 20:26:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3aaffe…
07-13 20:26:16	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xb8d998…
07-13 20:23:47	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	198	2¢	$5	0xac864f…
07-13 17:47:32	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x063cd4…
07-13 17:02:28	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc71e88…
07-13 13:54:55	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc0a318…
07-08 19:36:17	spy up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x6d3381…
07-08 19:36:02	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$2	0xca21e6…
07-08 15:50:44	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x17de3a…
07-08 15:50:37	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x8d3ba5…
07-08 15:50:32	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9f3f38…
07-08 11:41:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x5381d3…
07-08 08:25:53	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0a3de6…
07-04 12:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x63e9eb…
07-04 10:54:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x72cfaf…
07-04 10:54:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x310efb…
07-04 02:19:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xf7245d…
07-04 02:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc25155…
07-04 02:17:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0xee0dcc…
07-04 02:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x8981a2…
07-04 02:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa26ec6…
07-04 02:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa4b209…
07-04 01:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x26fff5…
07-04 01:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x7e94c6…
07-04 01:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x1de94e…
07-04 01:49:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf5469d…
07-04 01:41:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xca7523…
07-04 01:41:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xc3ff2a…
07-04 01:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0xf328a3…
07-04 01:36:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x7e389f…
07-04 01:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xde0c54…
07-04 01:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:10 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x3ada2b…
07-04 01:14:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xe1c754…
07-04 01:05:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x7d1642…
07-04 01:04:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x82ec05…
07-04 01:03:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe28fd4…
07-04 01:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1dd32a…
07-04 00:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xa43b58…
07-04 00:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8fba40…
07-04 00:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x845084…
07-04 00:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc9796e…
07-04 00:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x866c2e…
07-04 00:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf300ee…
07-04 00:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xadd810…
07-04 00:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x895389…
07-03 23:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xf28cac…
07-03 23:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x5d5056…
07-03 23:52:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xc87115…
07-03 23:46:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x5aa193…
07-03 22:25:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x3b60fb…
07-03 22:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x011d41…
07-03 22:24:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1de66d…
07-03 19:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x33171f…
07-03 19:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1048ad…
07-03 17:58:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e86a0…
07-03 01:23:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x8f04a6…
07-03 01:18:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdb10ab…
07-03 01:07:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x3d6e96…
07-03 01:05:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe417ee…
07-03 00:27:23	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x6943c2…
07-03 00:26:43	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x954977…
07-03 00:25:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x48fa08…
07-03 00:16:29	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc32123…
07-03 00:02:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-03 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1e6ffe…
07-02 23:37:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0x7a5fe8…
07-02 23:37:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xd0cb9c…
07-02 23:33:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf31560…
07-02 23:23:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x72f9cc…
07-02 23:22:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9481f7…
07-02 23:10:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x32ecff…
07-02 23:01:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5304d8…