Luminous-Eternity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

-$134

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$174.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

$613

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-02 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 67% +$49

Other

42% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	+377	$139	36¢	$136	$-3	06-25 12:48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	+200	$174	68¢	$135	$-39	06-20 06:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$124	54¢	$107	$-17	06-30 17:47
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$124	16¢	$82	$-42	06-01 09:37
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$90	38¢	$75	$-15	06-20 18:12
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	+60	$53	94¢	$56	+$3	06-19 20:02
NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	+242	$36	6¢	$15	$-22	05-28 14:22
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	+26	$3	16¢	$4	+$1	06-25 11:54
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	No	+2	$2	88¢	$2	+$0	06-22 14:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	12¢	$1	+$0	06-02 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	29	$21.2K	10,978	10,978	+0	open	—	05-15 14:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	26	$18.9K	9,669	10,212	-543	open	—	05-25 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$15.3K	8,712	8,712	+0	open	—	05-26 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	23	$15.0K	6,579	10,213	-3,633	open	—	05-23 14:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	12	$9.9K	5,567	5,567	+0	open	—	05-28 14:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-13 10:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$6.3K	3,175	3,175	+0	open	—	04-12 22:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	20	$5.9K	2,900	3,295	-395	open	—	05-10 00:39
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	24	$5.4K	3,130	3,130	+0	open	—	04-12 19:14
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	12	$4.8K	2,399	2,782	-383	open	—	04-27 18:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	43	$4.5K	29,465	31,765	-2,300	open	—	04-09 14:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	14	$4.4K	2,312	2,312	+0	open	—	04-29 11:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$3.3K	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	05-26 15:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	04-26 10:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	7	$2.9K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	+$49	05-11 00:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	22	$2.5K	10,730	10,730	+0	open	—	04-28 00:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$2.1K	6,710	6,710	+0	open	—	06-07 00:41
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	05-01 07:07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	9	$1.9K	1,558	558	+1,000	open	—	05-14 01:00
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	7	$1.8K	1,889	0	+1,889	open	—	05-01 07:45
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	4	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	07-01 21:53
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$1.6K	920	900	+20	open	—	03-28 14:52
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$1.5K	1,672	0	+1,672	open	—	04-30 05:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-28 14:15
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	21	$1.4K	5,898	5,898	+0	open	—	05-18 14:27
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	10	$1.3K	1,190	200	+990	open	—	04-15 23:06
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$1.1K	593	593	+0	open	—	04-24 16:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	17	$1.1K	598	598	+0	open	—	04-23 17:55
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	29	$963	800	800	+0	open	—	04-16 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 01:48:37	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xf3b79d…
07-02 01:28:46	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	SELL	238	89¢	$212	0xc8f92d…
07-01 22:39:07	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x91cd62…
07-01 22:24:47	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x39f9cf…
07-01 21:53:32	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	900	94¢	$846	0xa3d773…
07-01 21:51:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	SELL	216	51¢	$110	0x8cb7d8…
07-01 21:49:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0xc1410c…
07-01 17:48:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x00789c…
07-01 17:48:52	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	48	92¢	$44	0x08b61b…
07-01 16:23:29	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	SELL	455	67¢	$305	0x776973…
07-01 15:59:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	455	88¢	$400	0xd6bae8…
06-30 19:33:56	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x783761…
06-30 17:47:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x60b25c…
06-30 14:26:13	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x240b72…
06-30 12:53:02	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x974097…
06-29 22:58:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	SELL	345	68¢	$234	0x59ff5d…
06-29 19:23:17	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xa9a7ba…
06-29 17:04:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x01fa04…
06-28 18:06:59	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xfd1894…
06-27 16:52:59	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	SELL	771	1¢	$8	0x5e7902…
06-26 12:08:56	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	Yes	SELL	222	18¢	$40	0x21409d…
06-25 19:45:01	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	177	9¢	$16	0x178e58…
06-25 12:48:32	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	BUY	349	37¢	$129	0x65253b…
06-25 12:13:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	SELL	300	65¢	$194	0x3c4a3b…
06-25 11:54:59	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	13¢	$3	0xb99c1c…
06-25 03:59:13	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xce1731…
06-24 17:31:41	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x858523…
06-23 11:17:40	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0xed77d6…
06-23 09:06:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	290	68¢	$197	0xdcbe90…
06-23 07:35:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x8c680c…
06-22 14:01:58	Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5b8c22…
06-21 19:34:10	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	260	5¢	$13	0x9965bb…
06-21 16:58:28	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xccb066…
06-21 16:58:26	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0xb35031…
06-21 16:28:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x05d021…
06-21 16:19:56	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x55c903…
06-21 13:37:19	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x7c103f…
06-20 18:28:13	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x591191…
06-20 18:12:02	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x2f6760…
06-20 14:46:58	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x289217…
06-20 14:43:07	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2bbcac…
06-20 14:39:38	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa3dde3…
06-20 14:08:11	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	157	58¢	$91	0xf1466c…
06-20 13:23:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	77	59¢	$45	0x7eb61f…
06-20 13:22:23	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0xb2beab…
06-20 13:07:53	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf99850…
06-20 08:25:55	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0xfab46c…
06-20 07:32:17	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	111	9¢	$10	0x911ffd…
06-20 07:10:55	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	215	7¢	$15	0x6e213d…
06-20 06:11:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x91c2ed…
06-20 00:07:05	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	Yes	BUY	222	13¢	$30	0x8b34b5…
06-19 23:43:14	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xadb116…
06-19 23:32:52	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	227	6¢	$14	0xf2f6ba…
06-19 23:19:13	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	BUY	294	8¢	$23	0x71688e…
06-19 22:55:08	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xd37804…
06-19 20:31:05	Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	227	6¢	$14	0x834606…
06-19 20:27:31	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4f3dcc…
06-19 20:06:44	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	No	BUY	11	90¢	$9	0xfd8c1f…
06-19 20:02:17	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x55b151…
06-19 19:52:28	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?	No	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0x84ff2d…
06-19 12:34:49	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,111	1¢	$6	0xe8c9f4…
06-07 00:41:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,692	16¢	$751	0x6a40fd…
06-07 00:28:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0xe84ac1…
06-07 00:27:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0xf12148…
06-07 00:26:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x1a1208…
06-06 22:53:00	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	2¢	$20	0x6b353a…
06-06 22:13:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,071	3¢	$32	0x63f00b…
06-05 22:58:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,500	16¢	$400	0xae8cee…
06-05 21:56:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,210	16¢	$674	0x77ee4d…
06-05 21:52:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	903	5¢	$44	0xbc830a…
06-05 21:44:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x20c904…
06-05 21:43:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0x73daf1…
06-02 14:25:57	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xefaff2…
06-02 14:20:58	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xff14e3…
06-02 14:19:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x45addc…
06-01 09:37:52	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$124	0x0ce0f5…
05-28 23:57:13	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,883	3¢	$58	0x1296d8…
05-28 23:30:21	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,097	3¢	$65	0xbf88f7…
05-28 23:26:34	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,226	3¢	$100	0xd6b6fd…
05-28 17:06:07	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,049	3¢	$31	0x5c6140…
05-28 17:04:06	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x301fb5…
05-28 16:59:47	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc16489…
05-28 14:22:56	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	242	15¢	$36	0x63b46d…
05-28 14:15:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	91¢	$363	0x37ca6d…
05-28 14:14:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$482	0x8f14e5…
05-27 20:03:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	92¢	$369	0xbad0b4…
05-27 20:01:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x355fb3…
05-27 16:57:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	84	90¢	$76	0xf156b1…
05-27 16:13:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x677764…
05-27 16:13:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	82	90¢	$74	0xc3773c…
05-27 16:13:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2367e2…
05-27 16:12:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0xba9ea6…
05-27 15:58:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	144	90¢	$130	0x5328b1…
05-27 15:54:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xe9b7c4…
05-27 15:51:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x0c2067…
05-26 15:22:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x6f9378…
05-26 15:09:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	97¢	$2,922	0xc86cf6…
05-26 07:28:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$350	0xe7031a…
05-26 01:14:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xfb8d8d…
05-25 23:12:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xd3803f…