Musty-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.4%

Resolved

2,482

Trades

5,141

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-18 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 79% -$148

Other

2% 48% -$103

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:20 UTC	6	$667	376	374	+2	Up	+$28	03-01 04:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:35 UTC	6	$533	325	323	+3	Down	+$33	03-01 04:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	2	$427	230	229	+1	Down	+$28	03-01 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:20 UTC	2	$420	222	222	+0	Up	+$20	03-01 06:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:25 UTC	2	$367	223	220	+3	Down	+$73	02-28 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	3	$357	293	148	+144	Up	+$35	02-28 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:20 UTC	2	$349	191	190	+1	Up	+$23	03-01 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:00 UTC	4	$329	182	181	+1	Up	+$30	03-01 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:25 UTC	3	$300	420	0	+420	Down	-$300	03-01 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:25 UTC	4	$298	303	16	+287	Up	-$9	03-26 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:35 UTC	8	$286	153	152	+0	Down	+$6	03-26 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	3	$262	144	143	+1	Down	+$23	03-01 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:40 UTC	3	$256	138	138	+0	Down	+$17	03-01 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:25 UTC	1	$253	259	0	+259	Up	+$5	03-01 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:40 UTC	4	$249	135	135	+0	Up	+$10	03-01 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:30 UTC	2	$225	130	129	+1	Up	+$26	03-01 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:50 UTC	3	$225	175	152	+23	Down	-$13	03-01 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC	2	$216	120	120	+0	Up	+$5	02-28 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 05:35 UTC	2	$215	116	116	+0	Down	+$15	03-01 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:15 UTC	2	$203	103	103	+0	Up	+$3	03-01 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:05 UTC	2	$201	102	102	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:20 UTC	2	$200	115	114	+1	Up	+$27	03-01 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:35 UTC	3	$196	99	99	+0	Down	+$2	03-06 14:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 02:45 UTC	3	$177	183	41	+142	Down	+$19	03-01 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 07:00 UTC	2	$159	82	82	+0	Down	+$4	03-01 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:10 UTC	3	$158	79	79	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:30 UTC	1	$150	156	0	+156	Down	+$6	03-01 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 06:00 UTC	6	$148	144	33	+111	Down	+$1	03-27 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:15 UTC	1	$144	148	0	+148	Up	+$4	02-28 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:10 UTC	1	$143	144	0	+144	Up	+$1	02-28 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 12:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x24d7f4…
10-18 12:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xa3f19a…
10-18 12:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc9cd1f…
10-17 09:48:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1841b2…
10-17 09:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x490ba8…
10-17 09:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4bb515…
10-17 09:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x0fd167…
10-17 09:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x84aad0…
10-17 07:57:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xc84461…
10-17 07:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4fe1a2…
10-17 07:46:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x39b595…
10-17 07:46:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x8abaef…
10-17 07:45:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x236819…
10-17 07:38:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xde9a42…
10-17 07:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xd4b27a…
10-17 07:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x04f590…
10-17 07:14:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8550ab…
10-17 07:13:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1cc558…
10-17 07:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe42ae6…
10-16 08:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x37a15b…
10-16 08:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd2d305…
10-16 08:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaa73d6…
10-16 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc18633…
10-16 08:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf7afbf…
10-16 08:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xef6560…
10-16 07:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x04f01b…
10-16 07:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x43233d…
10-16 07:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x94d0e3…
10-16 07:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x823682…
10-16 07:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbe03b5…
10-16 07:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x4d8c41…
10-16 07:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5cf8a3…
10-16 07:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcce7d6…
10-16 07:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5dde54…
10-16 07:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x32ef74…
10-16 07:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x286b9a…
10-16 07:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3bc2fa…
10-16 06:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0e11b9…
10-16 06:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xabcfbf…
10-16 06:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0ad8e8…
10-15 05:21:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc2129a…
10-15 04:18:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd0e66b…
10-15 04:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x22b58f…
10-15 04:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x364d85…
10-15 04:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x38ae93…
10-15 04:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb01e73…
10-15 04:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x654a5c…
10-15 04:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6e5d22…
10-15 03:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x11e7db…
10-15 03:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7d224e…
10-15 03:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xe7426f…
10-15 03:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x684e9f…
10-15 03:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xa76c4d…
10-15 03:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd71208…
10-15 03:15:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x317da6…
10-15 03:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9a3920…
10-15 03:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xfe28d0…
10-15 03:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x227fd5…
10-15 03:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa6d43d…
10-15 03:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x3255ec…
10-15 02:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xddcbb1…
10-15 02:52:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x42f5d8…
10-15 02:50:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x793f4d…
10-15 02:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0xfc6705…
10-15 02:46:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x79ad90…
10-15 02:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x481fcb…
10-15 02:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0x2baf37…
10-15 02:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x1fa4ac…
10-15 02:30:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8185f5…
10-15 02:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfa4319…
10-15 02:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8d0959…
10-15 02:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x8aa0b0…
10-15 02:25:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf648c0…
10-15 02:25:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xd99b27…
10-15 02:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x9b18cf…
10-15 02:22:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x732239…
10-15 02:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x997907…
10-15 02:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xce027d…
10-15 02:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0a1a4f…
10-15 02:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x368d3b…
10-15 02:17:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x5f7b00…
10-15 02:16:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xcecf42…
10-15 02:16:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xaac9be…
10-15 02:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0x52e3f7…
10-15 02:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xdc352f…
10-15 02:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x959821…
10-15 02:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x95f833…
10-14 12:43:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xeef2b0…
10-14 12:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x20012c…
10-14 12:42:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9f1d87…
10-14 12:40:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0b9f9a…
10-14 12:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5a67f2…
10-14 12:36:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x674fe5…
10-14 12:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd4c760…
10-14 12:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8eeb2f…
10-14 12:32:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfd284e…
10-14 12:32:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3dffdb…
10-14 12:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x4fd60e…
10-14 12:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x95e13c…
10-14 12:27:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x008cc9…