Basic-Dispute — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-22 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

38% 75% +$4

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	6	$303	157	157	+0	open	—	03-20 00:41
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$223	115	115	+0	open	—	04-24 15:37
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	7	$217	166	166	+0	open	—	04-12 15:12
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$216	109	109	+0	open	—	05-07 04:18
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	4	$215	109	109	+0	open	—	04-23 19:45
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$192	98	98	+0	open	—	04-04 06:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$129	360	360	+0	open	—	05-09 04:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$120	146	146	+0	No	+$1	05-03 16:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	5	$115	186	186	+0	No	+$2	05-08 22:22
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	2	$113	57	57	+0	open	—	04-25 04:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	7	$111	200	200	+0	open	—	05-13 03:25
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	2	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	04-20 21:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$110	58	58	+0	No	+$1	05-01 08:14
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	2	$109	63	63	+0	open	—	03-20 14:39
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	04-09 01:03
military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	2	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	03-26 01:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	05-11 05:59
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	2	$106	54	54	+0	open	—	03-31 14:55
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$106	58	58	+0	open	—	03-31 21:26
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	04-04 14:33
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	4	$104	135	135	+0	open	—	04-26 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	05-05 06:54
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	04-16 06:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-22 13:44
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	03-17 22:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	04-15 07:20
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	3	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	03-16 08:24
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-13 21:55
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	2	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	03-18 07:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	04-26 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 07:00:31	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xdce4ca…
06-22 07:00:31	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x6100cf…
05-19 05:23:56	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0xbc02ad…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x629159…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x0ab491…
05-13 03:25:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$2	0x7a7a90…
05-13 00:40:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf527b4…
05-13 00:40:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x52cf90…
05-13 00:40:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x132c13…
05-12 20:01:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xa95914…
05-12 19:51:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0xca1398…
05-12 17:39:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$2	0xbdf4b3…
05-12 03:04:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x94a7db…
05-12 03:04:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xed7faf…
05-12 01:27:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x9d05fa…
05-11 05:59:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0x4e57bc…
05-11 02:10:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0x25237e…
05-10 07:23:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$2	0x2b8bc0…
05-10 05:18:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x6aad4c…
05-09 04:19:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x3fe174…
05-09 01:41:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf457f5…
05-08 22:22:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xbb7e7d…
05-08 18:27:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x3b94c3…
05-08 12:24:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	176	4¢	$7	0xf813c9…
05-08 10:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x87d439…
05-08 10:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xa90937…
05-08 10:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x435bb6…
05-08 05:11:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	129	3¢	$4	0xa557c8…
05-08 02:52:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	129	3¢	$4	0x7625f9…
05-07 20:56:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	4¢	$5	0x084a93…
05-07 19:37:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xc818bd…
05-07 19:37:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0xa29dc9…
05-07 04:18:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xd65cf4…
05-07 02:23:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xa6c4b4…
05-06 15:20:43	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xbba86d…
05-06 12:48:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x7d008e…
05-05 06:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xcff40f…
05-05 04:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xa12365…
05-03 16:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0xf8217b…
05-03 16:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0x0da5a2…
05-03 11:28:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$4	0x0a2586…
05-03 06:40:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x76d8f5…
05-03 06:39:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xccd080…
05-01 08:14:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0xc8c80b…
05-01 05:46:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0xa28034…
04-30 20:31:30	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xacfd4c…
04-30 18:42:42	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7fe4b3…
04-30 15:15:36	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xcdd05e…
04-30 09:54:50	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0x3db74c…
04-30 07:34:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd02157…
04-29 11:39:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	138	1¢	$2	0x8f0bf8…
04-29 10:08:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x4e1117…
04-29 10:08:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x1b101f…
04-27 09:34:06	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xf498a0…
04-27 09:34:06	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x42554b…
04-27 05:12:40	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0xa03e91…
04-27 03:07:52	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xda9b8a…
04-27 03:07:52	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$2	0x05b8fc…
04-26 20:56:06	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x3a657f…
04-26 19:21:18	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x396150…
04-26 10:53:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x49f74a…
04-26 03:40:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x989a7d…
04-25 04:18:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xe84fe9…
04-25 03:07:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xd2faca…
04-24 15:37:46	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x050672…
04-24 15:37:00	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x918937…
04-24 08:51:54	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	3¢	$4	0x76f18f…
04-24 08:51:54	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0x3734e3…
04-24 07:19:06	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x4ea63e…
04-24 07:19:04	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x89a111…
04-24 07:19:04	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x3ac79d…
04-24 03:18:48	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	2¢	$3	0x983042…
04-24 00:22:58	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x2399f7…
04-23 19:45:48	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x4b31f6…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x60fe02…
04-23 14:58:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xd37c50…
04-23 12:59:10	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xc0da26…
04-22 20:47:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0xc236f5…
04-22 17:14:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xe3ea69…
04-22 13:44:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x34599d…
04-22 09:49:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xe01478…
04-22 06:20:18	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4a7e9e…
04-22 04:43:32	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xabf5be…
04-21 15:15:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xae7709…
04-21 15:15:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x323043…
04-21 15:13:00	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x213a27…
04-21 15:13:00	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x071881…
04-21 07:23:40	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x2048b1…
04-21 06:09:28	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x23cdc4…
04-21 00:53:14	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe3b6f5…
04-20 21:41:56	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x82b687…
04-20 20:35:10	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x43af78…
04-20 06:44:06	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x7970b0…
04-20 05:37:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xe6fc48…
04-17 00:53:06	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x643c24…
04-16 20:47:38	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2ef128…
04-16 06:41:08	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x1fa635…
04-16 02:10:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xdd6c1c…
04-15 07:20:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2c04b…
04-15 07:20:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x8548c9…