Worldly-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$175

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	11	$17	22	7	+15	Down	$-1	05-11 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	5	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$12	15	6	+10	Up	$-2	05-12 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$8	10	7	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$8	6	4	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	8	$7	10	4	+6	Down	+$1	05-12 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	7	$7	13	0	+13	Up	$-7	05-12 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$7	5	4	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-12 07:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 09:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$4	16	2	+14	Up	$-2	05-11 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$4	7	6	+1	Up	$-0	05-11 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 09:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-12 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-11 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-11 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-11 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-12 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-11 14:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 09:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89e99a…
05-12 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7077fd…
05-12 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3e4fa4…
05-12 22:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdcd0be…
05-12 22:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x71f784…
05-12 22:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x677223…
05-12 22:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x475aa8…
05-12 22:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x755f4c…
05-12 22:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3b12dc…
05-12 22:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xc5fb4b…
05-12 22:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7f4734…
05-12 22:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9715dd…
05-12 22:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xca331d…
05-12 22:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xed7d93…
05-12 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8fbada…
05-12 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x69b905…
05-12 08:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xb9fabb…
05-12 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5e3296…
05-12 08:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x24585e…
05-12 08:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x34cab2…
05-12 07:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x74b0e8…
05-12 07:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe426bc…
05-12 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x17ccb3…
05-12 07:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcc5304…
05-12 07:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4f4fc8…
05-12 07:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x7b5900…
05-12 07:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe422f2…
05-12 07:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa83604…
05-11 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1b6836…
05-11 14:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3d0a8…
05-11 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb37fe6…
05-11 14:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xe6bef0…
05-11 14:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x064d5e…
05-11 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdc8770…
05-11 14:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf0fd14…
05-11 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7eb929…
05-11 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7da7bf…
05-11 14:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa7241d…
05-11 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x98b0b1…
05-11 14:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x02964c…
05-11 14:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb35cf7…
05-11 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6ead73…
05-11 14:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6827cf…
05-11 14:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x492522…
05-11 13:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5b77a0…
05-11 13:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x33d6ee…
05-11 13:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x36ad81…
05-11 13:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xffa490…
05-11 13:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x29ff4e…
05-11 13:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcd72e8…
05-11 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2ad0cf…
05-11 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa05aed…
05-11 13:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1cd1b8…
05-11 13:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x185f59…
05-11 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa0e227…
05-11 13:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x3f1f83…
05-11 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x67c130…
05-11 13:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x38e19c…
05-11 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x22d757…
05-11 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x619a14…
05-11 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x728043…
05-11 13:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa311e4…
05-11 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x5b63bb…
05-11 13:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5df16c…
05-11 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x29487a…
05-11 10:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4f5a0a…
05-11 10:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x89c9f3…
05-11 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2d8129…
05-11 10:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x3a37d0…
05-11 10:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdec1aa…
05-11 10:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x69cd40…
05-11 10:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd448a7…
05-11 10:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7669c0…
05-11 09:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe004f6…
05-11 09:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x0511d0…
05-11 09:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x96cce3…
05-11 09:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5f4f79…
05-11 09:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xfca228…
05-11 09:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xee529b…
05-11 09:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x66ffd0…
05-11 09:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2173ff…
05-11 09:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe7f024…
05-11 09:41:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe45f6a…
05-11 09:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7c117e…
05-11 09:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x092c45…
05-11 09:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x77a34d…
05-11 09:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x706442…
05-11 09:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x702105…
05-11 09:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x910e72…
05-11 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9ba63c…
05-11 09:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xb2eac6…
05-11 09:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x93aa1b…
05-11 09:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x56866a…
05-11 09:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7bd83c…
05-11 09:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x57b980…
05-11 09:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb2a0c3…
05-11 09:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd23b35…
05-11 09:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9869e1…
05-11 09:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf275b7…
05-11 09:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x2d2bd7…