Luminous-Eternity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,140

lifetime

Volume

$208.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 08-09 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 67% +$49

Other

39% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	29	$21.2K	10,978	10,978	+0	open	—	05-15 14:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	26	$18.9K	9,669	10,212	-543	open	—	05-25 10:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$15.3K	8,712	8,712	+0	open	—	05-26 15:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	23	$15.0K	6,579	10,213	-3,633	open	—	05-23 14:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	110	$10.3K	25,719	25,719	-0	open	—	08-04 13:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	12	$9.9K	5,567	5,567	+0	open	—	05-28 14:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$7.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-13 10:30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	48	$6.6K	42,981	40,000	+2,981	open	—	08-06 14:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$6.3K	3,175	3,175	+0	open	—	04-12 22:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	20	$5.9K	2,900	3,295	-395	open	—	05-10 00:39
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	18	$5.5K	2,900	2,900	+0	open	—	07-25 18:32
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	24	$5.4K	3,130	3,130	+0	open	—	04-12 19:14
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	12	$4.8K	2,399	2,782	-383	open	—	04-27 18:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	43	$4.5K	29,465	31,765	-2,300	open	—	04-09 14:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	14	$4.4K	2,312	2,312	+0	open	—	04-29 11:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$3.3K	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	05-26 15:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.1K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	04-26 10:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	31	$3.0K	606	12,188	-11,582	open	—	07-25 06:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	7	$2.9K	1,479	1,479	+0	No	+$49	05-11 00:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	22	$2.5K	10,730	10,730	+0	open	—	04-28 00:29
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	6	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	07-11 10:06
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	5	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	05-01 07:07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	9	$1.9K	1,558	558	+1,000	open	—	05-14 01:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-12 11:59
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	7	$1.8K	1,889	0	+1,889	open	—	05-01 07:45
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	18	$1.7K	5,557	5,557	+0	open	—	08-05 00:13
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$1.6K	920	900	+20	open	—	03-28 14:52
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	7	$1.6K	945	743	+202	open	—	07-04 00:44
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$1.5K	1,672	0	+1,672	open	—	04-30 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 03:08:58	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb702ad…
08-13 03:08:52	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe357d5…
08-09 13:03:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x2cb5b0…
08-07 04:11:49	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x649582…
08-07 04:11:34	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x56f2f0…
08-06 14:27:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33,869	8¢	$2,709	0x7d73f0…
08-06 13:27:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xa81b75…
08-06 12:59:21	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	148	72¢	$107	0xe68d9b…
08-06 12:49:59	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x544523…
08-06 12:39:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2ebdbb…
08-06 10:51:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x757750…
08-06 10:39:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0xed8fc2…
08-06 09:52:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xf5ebc7…
08-06 09:37:36	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x0418a3…
08-06 09:26:24	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	390	8¢	$31	0xfd19b6…
08-06 08:34:51	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x2c6879…
08-06 06:41:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xdfd282…
08-06 05:26:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x4987db…
08-06 04:11:42	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x84ff5f…
08-06 02:27:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	8¢	$2	0x2746b8…
08-05 21:47:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x315a7f…
08-05 21:18:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,471	8¢	$438	0xdc0eef…
08-05 00:13:56	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	2,776	15¢	$416	0x514639…
08-04 23:52:53	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	286	15¢	$43	0x40f383…
08-04 23:22:03	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x711480…
08-04 22:24:51	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x037fde…
08-04 21:48:39	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x2f0710…
08-04 15:40:21	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0x65adc9…
08-04 15:17:05	atp damm tsitsip 2026 08 03	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xde64d7…
08-04 15:10:18	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x38c039…
08-04 14:36:12	atp houkes gaubas 2026 08 03	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x45b45e…
08-04 14:18:50	atp giustin sachko 2026 08 03	Lorenzo Giustino	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x75a063…
08-04 13:55:05	atp giustin sachko 2026 08 03	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3ca0d1…
08-04 13:09:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	380	20¢	$76	0x2efce4…
08-04 13:07:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x25e34d…
08-04 12:54:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x588295…
08-04 12:53:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa6e1cb…
08-04 12:50:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xa4f937…
08-04 12:50:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	214	20¢	$43	0x56ff08…
08-04 12:47:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	20¢	$25	0xb0d358…
08-04 12:37:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xb4305a…
08-04 12:30:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xe91e78…
08-04 10:14:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x4d095b…
08-04 07:39:38	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	559	15¢	$84	0x492ccd…
08-04 02:36:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	865	22¢	$190	0xd0a261…
08-04 00:28:45	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	1,085	15¢	$163	0x7a1620…
08-03 22:05:47	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	333	15¢	$50	0xb4d7b1…
08-03 19:42:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xb936e0…
08-03 19:32:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,468	8¢	$357	0x77d4c7…
08-03 19:27:21	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2,755	15¢	$413	0x495f7d…
08-03 19:24:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	8¢	$72	0xad4e39…
08-03 18:59:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x16b264…
08-03 18:36:57	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	8¢	$7	0x31a93a…
08-03 15:41:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xf3bc2c…
08-03 14:50:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xf30150…
08-03 12:10:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	865	21¢	$182	0x5e7aa6…
08-03 12:09:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x9d87f5…
08-03 12:09:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x63c1ae…
08-03 12:09:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x9451bb…
08-03 12:08:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x9a51d8…
08-03 12:08:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	21¢	$17	0xb47b92…
08-03 12:08:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xef8197…
08-03 12:07:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc15808…
08-03 12:07:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x7a7061…
08-03 12:07:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x30e604…
08-03 12:06:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x99f9d6…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,071	22¢	$676	0x8e836f…
08-03 11:51:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	486	8¢	$39	0x0c64ee…
08-03 11:23:41	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4e6b72…
08-03 09:30:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa09693…
08-03 09:22:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	8¢	$29	0xbbdc45…
08-03 09:21:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	8¢	$25	0x3d0a57…
08-03 08:01:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x5b7cbe…
08-03 07:13:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc0dd56…
08-03 07:13:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x85231c…
08-03 07:13:54	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x7be4f9…
08-03 07:13:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x6593a3…
08-03 07:13:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x8e40ea…
08-03 07:13:50	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x13dc9a…
08-03 06:46:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x25b905…
08-03 00:40:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0x7d0cff…
08-03 00:38:11	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	566	7¢	$37	0xb1a27f…
08-02 21:17:32	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0x3e5b2e…
08-02 21:17:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xc95944…
08-02 21:16:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd9c066…
08-02 19:13:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x79436c…
08-02 18:55:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0xe199e2…
08-02 17:35:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa60b15…
08-02 17:28:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x2618bc…
08-02 15:03:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x7c3371…
08-02 13:47:12	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x4b4665…
08-02 12:40:27	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x79a0e3…
08-02 12:40:11	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x310086…
08-02 12:40:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26,835	8¢	$2,147	0x6e21a1…
08-02 12:34:24	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xae4815…
08-02 12:33:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,075	8¢	$566	0xc06afa…
08-02 02:08:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,509	22¢	$332	0x4a2212…
08-02 02:08:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	22¢	$8	0xb2949c…
08-02 02:08:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x2ce329…
08-02 02:08:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	23¢	$345	0x7ec79e…