Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,934

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$293

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-01 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 25% $-25

Politics

14% — —

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No		-288	$-239	78¢	$-226	+$13	06-21 12:26
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No		-80	$-68	84¢	$-67	+$1	07-01 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
college football undefeated 15 0 team	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-08 16:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-23 03:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-29 09:16
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$915	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 19:36
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	5	$840	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 19:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$736	700	210	+490	open	—	03-31 14:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$710	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-07 23:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$595	500	500	+0	open	—	05-07 14:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$578	711	711	+0	open	—	04-07 23:04
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	3	$510	500	500	+0	open	—	01-11 21:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$465	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 08:49
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	8	$460	300	300	+0	open	—	03-22 17:26
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	40	$438	4,250	3,250	+1,000	open	—	02-25 18:19
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$425	500	0	+500	open	—	03-03 15:46
coin quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt61	7	$379	568	656	-88	open	—	02-12 21:25
dbx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 19 2026 0pt67	4	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	02-19 20:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$348	400	0	+400	open	—	03-23 07:55
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$331	250	250	+0	open	—	03-08 22:16
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	2	$326	370	0	+370	open	—	02-20 17:00
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	14	$310	328	328	+0	open	—	03-05 12:22
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	2	$304	300	300	+0	open	—	03-03 09:24
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	1	$300	0	500	-500	open	—	01-02 13:07
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 2pt51	4	$270	300	0	+300	open	—	01-08 08:38
okta quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 04 2026 0pt85	6	$264	158	158	+0	open	—	03-02 10:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$259	355	355	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 neg0pt8	4	$257	388	158	+230	open	—	02-12 06:38
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	6	$248	418	208	+210	open	—	02-21 20:51
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	14	$239	0	288	-288	open	—	06-21 12:26
hlt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt02	27	$233	1,101	514	+587	open	—	02-10 21:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	1	$231	300	0	+300	open	—	03-16 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:51:50	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	80	85¢	$68	0x2defa8…
06-21 12:26:11	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x5d5604…
06-20 19:50:16	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfb7050…
06-20 11:15:37	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0xe9d5d5…
06-20 09:00:19	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xb064fa…
06-19 02:33:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	89¢	$113	0x0ab003…
06-19 00:42:58	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8b8380…
06-19 00:37:50	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xe02c70…
06-18 18:28:11	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	167	83¢	$138	0xb77370…
06-18 17:38:26	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x786500…
06-18 17:17:11	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0xd7ec05…
06-18 17:15:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xa9e609…
06-18 01:18:55	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x6d913c…
06-18 01:17:29	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x327d01…
06-17 12:24:14	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xcfe0b8…
06-15 23:31:33	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd5927b…
06-12 11:21:19	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x970ec0…
06-10 18:44:40	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xe88e6f…
06-10 03:11:07	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xe04b2e…
06-08 14:15:12	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xc5eb2b…
06-07 09:22:45	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb80aa8…
05-07 14:04:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	495	60¢	$297	0xf7e971…
05-07 14:03:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd09678…
05-07 13:05:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0xccd46b…
05-05 16:38:24	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0x3c1575…
05-04 09:23:12	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x11df8a…
05-04 02:40:44	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xafde7b…
05-04 02:31:40	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x15ce9f…
05-03 21:01:44	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x0fca1f…
05-03 13:13:06	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x1aa5bb…
05-03 11:49:02	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x794811…
05-03 10:15:14	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0x8abf78…
05-03 09:26:50	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xfa8aa5…
05-03 09:23:12	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x1cfe45…
05-03 09:22:44	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	442	15¢	$66	0xdd56ca…
04-28 22:28:06	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xcdb2b0…
04-28 02:58:54	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xe0a688…
04-28 01:13:30	Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x57ddf8…
04-27 19:48:20	Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x42dca4…
04-27 00:38:34	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	361	7¢	$25	0x19c86b…
04-27 00:06:14	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x76b56d…
04-26 22:38:08	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x528dea…
04-26 22:03:44	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x6d64c8…
04-26 20:03:56	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	113	7¢	$8	0xc33268…
04-26 13:55:04	Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	148	8¢	$12	0xe1a22d…
04-25 09:51:24	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x99609d…
04-25 02:25:26	Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x76553a…
04-24 19:59:32	Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	295	15¢	$44	0x87fed5…
04-23 15:36:22	Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	21	78¢	$17	0xf6b552…
04-23 03:58:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x0fce0a…
04-21 19:43:02	Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x5d3ff2…
04-21 19:08:44	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x6430da…
04-21 18:43:06	Will Dolby Laboratories (DLB) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0xf02341…
04-21 18:16:52	Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x809f0f…
04-21 18:16:44	Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x431575…
04-21 17:42:24	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x14ce30…
04-21 16:33:44	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x52be1a…
04-21 14:27:52	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0x0e14b1…
04-21 14:20:50	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x450f10…
04-21 14:09:32	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x519bf0…
04-21 13:59:46	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x576d98…
04-17 12:53:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x95d540…
04-12 02:00:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x75b415…
04-07 23:16:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	355	4¢	$14	0xac11c9…
04-07 23:04:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	711	3¢	$22	0x6de00f…
04-07 23:03:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,100	4¢	$48	0xa4ae5d…
04-07 22:42:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	637	40¢	$255	0xabb7aa…
04-07 22:42:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0xc76bbd…
04-07 22:42:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x9a9b64…
04-07 09:22:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0x2aea16…
04-06 13:30:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	96	92¢	$88	0xb6e46d…
04-06 13:30:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	404	92¢	$372	0xe3a912…
03-31 14:50:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	320	18¢	$59	0x603a2c…
03-31 14:50:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	150	18¢	$28	0xe2f0e9…
03-31 14:50:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xac4b0e…
03-31 14:49:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x248014…
03-31 14:49:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	123	19¢	$23	0xb93cec…
03-31 14:49:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x4d3adc…
03-31 14:48:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xaf1ba8…
03-31 14:48:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x83e536…
03-31 14:48:29	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8bbabe…
03-31 14:48:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd3ab77…
03-31 14:48:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc3592f…
03-31 14:48:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x709611…
03-31 14:48:23	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	150	18¢	$28	0x37c158…
03-31 14:48:23	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x316366…
03-31 14:48:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x68baeb…
03-31 14:48:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x804dec…
03-31 14:48:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x21dccc…
03-31 14:48:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	150	18¢	$28	0xf4247d…
03-31 14:45:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x586a92…
03-30 11:53:12	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	189	69¢	$130	0x251299…
03-30 11:40:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	151	69¢	$104	0x1432bf…
03-30 11:39:14	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x2e77df…
03-29 23:54:04	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	371	82¢	$304	0x02b204…
03-29 09:16:24	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	300	99¢	$298	0x3285d9…
03-27 09:03:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	57	74¢	$42	0xcf6767…
03-27 09:02:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	283	74¢	$209	0xf7874b…
03-27 08:49:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	300	84¢	$252	0x86259e…
03-23 07:55:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xac3bde…