Sour-Title — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$258

Unrealized P&L

-$147

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,311

lifetime

Volume

$143.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$356

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-28 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% — —

Politics

16% 100% +$8

Crypto

2% 100% +$250

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-1,395	$-209	26¢	$-356	$-147	06-28 03:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	33	$12.9K	6,614	7,291	-677	open	—	01-02 16:47
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	17	$6.9K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	02-07 18:33
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	6	$6.5K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	01-10 06:16
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	4	$6.2K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	01-10 15:43
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 420 439	20	$6.1K	6,240	0	+6,240	open	—	01-01 18:31
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 520 539	4	$6.0K	1,333	5,500	-4,167	open	—	01-02 16:32
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	6	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	01-10 15:58
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	7	$4.9K	3,300	2,030	+1,270	open	—	01-26 18:31
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 40 64	3	$4.9K	5,480	0	+5,480	open	—	01-14 03:49
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	12	$4.5K	4,736	0	+4,736	open	—	01-12 21:39
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 560 579	1	$4.5K	4,513	0	+4,513	open	—	01-16 16:55
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	11	$4.3K	2,359	2,359	+0	open	—	01-13 16:38
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	8	$4.3K	1,691	2,691	-1,000	open	—	01-02 05:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	20	$4.0K	5,700	3,500	+2,200	open	—	02-28 21:46
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	9	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-04 15:12
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	10	$3.8K	2,200	2,400	-200	open	—	04-30 14:09
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$3.7K	2,069	2,069	+0	open	—	04-04 18:55
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	2	$2.8K	1,000	2,000	-1,000	open	—	01-09 15:38
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	5	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-07 01:11
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$2.7K	1,000	2,000	-1,000	open	—	02-01 04:07
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	10	$2.6K	1,565	1,565	+0	open	—	02-01 16:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	19	$2.1K	2,450	800	+1,650	open	—	02-28 07:11
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	01-28 19:24
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	6	$1.8K	2,870	0	+2,870	open	—	01-10 05:25
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	13	$1.7K	1,482	1,478	+3	open	—	04-01 00:14
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	13	$1.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-30 11:35
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	11	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-07 18:33
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	25	$1.3K	1,674	1,974	-300	open	—	05-27 12:27
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	20	$1.3K	3,926	1,726	+2,200	open	—	06-01 19:10
will umbra gateway win the ethdenver buidlathon	26	$1.3K	781	765	+15	open	—	02-27 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 22:39:43	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	SELL	251	31¢	$79	0xfcd890…
06-28 09:21:31	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	154	30¢	$46	0x62cc9d…
06-28 09:21:22	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	97	30¢	$29	0x38ab9e…
06-28 03:12:56	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,600	0¢	$3	0x84f7db…
06-28 03:12:52	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3,644	3¢	$124	0x792f9a…
06-28 03:12:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,395	15¢	$209	0x7c7ea7…
06-17 20:40:02	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xffa3bd…
06-08 08:04:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	648	20¢	$130	0x1a1522…
06-08 07:45:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9c31ab…
06-08 06:53:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x401918…
06-08 06:41:18	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	134	20¢	$27	0x22cc5d…
06-08 06:37:01	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xef7520…
06-08 05:31:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	134	20¢	$27	0x1ba1b0…
06-08 05:09:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	131	20¢	$26	0xf859d3…
06-08 05:05:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	20¢	$67	0x2c500d…
06-08 04:15:06	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf0a91d…
06-08 03:47:28	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x5cfb4c…
06-08 03:45:15	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x13cae9…
06-08 03:45:13	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7d5f60…
06-08 03:45:13	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x4f5bd9…
06-08 03:45:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfef888…
06-08 03:45:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xfa186f…
06-08 03:45:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x81ee52…
06-08 03:45:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x7e1cfb…
06-08 03:45:12	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2858f1…
06-08 03:45:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc70e5c…
06-08 03:45:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc54ef4…
06-08 03:45:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb68563…
06-08 03:45:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9a07ef…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6c3bf4…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x60ef64…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5aece6…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x49b2a7…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2f1b6b…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2b4c2e…
06-08 03:45:09	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x119b53…
06-08 03:45:07	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa73606…
06-08 03:45:07	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x93ca7f…
06-08 03:45:07	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x71cc22…
06-08 03:07:42	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,815	20¢	$363	0x678b19…
06-08 03:07:42	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0x587769…
06-01 19:10:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,200	1¢	$24	0xae3427…
05-30 12:57:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	800	90¢	$718	0x7f0db0…
05-28 18:58:42	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x61d596…
05-28 17:53:45	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	7¢	$36	0x639df4…
05-28 17:11:10	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	22¢	$99	0xccee90…
05-28 17:04:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	365	39¢	$142	0x3ab210…
05-28 15:52:23	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9fffbc…
05-28 15:51:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	395	15¢	$59	0x8aa5ad…
05-28 14:27:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x6851a3…
05-28 14:12:08	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x2469a1…
05-28 14:11:59	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7799b3…
05-28 14:11:54	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	20¢	$16	0xd66d3e…
05-28 14:11:51	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x216911…
05-28 13:43:35	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	622	12¢	$75	0xe55300…
05-28 13:41:13	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x47f287…
05-28 13:32:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	138	25¢	$35	0x63308d…
05-28 13:32:46	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x14aeb6…
05-28 13:32:40	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xfe5914…
05-28 13:32:40	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x7e846f…
05-28 13:32:28	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x72b60b…
05-28 13:32:28	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x5060ef…
05-28 13:26:10	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x5f0516…
05-28 13:26:00	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd755d0…
05-28 13:11:02	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x69a660…
05-28 13:10:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x407b42…
05-28 12:42:16	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0xa40d98…
05-28 12:34:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xbce046…
05-28 12:33:31	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	996	14¢	$139	0xbe2d61…
05-27 14:52:03	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xe70415…
05-27 13:14:50	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf63690…
05-27 12:27:28	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,689	25¢	$422	0x300c97…
05-22 20:50:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc03a25…
05-22 19:21:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	501	8¢	$40	0x917135…
05-21 19:27:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x82392a…
05-21 14:49:48	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,300	4¢	$56	0xc9e4b4…
05-12 01:29:11	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x45d4e2…
05-10 20:15:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xec01c4…
05-09 09:06:12	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	337	65¢	$219	0x2f6447…
05-09 07:34:33	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	135	65¢	$87	0xe696e3…
05-09 06:50:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xfc0f5d…
05-08 19:26:44	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	264	49¢	$129	0xbaf96d…
05-08 18:35:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x21b670…
05-08 12:25:36	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	179	49¢	$88	0x6bf72d…
05-08 09:48:33	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8db981…
05-08 07:46:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x0738b2…
05-08 07:18:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x35b0a1…
05-08 07:17:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	248	70¢	$174	0x2d4389…
05-08 07:13:52	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x82e523…
05-08 07:13:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xe8debc…
05-08 06:36:55	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x17dbbe…
05-08 05:42:44	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x8dada3…
05-08 05:42:02	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0x915421…
05-08 05:42:00	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	208	70¢	$146	0xaaac1a…
05-07 23:41:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x87f24b…
05-07 23:41:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	50¢	$48	0x27dbf1…
05-07 23:41:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x856e67…
05-07 23:40:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x25167e…
05-07 21:44:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xca0402…
05-07 20:49:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	244	53¢	$129	0x598d87…