Dimpled-Pupa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.14K

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

192

Trades

1,088

lifetime

Volume

$364.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$335

Open exposure

$18.6K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-27 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

44% 48% -$12,192

Sports

29% 60% +$14,553

Crypto

27% 47% -$13,278

Politics

0% 100% +$594

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-19,337	-$16,436	96¢	$-18573	-$2,137	06-09 00:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	31	$32.5K	46,729	43,683	+3,046	No	-$6,860	03-05 07:42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$28.2K	15,234	15,234	+0	No	+$183	07-05 01:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$16.4K	0	19,337	-19,337	open	—	06-09 00:49
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	59	$9.0K	14,996	0	+14,996	Spurs	+$5,976	06-09 00:53
will the buffalo bills win super bowl 2026	53	$8.9K	39,671	19,897	+19,774	No	-$3,364	01-14 19:48
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	2	$8.0K	28,716	0	+28,716	No	-$8,000	07-07 00:20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$6.5K	6,471	6,471	+0	Yes	-$65	07-06 16:58
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$6.2K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$770	06-19 21:00
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	4	$5.7K	9,383	0	+9,383	Yes	+$3,683	07-09 20:03
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	7	$5.3K	8,343	0	+8,343	Over	+$3,068	10-13 00:25
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	2	$5.2K	13,462	6,731	+6,731	Yes	+$4,921	07-10 20:16
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	1	$5.2K	11,246	0	+11,246	Bears	+$6,073	01-11 00:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$4.9K	21,462	0	+21,462	No	-$4,903	07-10 22:42
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	2	$4.8K	5,100	5,100	+0	France	-$407	06-22 22:18
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	2	$4.7K	9,400	0	+9,400	Knicks	+$4,700	06-13 23:18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	3	$4.7K	8,556	0	+8,556	Yes	+$3,856	06-20 20:31
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	1	$4.7K	7,825	0	+7,825	No	-$4,695	07-06 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 04:20 UTC	19	$4.6K	8,637	0	+8,637	Down	-$4,626	03-18 04:24
Spread: Bills (-6.5)	4	$4.5K	8,515	0	+8,515	Patriots	-$4,533	10-04 17:05
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	3	$4.1K	6,467	0	+6,467	Yes	+$2,367	06-16 20:23
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	2	$4.1K	7,094	0	+7,094	Paraguay	-$4,100	07-04 21:19
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	1	$4.0K	4,938	0	+4,938	Over	+$938	07-06 02:03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	3	$3.9K	9,294	0	+9,294	Milwaukee Brewers	+$5,394	10-25 00:32
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	1	$3.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$1,400	07-02 00:08
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$3.3K	4,648	0	+4,648	Max Holloway	+$1,348	07-12 02:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	12	$3.3K	7,510	0	+7,510	Down	-$3,300	03-01 04:17
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	2	$3.2K	12,467	0	+12,467	No	-$3,200	07-06 02:01
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	5	$3.1K	2,838	2,838	+0	England	+$160	06-27 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:55 UTC	13	$3.0K	4,494	0	+4,494	Down	-$3,011	03-01 03:56
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	1	$3.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	Yes	+$3,000	07-05 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:01:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3,469	49¢	$1,700	0x83154c…
10-25 00:32:45	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0xed6163…
10-25 00:32:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,414	29¢	$700	0xe5ec6b…
10-24 23:58:20	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5,094	53¢	$2,700	0x4c815d…
10-18 19:02:23	1H Spread: Bills (-4.5)	Raiders	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0xdf49dc…
10-18 19:02:15	1H Spread: Bills (-4.5)	Raiders	BUY	3,448	58¢	$2,000	0x637383…
10-13 00:25:29	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	2,145	61¢	$1,309	0x54eae1…
10-13 00:24:05	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	1,272	64¢	$814	0x6f507d…
10-13 00:23:42	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	1,600	64¢	$1,024	0x39e534…
10-13 00:23:38	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	177	64¢	$114	0x6e5c5e…
10-13 00:23:29	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x2cff1a…
10-13 00:23:23	Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5	Over	BUY	1,550	64¢	$992	0x477d94…
10-04 17:05:13	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Bills	BUY	2,178	51¢	$1,111	0xbab368…
10-04 17:05:02	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Bills	BUY	2,057	54¢	$1,111	0x413586…
10-04 17:04:19	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Bills	BUY	2,057	54¢	$1,111	0x4d2763…
10-04 17:03:49	Spread: Bills (-6.5)	Bills	BUY	2,222	54¢	$1,200	0xf244b9…
07-14 19:25:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	7,843	38¢	$3,000	0x81887f…
07-13 01:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	985	7¢	$68	0x66c386…
07-13 01:46:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x9c5503…
07-13 01:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xb0c3ff…
07-13 01:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x15b2f1…
07-13 01:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0xb23c44…
07-13 01:42:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x11a28f…
07-13 01:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x44546d…
07-13 01:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x0e3336…
07-13 01:42:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	255	79¢	$200	0xb16235…
07-13 01:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	240	83¢	$200	0xf53f4b…
07-13 01:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8afacd…
07-13 01:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x27dcaf…
07-13 01:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x935351…
07-13 01:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x2a29e3…
07-13 01:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x3f6c0d…
07-13 01:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x4a6ac1…
07-12 21:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	113	14¢	$15	0xc57fcc…
07-12 21:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	709	17¢	$122	0x6077cb…
07-12 21:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	669	50¢	$333	0x79c961…
07-12 21:39:19	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	2,791	43¢	$1,200	0x817371…
07-12 21:38:58	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	3,750	8¢	$300	0xa30aa2…
07-12 05:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xeced44…
07-12 05:00:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xeedcd8…
07-12 05:00:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x6b9b45…
07-12 05:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x50c5ae…
07-12 05:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0xfb5645…
07-12 04:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	410	27¢	$111	0x21689f…
07-12 04:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x48c82d…
07-12 04:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x2d9487…
07-12 04:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x86fbce…
07-12 02:52:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	984	30¢	$300	0x26ece9…
07-12 02:35:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	1,200	50¢	$600	0xeb24fe…
07-12 02:35:29	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,622	43¢	$699	0xe0c9f6…
07-12 02:25:19	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,622	18¢	$300	0x178e89…
07-12 02:22:23	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	4,648	71¢	$3,300	0x20e77c…
07-10 22:42:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,209	37¢	$1,200	0xa2c0a2…
07-10 20:16:05	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	6,731	25¢	$1,690	0x78253d…
07-10 20:14:52	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	13,462	26¢	$3,500	0x037c17…
07-10 19:49:41	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3,556	56¢	$2,000	0xe9067c…
07-10 19:32:38	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	3,333	18¢	$600	0xe04b64…
07-10 19:04:28	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	3,664	11¢	$403	0xef1c22…
07-10 19:03:49	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	900	11¢	$99	0x059e7d…
07-10 19:03:40	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	2,727	11¢	$300	0xba2469…
07-10 19:02:35	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	353	11¢	$39	0x913758…
07-10 18:02:10	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	900	45¢	$405	0xc954e9…
07-10 18:02:02	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	750	45¢	$338	0x5c8f58…
07-10 18:01:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,700	45¢	$765	0xd17bff…
07-10 17:56:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x3c3531…
07-10 17:56:37	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	850	52¢	$442	0x8915d2…
07-09 20:03:40	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	1,152	61¢	$700	0x44f69a…
07-09 20:03:32	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	1,646	61¢	$1,000	0x91d92e…
07-09 20:03:22	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3,292	61¢	$2,000	0x40bdce…
07-09 20:03:19	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3,292	61¢	$2,000	0xbf930d…
07-07 00:20:28	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	12,500	16¢	$2,000	0xf651a1…
07-06 21:38:37	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	16,216	37¢	$6,000	0x86e203…
07-06 16:59:07	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	7,825	60¢	$4,695	0x0f8e66…
07-06 16:58:40	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	6,471	50¢	$3,235	0x25a83b…
07-06 16:16:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6,471	51¢	$3,300	0x1e275d…
07-06 02:05:23	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?	Yes	SELL	3,333	18¢	$600	0xf9f262…
07-06 02:03:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4,938	81¢	$4,000	0xa7eb2a…
07-06 02:02:16	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,786	28¢	$500	0x2caca3…
07-06 02:01:35	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	4,655	15¢	$700	0x7bccf5…
07-05 23:54:53	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	7,812	32¢	$2,500	0x974ec7…
07-05 18:41:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	6,000	50¢	$3,000	0x5ef4e5…
07-05 18:41:13	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x1dfeff…
07-05 18:40:58	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	3,333	9¢	$300	0x653e16…
07-05 01:00:53	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15,234	93¢	$14,183	0x51f5bd…
07-04 21:19:52	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	2,857	56¢	$1,600	0x7de051…
07-04 18:01:58	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	1,385	65¢	$900	0x7ddd81…
07-04 18:00:37	Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	2,143	14¢	$300	0x91dd5b…
07-04 18:00:19	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	3,333	9¢	$300	0xf284b1…
07-04 17:57:47	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	4,237	59¢	$2,500	0xfbda7e…
07-03 17:10:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	3,284	67¢	$2,200	0x6b31b6…
07-03 17:10:34	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	1,667	18¢	$300	0x27b54e…
07-03 17:10:22	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2,927	41¢	$1,200	0x603509…
07-03 04:11:53	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2,222	36¢	$800	0x52f6e7…
07-02 19:35:41	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1,168	68¢	$800	0x817194…
07-02 19:35:34	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1,739	69¢	$1,200	0x043a00…
07-02 04:23:16	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15,234	92¢	$14,000	0x9cb95e…
07-02 00:08:07	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	5,000	72¢	$3,600	0xbd5279…
06-30 15:35:25	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	3,896	77¢	$3,000	0x690564…
06-29 06:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	615	36¢	$222	0xb52523…
06-29 06:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	575	39¢	$222	0x70c595…