Worldly-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

28 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$37

$37 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 38% $-4

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No		+3	$1	42¢	$1	+$0	05-11 13:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$5	2	9	-7	Down	$-4	05-11 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-12 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-11 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	Down	$-0	05-11 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	Down	+$4	05-11 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-11 09:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$2	0	4	-4	Down	+$0	05-11 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	0	4	-4	Up	$-1	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-0	05-12 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$1	0	6	-6	Up	+$1	05-12 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 07:56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-11 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-11 14:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89e99a…
05-12 22:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7077fd…
05-12 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3e4fa4…
05-12 22:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdcd0be…
05-12 22:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xed7d93…
05-12 22:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8fbada…
05-12 08:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x5e880f…
05-12 07:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe426bc…
05-11 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1b6836…
05-11 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7da7bf…
05-11 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7eb929…
05-11 14:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa7241d…
05-11 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x98b0b1…
05-11 13:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x5b77a0…
05-11 13:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x36ad81…
05-11 13:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2ad0cf…
05-11 13:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x3f1f83…
05-11 13:24:35	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f79d6…
05-11 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x29487a…
05-11 10:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4f5a0a…
05-11 10:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x89c9f3…
05-11 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2d8129…
05-11 10:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x3a37d0…
05-11 09:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe004f6…
05-11 09:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x0511d0…
05-11 09:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x96cce3…
05-11 09:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5f4f79…
05-11 09:52:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xfca228…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	14	$2.89K	119	05-14 00:53
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	11	$628	61	05-12 22:31
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$2.78K	112	05-12 22:31
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	9	$631	57	05-12 22:33
Outlandish-Dragon-Curler 0x218f…17bc	8	$1.34K	87	05-12 22:31
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	8	$1.10K	57	05-12 22:31
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	7	$817	15	05-12 22:31
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	7	$817	35	05-12 22:31