Luminous-Eternity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

+$295

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

206

Trades

1,642

lifetime

Volume

$280.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

$4.03K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-04 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

57% 50% -$171

Other

41% 65% -$1,717

Crypto

2% 100% +$281

Tech

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+1,279	$1,176	92¢	$1.2K	+$6	10-28 18:08
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+1,220	$1,129	95¢	$1.2K	+$34	10-28 18:00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+11,250	$1,325	8¢	$956	-$369	11-01 20:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,605	-$313	12¢	$-201	+$113	07-25 06:16
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	+200	$186	96¢	$192	+$6	10-28 13:54
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+200	$164	88¢	$176	+$12	10-31 21:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$129	90¢	$136	+$7	10-28 17:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-400	-$505	6¢	$-22	+$483	05-24 13:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	+300	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	06-21 09:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	07-28 16:20
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	06-25 19:45
ukraine election called by december 31 2026	Yes	+0	-$6	3¢	$0	+$6	08-20 19:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	29	$21.2K	10,978	10,978	+0	No	+$153	05-15 14:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	27	$19.6K	9,669	10,942	-1,272	No	+$105	05-25 10:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	60	$18.7K	114,094	114,094	+0	open	—	08-14 13:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	27	$17.5K	9,600	9,600	+0	No	+$143	05-26 02:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	32	$16.6K	8,413	10,213	-1,800	No	-$57	05-23 14:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$15.3K	8,712	8,712	+0	No	-$51	05-26 15:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	115	$11.5K	27,719	27,719	+0	open	—	08-04 13:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	12	$9.9K	5,567	5,567	+0	No	-$29	05-28 14:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$17	05-13 10:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	36	$7.5K	8,222	8,622	-400	open	—	05-24 13:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	21	$6.3K	3,295	3,295	+0	No	+$8	05-10 00:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$6.3K	3,175	3,175	+0	Yes	+$26	04-12 22:28
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	94	$5.7K	30,557	19,307	+11,250	open	—	11-01 20:27
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	18	$5.5K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	+$32	07-25 18:32
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	24	$5.4K	3,130	3,130	+0	No	+$804	04-12 19:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	79	$5.3K	10,584	12,189	-1,605	open	—	07-25 06:16
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	12	$4.8K	2,399	2,782	-383	No	+$144	04-27 18:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	43	$4.5K	29,465	31,765	-2,300	No	-$1,256	04-09 14:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	14	$4.4K	2,312	2,312	+0	No	+$189	04-29 11:41
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	34	$3.3K	3,637	0	+3,637	Yes	+$291	05-30 14:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$3.3K	3,400	0	+3,400	No	+$118	05-26 15:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	No	+$0	04-26 10:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	7	$2.9K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	+$49	05-11 00:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	7	$2.5K	10,771	10,771	-0	No	-$334	06-06 22:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	22	$2.5K	10,730	10,730	+0	No	+$115	04-28 00:29
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	6	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$80	07-11 10:06
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	No	+$72	05-01 07:07
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	11	$2.0K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$21	07-03 01:05
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	9	$1.9K	1,558	558	+1,000	No	+$123	05-14 01:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$4	07-12 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:34:12	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0x46e405…
11-04 09:12:22	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	165	90¢	$149	0x799024…
11-03 17:19:03	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x566830…
11-03 17:18:58	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x1a65e5…
11-03 17:18:51	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x2386fd…
11-03 17:18:45	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x6742f5…
11-02 17:06:30	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	195	4¢	$9	0x6cf9f5…
11-01 20:27:09	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,263	10¢	$226	0x61a19f…
11-01 17:00:27	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,050	10¢	$205	0x967869…
10-31 21:52:46	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	138	82¢	$113	0x4bd0d4…
10-31 21:52:43	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x43fa4e…
10-31 21:04:04	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x1d9c81…
10-31 17:18:24	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	687	10¢	$69	0x12d416…
10-31 01:46:36	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x8f5d96…
10-30 18:10:46	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x30b1a6…
10-30 16:05:54	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	98	67¢	$66	0x090cda…
10-30 09:41:10	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x5bb254…
10-29 23:44:33	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	170	70¢	$119	0xd87a88…
10-29 20:06:31	NATO article 5 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	498	4¢	$22	0xa812e6…
10-29 08:43:08	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf6373d…
10-28 19:13:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xaae635…
10-28 19:13:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x59dc35…
10-28 19:13:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x057a50…
10-28 19:12:49	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0xbb52ca…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xdef4bf…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xacd9ac…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa9b840…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x98c030…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x527b95…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x47172d…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x4655d5…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x42414b…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x33685f…
10-28 19:12:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x1e0a75…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xdda048…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xdd609d…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc6a487…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xbfcf96…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa60a3a…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x728263…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6541d4…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x612b41…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x43cb79…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x29b014…
10-28 19:11:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5283f1…
10-28 19:11:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xbd9f41…
10-28 19:11:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x904562…
10-28 19:11:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x516595…
10-28 19:11:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x408305…
10-28 19:11:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x32eaf0…
10-28 19:11:40	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x473dc1…
10-28 19:11:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa860d2…
10-28 19:11:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x7ce677…
10-28 19:11:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x0e6a36…
10-28 19:11:20	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x09ad6b…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xfc935a…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xeae3c2…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd98c04…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd6a018…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xbccf14…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xad4419…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa7f084…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x94c70b…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x7cec33…
10-28 19:10:47	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3f31ca…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xff6dc2…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xcd6bd4…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xc152cc…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xbf429b…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb7c98c…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb69d15…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3afdac…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x2d658e…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x11cd66…
10-28 19:10:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x03fa4f…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xce14f1…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8b75d8…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x8914f3…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x884d95…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x5a3d44…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x54e96b…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x2f7b93…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x0f3519…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x05f9aa…
10-28 19:09:43	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x013272…
10-28 19:09:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc81ed6…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xd524d5…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xb138af…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x87500a…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x869909…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x837a32…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x47fc87…
10-28 19:09:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x1aae0c…
10-28 18:08:46	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x5ee382…
10-28 18:00:40	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x4a4b13…
10-28 17:59:07	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	366	93¢	$339	0x2c229e…
10-28 17:57:44	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xdd109d…
10-28 17:57:44	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x097d38…
10-28 17:39:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xfc7cbf…
10-28 17:24:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0xd130f3…