Belated-Run — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 07-05 20:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

44% 15% -$2

Sports

31% 11% -$7

Politics

19% 0% -$1

Crypto

6% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$1.2K	611	611	+0	No	+$0	05-17 22:56
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.2K	619	619	+0	No	-$2	06-23 12:34
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$614	308	308	+0	No	+$0	03-21 20:02
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$614	308	308	+0	No	+$0	03-14 12:45
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$614	308	308	+0	No	$0	03-23 23:14
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$613	313	313	+0	No	-$1	03-26 00:25
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$612	307	307	+0	No	$0	03-30 17:07
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	5	$612	307	307	+0	No	+$0	03-27 01:19
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$609	306	306	+0	No	$0	04-18 18:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$609	306	306	+0	No	+$0	04-15 15:11
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$607	307	307	+0	open	—	05-08 06:48
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$607	307	307	+0	open	—	05-15 03:21
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$607	304	304	+0	open	—	05-11 12:10
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$605	305	305	+0	open	—	05-19 02:32
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$605	304	304	+0	No	+$0	05-21 04:37
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$604	304	304	+0	No	-$1	05-28 05:24
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$604	303	303	+0	No	-$1	02-07 09:43
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$603	307	307	+0	open	—	06-10 14:59
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$602	302	302	+0	No	$0	02-23 16:42
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$602	306	306	+0	No	$0	06-19 15:26
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$594	303	303	+0	No	-$3	06-28 06:14
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$593	297	297	+0	No	$0	03-04 05:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$593	297	297	+0	No	$0	02-05 09:58
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$591	296	296	+0	No	-$1	03-05 00:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$591	296	296	+0	No	+$0	07-05 20:56
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	2	$587	294	294	+0	No	$0	02-24 15:31
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$586	295	295	+0	No	$0	02-28 12:41
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$585	294	294	+0	No	-$1	03-03 05:07
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	1	$300	0	301	-301	No	$0	02-27 22:51
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$294	295	0	+295	No	+$0	02-24 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 20:56:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	296	100¢	$295	0x3ac086…
07-05 09:30:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xabe106…
07-05 09:21:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x19d9ed…
06-28 06:14:44	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	303	98¢	$295	0xc51f97…
06-27 18:53:14	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	303	99¢	$299	0xb680f6…
06-23 12:34:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	309	97¢	$299	0x590899…
06-23 00:43:37	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$301	0x2f71ce…
06-19 15:26:07	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	306	98¢	$301	0xe54385…
06-19 02:14:46	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$301	0x2b2579…
06-10 14:59:07	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$302	0x08aeb2…
06-09 16:16:39	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$302	0xf36616…
05-29 17:41:55	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	311	97¢	$302	0x609602…
05-29 05:52:18	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	311	97¢	$302	0x5a63b5…
05-28 05:24:27	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	304	99¢	$302	0xdd8293…
05-27 15:12:03	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x924c58…
05-27 15:05:12	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0x82f9b1…
05-27 14:58:17	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0xe9efd9…
05-21 04:37:50	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	304	99¢	$302	0x558f3e…
05-20 14:39:14	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$302	0xa85090…
05-19 02:32:07	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	305	99¢	$303	0x4f9cdd…
05-18 13:28:28	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	305	99¢	$303	0xa12ffe…
05-17 22:56:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	305	99¢	$303	0x6b92c8…
05-17 12:13:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	305	99¢	$303	0x39fb12…
05-15 03:21:17	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$303	0xc48b4c…
05-14 15:34:33	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	307	99¢	$303	0xe1a8a4…
05-13 04:57:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	306	99¢	$304	0xd20a2e…
05-12 08:39:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	306	99¢	$303	0xbe154f…
05-11 12:10:30	Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0x41ba14…
05-10 23:37:20	Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x83c5c5…
05-10 23:33:13	Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xed0f41…
05-10 23:23:55	Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb19fb7…
05-08 06:48:54	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$303	0xf3f8c7…
05-07 19:15:12	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	307	99¢	$303	0x1b496a…
04-18 18:11:36	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0x3d15e8…
04-18 03:59:10	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0xc64251…
04-15 15:11:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0x6a3824…
04-15 04:23:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	306	99¢	$305	0x4e8439…
03-30 17:07:51	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$306	0xa6890b…
03-29 21:39:08	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0xa5dfbd…
03-27 01:19:21	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0xf53b11…
03-26 12:32:15	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0x208a5b…
03-26 11:36:47	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb1fcfa…
03-26 11:10:33	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x5fe990…
03-26 11:06:25	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xac8efa…
03-26 00:25:47	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	313	98¢	$306	0x53f418…
03-25 09:52:45	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	313	98¢	$307	0xb49257…
03-23 23:14:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x1696b0…
03-23 10:35:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0xdfb9c7…
03-21 20:02:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0xd6be40…
03-21 09:22:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x6bb51a…
03-14 12:45:49	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x1523b0…
03-14 01:05:33	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x83c567…
03-05 00:49:27	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	296	100¢	$295	0x7d5758…
03-04 05:31:31	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xa6772e…
03-04 05:27:49	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0xc28655…
03-03 05:10:43	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0x51e2cf…
03-03 05:07:07	Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	294	99¢	$292	0xd36f3d…
03-02 06:56:05	Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x646506…
02-28 12:41:45	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	295	99¢	$293	0xaf5fcf…
02-27 22:55:19	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	295	100¢	$293	0xda0413…
02-27 22:51:55	will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	No	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x262708…
02-24 15:36:44	Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$294	0xf5a9d9…
02-24 15:31:48	will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	No	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0xf02676…
02-23 16:46:40	will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x4e0edb…
02-23 16:42:50	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	302	100¢	$301	0x7303c1…
02-07 23:11:25	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0xb99bba…
02-07 09:43:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0x60af99…
02-06 22:48:19	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0xe24ad6…
02-05 09:58:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x25a145…
02-04 13:18:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0xb3a4ee…