Vast-Cardigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 09-30 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

84% 95% +$35

Crypto

11% 85% -$252

Tech

4% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 50% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?	1	$994	995	0	+995	No	+$1	06-20 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?	4	$991	992	0	+992	Yes	+$1	06-17 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	9	$989	990	0	+990	No	+$1	06-15 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	1	$987	988	0	+988	No	+$1	06-14 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?	3	$979	980	0	+980	No	+$1	06-09 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8?	1	$978	979	0	+979	No	+$1	06-08 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 7?	1	$977	978	0	+978	No	+$1	06-07 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?	1	$975	976	0	+976	Yes	+$1	06-06 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4?	1	$974	975	0	+975	No	+$1	06-04 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	1	$954	955	0	+955	No	+$1	06-03 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?	1	$889	890	0	+890	No	+$1	06-19 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 21?	1	$877	878	0	+878	No	+$1	06-21 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	5	$757	381	381	+0	No	+$4	06-11 02:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$720	721	0	+721	Yes	+$1	05-31 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	1	$710	711	0	+711	Yes	+$1	06-05 08:02
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$706	707	0	+707	No	+$1	05-23 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12?	1	$695	696	0	+696	No	+$1	06-12 05:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?	2	$604	605	0	+605	No	+$1	06-13 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 23?	2	$598	599	0	+599	No	+$1	06-23 19:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	10	$534	534	0	+534	No	+$1	06-16 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?	1	$519	520	0	+520	No	+$1	06-22 15:16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 21?	1	$518	519	0	+519	No	+$1	06-21 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	06-11 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	1	$477	478	0	+478	No	+$0	06-21 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	1	$477	478	0	+478	No	+$1	06-22 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?	1	$456	456	0	+456	No	+$0	06-16 08:44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$409	207	207	+0	Yes	+$2	05-26 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13?	1	$381	382	0	+382	No	+$1	06-13 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 23?	1	$373	374	0	+374	No	+$0	06-23 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	10	$358	358	0	+358	No	+$0	06-18 12:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 09:06:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x05cc46…
06-23 19:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe20b74…
06-23 05:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 23?	No	BUY	593	100¢	$592	0xa395d0…
06-23 05:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	374	100¢	$373	0x6cd95e…
06-22 15:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0x06a4f7…
06-22 03:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	No	BUY	478	100¢	$477	0xbaf968…
06-21 20:02:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 21?	No	BUY	519	100¢	$518	0x869eb2…
06-21 18:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	478	100¢	$477	0x794233…
06-21 05:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	878	100¢	$877	0x65d6b2…
06-20 19:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x43e3bf…
06-20 18:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb9d577…
06-20 18:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C or higher on June 20?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x646dd5…
06-20 18:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 20?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xf38d0c…
06-20 04:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	995	100¢	$994	0x2e4fb3…
06-19 04:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	890	100¢	$889	0xcf602e…
06-19 04:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xfe06bf…
06-19 04:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x096301…
06-18 12:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x532444…
06-18 10:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x600be2…
06-18 06:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39277b…
06-18 06:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85ff63…
06-18 06:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbe301…
06-18 04:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a3753…
06-18 04:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf5691…
06-18 04:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x913b7c…
06-18 04:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf87be2…
06-18 04:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xaa6b22…
06-18 04:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x8e34bf…
06-18 04:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	312	100¢	$312	0x4f5a01…
06-18 04:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x944afc…
06-17 07:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xfdabea…
06-17 06:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xad2c7e…
06-17 06:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x604400…
06-17 06:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	839	100¢	$838	0x341699…
06-16 18:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0x296862…
06-16 08:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	456	100¢	$456	0xabea24…
06-16 06:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xab5b1e…
06-16 06:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4f353…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdfba2e…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xda7fbc…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd16ae5…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6c8688…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x549ba5…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4ab6e5…
06-16 06:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0bca17…
06-16 06:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$321	0xca7941…
06-15 14:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c3663…
06-15 14:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xac3dda…
06-15 14:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e767a…
06-15 14:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x122f26…
06-15 14:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfafc50…
06-15 14:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0x68fb21…
06-15 14:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bab5b…
06-15 14:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xe66ee6…
06-14 06:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 14?	No	BUY	988	100¢	$987	0xf8395b…
06-13 05:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0xa577bf…
06-13 03:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	575	100¢	$575	0x1cc88d…
06-13 03:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4182a5…
06-12 08:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x64e762…
06-12 07:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf98e90…
06-12 07:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa3f52a…
06-12 07:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x8267b3…
06-12 05:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x285c2e…
06-12 05:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x27c25e…
06-12 05:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	696	100¢	$695	0x30b6e6…
06-11 03:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x894081…
06-11 02:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	No	SELL	381	100¢	$380	0x7b360e…
06-10 19:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb2ed62…
06-10 19:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x195136…
06-10 16:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53d928…
06-10 16:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44a0c5…
06-10 16:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	340	99¢	$336	0xab1068…
06-10 08:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 10?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x0c33ac…
06-10 08:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 10?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x9266ad…
06-09 04:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2a3631…
06-09 04:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x536847…
06-09 04:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0x54c195…
06-08 04:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	979	100¢	$978	0x937b0f…
06-07 15:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	978	100¢	$977	0xfa8f88…
06-06 09:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	976	100¢	$975	0xf15d1f…
06-05 08:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xa5ef40…
06-05 08:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0x9a116b…
06-04 04:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	975	100¢	$974	0x4cd879…
06-03 05:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	955	100¢	$954	0x4282c4…
05-31 13:29:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	721	100¢	$720	0x2e9193…
05-27 05:55:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x415134…
05-26 06:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x9d448c…
05-26 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa337fa…
05-26 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fdd3e…
05-26 06:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6728ee…
05-26 05:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfeb58d…
05-26 05:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8e2be…
05-26 05:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc1fc9a…
05-26 05:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xa24764…
05-26 05:23:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0x455c74…
05-23 04:47:07	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	707	100¢	$706	0x3871e5…
05-23 04:44:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x5229ec…
05-22 11:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 22?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x66a047…
05-22 11:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xb264a3…
05-11 05:51:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x871d83…