Realized P&L
-$13.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
36.6%
Resolved
337
Trades
3,022
lifetime
Volume
$353.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-08
last 08-10 05:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Politics
68%
22%
-$14,643
Crypto
17%
58%
-$368
Other
15%
15%
+$1,523
Tech
0%
0%
-$25
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-10).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 182 | $42.1K | 100,287 | 107,487 | -7,200 | No | -$1,273 | 04-21 13:46 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 156 | $40.5K | 62,001 | 62,001 | +0 | No | +$3,103 | 04-21 23:04 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 207 | $32.8K | 336,599 | 369,759 | -33,161 | No | -$4,755 | 04-30 17:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 106 | $32.6K | 20,805 | 20,805 | +0 | No | -$1,266 | 04-23 11:38 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | 68 | $10.5K | 73,285 | 42,409 | +30,876 | No | -$5,314 | 06-12 12:38 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 40 | $10.3K | 7,508 | 7,508 | +0 | Yes | -$154 | 04-16 16:25 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026 | 31 | $10.2K | 5,573 | 5,573 | +0 | Yes | +$480 | 04-16 21:25 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | 87 | $7.9K | 11,488 | 11,488 | +0 | No | -$1,987 | 05-29 20:31 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 60 | $7.1K | 15,451 | 11,944 | +3,506 | Yes | +$2,815 | 04-06 17:25 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 58 | $6.9K | 14,085 | 14,375 | -290 | Yes | -$1,797 | 06-10 14:49 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 110 | $6.4K | 63,033 | 63,033 | +0 | No | -$165 | 05-14 09:00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 39 | $5.8K | 36,645 | 36,645 | +0 | Yes | +$1,109 | 06-12 09:10 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 14 | $5.3K | 4,987 | 4,987 | +0 | No | +$192 | 04-21 15:53 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 6 | $5.2K | 2,757 | 2,757 | +0 | No | +$261 | 04-16 04:02 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 98 | $4.6K | 66,725 | 76,975 | -10,250 | No | -$553 | 05-27 19:29 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 20 | $4.3K | 11,130 | 11,130 | +0 | Yes | +$3,121 | 04-08 01:42 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 45 | $3.9K | 15,024 | 9,799 | +5,226 | Yes | +$4,037 | 04-06 15:33 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | 48 | $3.9K | 9,215 | 9,215 | +0 | No | -$714 | 05-29 20:32 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | 47 | $3.7K | 18,744 | 18,744 | +0 | No | -$652 | 04-26 16:52 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 19 | $3.5K | 2,221 | 2,221 | +0 | No | +$255 | 03-31 17:54 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | 34 | $3.5K | 9,947 | 9,947 | +0 | No | -$603 | 04-25 15:47 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 4 | $3.2K | 3,325 | 3,325 | +0 | Yes | +$96 | 04-06 13:06 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | 23 | $3.1K | 5,991 | 6,191 | -200 | No | -$1,107 | 04-27 03:24 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | 15 | $2.9K | 4,568 | 4,568 | +0 | No | -$450 | 04-27 08:38 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 4 | $2.9K | 5,262 | 5,262 | -0 | No | +$199 | 04-27 11:26 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 17:50 UTC | 3 | $2.7K | 1,384 | 1,365 | +19 | Up | -$10 | 04-01 17:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:40 UTC | 2 | $2.3K | 1,171 | 1,169 | +2 | Up | +$21 | 04-02 15:45 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 51 | $2.3K | 4,828 | 4,941 | -113 | No | -$1,390 | 04-27 04:57 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:50 UTC | 3 | $2.0K | 1,733 | 1,677 | +56 | Down | +$103 | 03-31 14:50 |
| us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889 | 7 | $2.0K | 3,807 | 3,807 | +0 | Yes | -$29 | 06-12 07:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||