Fantastic-Conservative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-25 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

74% 98% -$1

Sports

26% 0% -$11

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$1.1K	580	580	+0	No	-$2	04-28 22:29
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$561	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	-$11	05-26 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:02
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C or below on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-23 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-28 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 16?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-28 04:02
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C or higher on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-23 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 17?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-16 09:27
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on July 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 07:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 8?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-08 03:51
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-22 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 02:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 26?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1e1741…
07-17 03:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x94c9fe…
07-17 03:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ef945…
07-13 03:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7c8950…
07-13 03:06:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x05aff4…
06-23 09:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7fe791…
06-23 09:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2c2833…
06-23 09:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa358ef…
06-23 09:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc73f01…
06-23 09:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xfbed6c…
06-23 09:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x086869…
06-23 09:34:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x360c1a…
06-23 09:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x032454…
06-22 02:31:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd95b91…
06-22 02:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 75°F or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf61758…
06-22 02:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb54799…
06-22 02:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2bd4da…
06-22 02:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or below on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde77c2…
06-22 02:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30b3dc…
06-22 02:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb75418…
06-22 02:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea7f02…
06-16 09:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1b25d1…
06-16 09:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1f40a…
06-16 09:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x193a68…
06-16 09:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x94f375…
06-16 09:25:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4abb6c…
06-16 09:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac5a04…
06-16 09:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a3613…
06-16 09:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc9139…
06-08 03:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d20a9…
06-08 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc125d6…
06-08 03:51:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on June 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x43d548…
06-08 03:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdaccd6…
05-28 04:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xaedcea…
05-28 04:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc6e41…
05-28 04:01:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e91cd…
05-28 04:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x096506…
05-28 03:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b26f7…
05-28 03:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc32a6d…
05-26 15:15:32	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	550	40¢	$220	0x26f36f…
05-26 07:29:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	550	62¢	$341	0x3f26d5…
05-20 07:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x31567f…
05-20 07:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x836254…
05-20 07:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0996b…
05-20 07:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xced50f…
05-14 03:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x869017…
05-14 03:04:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda908c…
05-14 03:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x504f63…
05-14 03:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01750b…
05-09 09:14:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83a1ab…
05-09 09:13:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x03e178…
05-09 09:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f4e16…
05-09 09:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6d31d…
04-28 22:29:32	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	580	98¢	$569	0x0d0034…
04-28 22:21:22	Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	580	98¢	$571	0x788fed…
04-23 10:12:06	highest temperature in austin on april 24 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76cacc…
04-23 10:10:04	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x442167…
04-23 10:08:14	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x798704…
04-23 10:07:06	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 17c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd21ed5…
03-03 09:30:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x883d3c…