Aching-Pea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,280

lifetime

Volume

$349.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 05-12 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$1,424

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-100

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	53	$29.0K	15,025	15,025	+0	open	—	03-31 12:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	10	$15.0K	9,293	9,293	+0	open	—	02-20 06:48
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 29corhigher	62	$13.1K	6,170	7,044	-875	open	—	04-02 13:53
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	33	$12.2K	6,628	6,628	+0	open	—	03-30 05:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	36	$12.2K	8,018	8,018	+0	open	—	02-20 06:44
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	15	$9.5K	5,781	5,781	+0	open	—	02-11 01:06
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	39	$8.9K	5,183	5,183	+0	open	—	02-12 04:55
highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 21c	235	$8.8K	11,568	0	+11,568	open	—	04-01 09:14
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$8.6K	4,403	4,403	+0	open	—	02-07 07:23
highest temperature in chicago on march 28 2026 62forhigher	113	$8.3K	4,167	4,167	+0	open	—	03-28 23:14
another us government shutdown by february 14	17	$8.2K	5,244	5,244	+0	open	—	02-14 11:31
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 neg 7corbelow	3	$8.2K	4,102	4,102	+0	open	—	03-26 14:14
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 30corhigher	70	$8.1K	8,190	181	+8,009	open	—	04-03 06:20
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	7	$7.5K	3,918	3,918	+0	open	—	02-01 05:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$6.7K	3,575	3,575	+0	open	—	02-01 01:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$6.0K	3,077	3,077	+0	open	—	03-30 02:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$5.6K	3,005	3,005	+0	open	—	03-31 11:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$5.5K	2,958	2,958	+0	open	—	02-09 02:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$5.4K	2,613	4,012	-1,399	Yes	+$1,388	02-28 02:20
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	29	$5.0K	6,477	1,355	+5,121	open	—	05-12 10:52
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 14c	47	$4.3K	2,151	2,150	+1	open	—	04-02 16:20
highest temperature in chongqing on april 3 2026 21c	29	$4.2K	2,098	2,139	-41	open	—	04-03 06:06
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$4.1K	2,180	2,180	+0	open	—	03-15 01:17
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 20corhigher	28	$4.1K	2,296	1,797	+499	open	—	04-03 06:01
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$4.0K	4,299	0	+4,299	open	—	05-09 11:58
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 25corhigher	27	$3.8K	1,623	2,228	-604	open	—	04-02 11:29
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$3.8K	1,973	1,973	+0	open	—	02-01 01:52
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	55	$3.7K	2,431	2,223	+208	open	—	04-10 09:55
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 23c	8	$3.7K	1,657	2,065	-407	open	—	04-02 13:36
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	21	$3.6K	3,663	0	+3,663	open	—	04-22 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:52:02	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1,343	10¢	$135	0x115883…
05-12 10:50:42	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x32a294…
05-12 10:50:38	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	529	50¢	$265	0x8db184…
05-12 10:48:34	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	298	40¢	$119	0xf33cf1…
05-12 10:48:34	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	423	49¢	$207	0x69ad7b…
05-12 10:48:18	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe90f6e…
05-12 10:48:18	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	223	39¢	$87	0x15278d…
05-12 10:48:16	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x75a09f…
05-12 10:44:01	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdf719a…
05-12 10:43:17	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x4e1ed2…
05-12 10:41:11	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1,000	32¢	$318	0x6c9aca…
05-12 10:41:06	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x41aae5…
05-12 10:40:03	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x9860f9…
05-09 11:58:17	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	135	97¢	$130	0x1576e0…
05-09 11:55:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	683	97¢	$660	0x4852eb…
05-09 11:25:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	817	97¢	$790	0x6d0aee…
05-07 19:59:31	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	978	97¢	$949	0x0af8dc…
05-07 14:09:01	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	1,012	99¢	$998	0xfbc18e…
05-07 14:08:42	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc043a1…
05-07 14:08:26	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfddc41…
05-07 14:08:22	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf2a871…
05-07 14:08:15	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	978	97¢	$949	0x2ce67b…
05-07 14:08:10	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xdf9ce8…
05-07 14:08:05	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xb00c7b…
05-05 16:21:02	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	67	94¢	$64	0x17fb5f…
05-05 11:47:40	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x8764d5…
05-05 01:03:06	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0x9673bb…
05-05 00:20:58	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xe1906d…
05-04 23:11:48	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,665	90¢	$2,398	0x60fea8…
05-04 23:09:12	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0xc09409…
05-04 23:09:10	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x27b464…
05-04 23:09:06	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0x6ef153…
05-04 23:08:58	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0xd70f2b…
05-04 23:08:58	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	168	94¢	$159	0x99d370…
05-04 23:04:22	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xe42fd7…
05-04 23:04:14	Will JD Vance say "Trump" 3+ times in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc6fe2a…
05-04 23:03:36	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xbfb641…
05-04 23:03:30	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fa30e…
05-04 23:03:26	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xacaa5e…
05-04 23:03:24	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x4b4b2b…
05-04 23:03:20	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf396a1…
05-04 23:03:16	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9c3a6…
05-04 23:03:14	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6d4148…
05-04 23:03:08	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0x96040d…
04-29 06:02:28	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5f542e…
04-29 06:01:16	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfe8306…
04-29 06:01:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xf846da…
04-29 06:01:10	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4fb4ad…
04-29 06:01:08	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xad957d…
04-29 06:01:06	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x6f0cf8…
04-29 06:01:04	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xebc789…
04-29 06:01:00	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb926a5…
04-26 16:33:20	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	803	99¢	$795	0x02cff9…
04-26 09:14:48	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x7fd3ba…
04-26 09:12:14	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x67f4d3…
04-25 16:57:56	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xdcd9b1…
04-22 09:17:50	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe63f7d…
04-21 18:04:14	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	159	99¢	$157	0x3f24b4…
04-21 16:14:58	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	519	99¢	$511	0x7d5340…
04-20 14:13:38	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xd5a1fd…
04-20 13:03:30	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xab699f…
04-20 01:09:28	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0xcd5ba7…
04-19 19:23:18	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	634	99¢	$624	0xa3559e…
04-19 17:27:20	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x5e87f5…
04-19 17:27:16	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xb63d07…
04-19 17:27:14	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xf73eae…
04-19 17:27:12	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	937	99¢	$926	0x20f03c…
04-19 17:27:12	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x0c975f…
04-19 07:02:12	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	504	99¢	$497	0x04e531…
04-19 07:02:08	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a97f4…
04-19 07:02:04	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x8cc1eb…
04-19 07:02:00	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x200e8c…
04-19 07:01:56	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x6745db…
04-19 07:01:52	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x226b49…
04-19 07:01:50	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf80acd…
04-19 07:01:46	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x072f15…
04-19 07:01:42	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 713	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a69b5…
04-16 19:50:42	will trumps remarks not air 825 514 743	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x40693d…
04-16 17:18:06	will trumps remarks not air 825 514 743	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0xb9349a…
04-16 17:18:00	will trumps remarks not air 825 514 743	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x87453c…
04-14 21:21:04	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x65be68…
04-14 20:26:26	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a944d…
04-14 20:25:42	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe6399a…
04-14 18:12:16	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	1,935	98¢	$1,897	0xe3f921…
04-14 16:56:24	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0xa64263…
04-14 16:56:16	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x6a12c1…
04-14 16:56:12	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x0a31e6…
04-13 03:48:55	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	460	98¢	$451	0x994572…
04-12 17:32:49	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x888006…
04-12 17:18:19	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc5d526…
04-12 17:18:15	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xa83188…
04-12 17:18:11	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xcfec21…
04-10 09:55:05	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	SELL	249	4¢	$11	0x8d8a72…
04-10 09:49:43	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	650	94¢	$613	0x534bf4…
04-10 09:49:43	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	BUY	142	6¢	$9	0x534bf4…
04-10 09:49:23	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa5065a…
04-10 09:49:05	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x32fffa…
04-10 09:47:55	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	BUY	181	6¢	$11	0x68816f…
04-10 09:47:43	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x54c7d7…
04-10 09:47:29	highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x3d8278…