Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

6.5%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$120

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 10-23 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

100% 9% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	+100	$72	73¢	$73	+$1	10-22 06:16
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	+100	$30	27¢	$27	-$3	10-22 06:16
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	+20	$19	99¢	$20	+$1	10-22 16:14
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	+40	$3	1¢	$0	-$2	10-22 16:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on October 23?	2	$148	103	103	+0	No	+$0	10-22 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	7	$111	214	0	+214	No	-$4	10-22 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?	4	$106	210	0	+210	Yes	-$1	10-22 18:30
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	3	$102	200	0	+200	open	—	10-22 06:16
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	4	$102	200	0	+200	No	-$2	10-22 12:32
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	2	$102	200	0	+200	Yes	-$2	10-22 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	11	$68	106	106	+0	No	$0	10-23 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 24?	2	$62	40	40	+0	No	+$0	10-23 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 23?	2	$58	114	0	+114	No	-$1	10-22 13:51
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	6	$54	58	22	+35	No	-$1	10-22 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	6	$54	40	33	+7	No	+$2	10-23 08:50
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	3	$49	40	40	+0	No	$0	10-22 19:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	6	$48	92	2	+90	No	-$1	10-22 17:56
highest temperature in panama city on october 24 2026 30c	5	$46	72	8	+64	No	-$1	10-22 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 22?	3	$45	70	10	+60	No	-$1	10-22 19:23
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 23?	2	$41	80	0	+80	Yes	-$1	10-22 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	2	$40	80	0	+80	No	$0	10-22 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 22?	3	$37	74	6	+68	Yes	-$1	10-22 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	4	$33	22	22	+0	No	-$1	10-22 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	4	$31	39	39	+0	Yes	-$1	10-22 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 23?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-22 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	4	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-22 02:48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 23?	2	$26	18	18	+0	No	$0	10-22 01:40
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$22	60	0	+60	open	—	10-22 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 22?	2	$21	40	0	+40	No	-$1	10-22 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 22?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	$0	10-21 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	$0	10-22 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 23?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	10-22 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	2	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	3	$15	24	16	+7	No	-$1	10-22 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 08:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x802491…
10-23 08:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x6aa7c8…
10-23 08:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x38b55f…
10-23 06:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x414587…
10-23 06:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x19d115…
10-23 04:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0765ff…
10-23 04:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x165053…
10-23 04:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	27	32¢	$9	0x612001…
10-23 04:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xb44631…
10-23 03:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x463788…
10-23 02:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x1ea0ce…
10-23 02:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x0bc6b1…
10-22 23:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on October 23?	No	SELL	103	72¢	$74	0x2d4923…
10-22 22:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0x85622b…
10-22 20:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xe715cc…
10-22 20:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x7f7014…
10-22 19:28:39	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	No	SELL	31	61¢	$19	0xb5fb40…
10-22 19:23:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xd2ac37…
10-22 18:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xb9f91f…
10-22 18:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xfad0d4…
10-22 18:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x5c2750…
10-22 18:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x8a2f8a…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xd6f3f9…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xb90b89…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?	No	BUY	105	42¢	$44	0x939f6c…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0x8a2ea1…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x884fc4…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x645cbd…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x13848c…
10-22 18:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x0f8324…
10-22 18:15:08	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x556217…
10-22 18:15:06	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x22c8cc…
10-22 18:13:20	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x0925c8…
10-22 18:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa60d13…
10-22 18:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4b1886…
10-22 18:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xa1e628…
10-22 18:11:35	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xc3b909…
10-22 18:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xe4ec01…
10-22 18:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x81ac5b…
10-22 18:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x320627…
10-22 18:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x8e3489…
10-22 18:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x97d947…
10-22 18:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x522cb6…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	105	32¢	$34	0xa6b3f6…
10-22 18:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x64b776…
10-22 17:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc8ce4a…
10-22 17:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 24?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x6448ef…
10-22 17:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa0d4a5…
10-22 17:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x548f98…
10-22 17:49:29	highest temperature in panama city on october 24 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xff594b…
10-22 17:48:47	highest temperature in panama city on october 24 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x54af9d…
10-22 17:48:27	highest temperature in panama city on october 24 2026 30c	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xed6093…
10-22 17:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x547aad…
10-22 17:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xc5bf4c…
10-22 17:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xd89d26…
10-22 17:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xac691b…
10-22 17:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xd68444…
10-22 17:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	No	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x4497d4…
10-22 17:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	26	64¢	$16	0x1d712d…
10-22 17:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	103	72¢	$74	0xb15fab…
10-22 16:56:51	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x784693…
10-22 16:56:48	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xad65c3…
10-22 16:14:06	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x507893…
10-22 16:10:57	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x047c71…
10-22 14:53:05	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x4d5190…
10-22 14:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xda10ff…
10-22 14:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 22?	No	BUY	34	91¢	$31	0x1a3019…
10-22 14:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x7cfdfc…
10-22 13:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xce8ef5…
10-22 13:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 23?	No	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x5ceb72…
10-22 13:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	57	36¢	$21	0x9bbe40…
10-22 12:32:57	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xcfa240…
10-22 12:32:57	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xb63d79…
10-22 12:32:57	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x9a2348…
10-22 12:32:57	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x2f327a…
10-22 12:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	No	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x5ca784…
10-22 12:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xef3f32…
10-22 12:05:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xde6ce0…
10-22 12:05:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$8	0x3fc283…
10-22 12:05:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x2dd416…
10-22 11:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0xb12586…
10-22 11:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x1230a3…
10-22 11:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xdb9325…
10-22 11:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x2429a0…
10-22 08:24:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x40bb3b…
10-22 08:24:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x2d1cb2…
10-22 08:24:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x225389…
10-22 07:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x375181…
10-22 06:16:59	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0xca0a2e…
10-22 06:16:59	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0x9cba98…
10-22 06:16:59	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x3793c6…
10-22 03:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x23edc5…
10-22 03:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x2f0f6d…
10-22 03:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4e6579…
10-22 03:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf218b2…
10-22 03:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x63d473…
10-22 03:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 23?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x5455eb…
10-22 02:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x1009a3…
10-22 02:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x706334…
10-22 02:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0x3e4a5f…