Fresh-Reconsideration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

369

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 96% +$13

Sports

1% 75% +$26

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Other

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$478	240	240	+0	No	+$1	04-26 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	3	$259	130	130	+0	No	+$0	05-26 03:29
will bitcoin reach 74k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-05 04:45
will bitcoin reach 78k july 6 12 2026	4	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-13 03:23
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 27	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	01-27 09:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	2	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	05-18 05:27
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-18 04:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	3	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-29 05:00
will bitcoin reach 76k july 20 26 2026	3	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	07-25 03:21
will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	07-29 04:30
will bitcoin reach 78k june 22 28 2026	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-29 03:32
will bitcoin reach 80k june 15 21 2026	6	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	06-21 03:17
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	3	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-26 13:30
bitcoin above 72k on february 23	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-23 06:29
bitcoin above 84k on january 8	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-08 07:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-06 07:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 4	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-04 06:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 12	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-12 05:59
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-16 01:16
will bitcoin reach 70k on july 14	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	07-14 18:15
will bitcoin reach 98k january 19 25	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-25 08:25
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-20 09:19
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-02 05:50
bitcoin above 92k on january 30	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-30 07:21
bitcoin above 96k on january 9	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-09 07:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 1	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-01 06:34
will solana reach 100 june 1 7 2026	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-08 04:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 20?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-20 12:37
will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-31 10:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 22	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-22 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 15:53:31	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe1940f…
08-19 15:53:18	will bitcoin reach 72k august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xba7d4a…
08-19 04:43:28	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc4404b…
08-19 04:43:22	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51451a…
08-18 07:39:33	will bitcoin reach 72k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9ac608…
08-18 07:39:01	bitcoin above 63400 on august 18 2026 4am et	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb7650…
08-18 07:38:51	bitcoin above 65200 on august 18 2026 4am et	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddfcca…
08-18 07:38:13	will bitcoin reach 72k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4fe5a…
08-18 07:37:52	bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x945c0e…
08-17 04:22:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8d30ad…
08-17 04:22:28	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5a3f8b…
08-16 03:27:39	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc249ae…
08-16 03:27:24	will ethereum reach 2100 august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f28e8…
08-16 03:26:24	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b1810…
08-16 03:26:03	bitcoin above 66k on august 16 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34bb40…
08-15 10:14:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeca683…
08-15 10:14:40	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa4548e…
08-15 10:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07f4ba…
08-15 10:13:42	will bitcoin reach 68k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18166e…
08-07 06:19:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x300dff…
08-06 03:22:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bbefa…
08-06 03:21:30	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb29e62…
08-04 03:52:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 4?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbbd47e…
08-04 03:50:32	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x091a92…
08-04 03:50:23	will bitcoin reach 74k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1856b3…
08-04 03:49:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22c305…
08-04 03:48:53	bitcoin above 58k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc81fd6…
08-03 03:06:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 4?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf957a9…
08-03 03:05:56	will ethereum reach 2400 july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1550ab…
08-02 03:38:23	ethereum above 2300 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x215b94…
08-02 03:38:00	will bitcoin reach 64k on august 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76df0c…
08-02 03:37:30	will bitcoin reach 76k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2168e8…
08-02 03:37:17	will bitcoin reach 78k july 27 august 2 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1590dc…
07-31 04:51:18	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c11c9…
07-31 04:51:08	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xef6616…
07-31 04:49:47	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd1db7b…
07-31 04:49:29	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41627b…
07-31 04:48:53	will ethereum dip to 1300 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc81390…
07-30 06:01:51	will bitcoin reach 76k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x227857…
07-30 03:43:47	will ethereum reach 2400 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4767f7…
07-30 03:43:26	will bitcoin reach 72k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0310e…
07-30 03:43:03	will bitcoin reach 76k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2a393…
07-29 04:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x89a305…
07-29 04:30:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x543cac…
07-29 04:29:51	Bitcoin above 62,600 on July 29, 1AM ET?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54222c…
07-29 04:29:35	Bitcoin above 64,600 on July 29, 1AM ET?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1944be…
07-28 04:09:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7d568d…
07-28 03:40:16	will bitcoin reach 78k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x392c05…
07-28 03:40:07	will bitcoin reach 78k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdefd21…
07-28 03:39:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89e000…
07-28 03:39:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x92895e…
07-27 03:35:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd73f14…
07-27 03:34:49	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0b4871…
07-26 04:37:58	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa050ac…
07-26 04:37:15	will bitcoin reach 70k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7d1adb…
07-25 12:39:24	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa07cb8…
07-25 12:39:24	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x13f153…
07-25 03:21:16	will bitcoin reach 76k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x76cc45…
07-24 08:43:37	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 24	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ec1de…
07-24 08:43:22	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 24	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd7c03e…
07-23 08:15:48	will ethereum reach 2200 on july 23	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x47b849…
07-23 08:15:31	will ethereum dip to 1600 on july 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x121eea…
07-23 08:14:48	will bitcoin reach 76k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa8fff9…
07-22 03:07:15	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7e0a15…
07-22 03:06:55	will bitcoin reach 76k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x276ec9…
07-21 06:03:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 21?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xfac68d…
07-21 05:35:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd41492…
07-21 03:35:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x66740f…
07-20 04:39:13	will ethereum reach 2200 on july 20	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xef8196…
07-19 03:32:24	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa2a5c9…
07-18 03:27:51	will solana reach 110 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3a4380…
07-18 03:27:21	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on July 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf600c1…
07-18 03:25:54	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57067b…
07-16 04:42:10	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 16	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x16dc0e…
07-16 04:42:01	will bitcoin reach 72k on july 16	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x35cbf7…
07-15 06:42:14	ethereum above 2100 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x384bf0…
07-14 18:15:28	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 14	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x09b65a…
07-14 05:40:13	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 14	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xb08619…
07-13 03:23:28	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfc2fe3…
07-13 03:23:19	will bitcoin reach 78k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x318b10…
07-13 03:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd7b9da…
07-12 05:20:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe6d5dd…
07-12 05:20:41	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6c5f4e…
07-11 04:38:49	will bitcoin reach 72k on july 11	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x494d73…
07-10 05:24:37	will bitcoin reach 76k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdb25ba…
07-10 05:24:31	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97f744…
07-10 05:24:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3b7bf…
07-09 03:18:46	will bitcoin reach 78k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x460c7f…
07-09 03:18:40	will bitcoin reach 78k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x72bbe0…
07-08 03:11:02	will bitcoin reach 78k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdbbaa5…
07-08 03:10:41	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec12e3…
07-08 03:09:58	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x022f8e…
07-08 03:09:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x0adc58…
07-08 03:09:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xcd85bc…
07-08 03:09:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x990155…
07-07 05:00:01	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 7	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0d680f…
07-07 04:59:50	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 7	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x867300…
07-06 08:27:19	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 6	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb8228b…
07-06 07:03:46	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 6	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf5218f…
07-06 07:03:29	will bitcoin dip to 57k on july 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefe736…