Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$121

Unrealized P&L

+$158

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$44.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$887

Open exposure

$258

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-30 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% $-200

Politics

27% 100% +$321

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+556	$100	46¢	$258	+$158	06-30 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$17.0K	24,500	635	+23,866	open	—	01-30 22:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$10.2K	7,499	7,499	+0	No	+$321	04-27 01:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$9.1K	11,429	0	+11,429	open	—	04-21 18:57
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	5	$2.7K	3,735	0	+3,735	open	—	01-30 03:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,138	1,138	+0	open	—	04-27 01:40
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$1000	1,021	0	+1,021	open	—	01-22 19:11
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	2	$600	2,596	0	+2,596	open	—	01-29 10:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$600	636	0	+636	open	—	01-22 19:00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$500	572	0	+572	open	—	04-24 00:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$350	3,571	3,332	+239	open	—	04-27 15:21
will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	1	$250	284	0	+284	open	—	01-21 02:07
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$250	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	04-08 16:33
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$200	406	0	+406	Yes	$-200	04-08 11:14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$120	152	0	+152	open	—	01-22 19:29
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$100	270	0	+270	open	—	05-17 14:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$100	556	0	+556	open	—	06-30 17:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$73	43	43	+0	open	—	01-28 04:35
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	1	$50	69	0	+69	open	—	06-30 17:58
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	1	$27	37	0	+37	open	—	04-06 19:20
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	01-25 06:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 21	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 13:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 21	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-21 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:58:16	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xc15d77…
06-30 17:57:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x2e180d…
05-17 14:08:09	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xa0a58d…
04-27 15:21:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	3,332	3¢	$100	0x9e0dd5…
04-27 01:44:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	7,499	70¢	$5,246	0x440482…
04-27 01:40:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,138	54¢	$617	0xf9b138…
04-26 03:19:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	594	51¢	$300	0x30561e…
04-25 16:51:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3,037	66¢	$2,000	0xa27e96…
04-25 16:39:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1,538	65¢	$1,000	0xbf863c…
04-25 16:18:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,571	7¢	$250	0xfcb00b…
04-25 16:12:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	544	46¢	$250	0xb76199…
04-25 16:09:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2,923	66¢	$1,925	0x7e909c…
04-24 00:49:16	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	572	87¢	$500	0xb72e2a…
04-21 18:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,469	81¢	$2,000	0xc1f566…
04-21 17:16:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,410	83¢	$2,000	0x07ed39…
04-21 15:54:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,375	80¢	$1,100	0x63046c…
04-21 14:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,509	80¢	$2,000	0x5745b3…
04-21 13:49:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xba6be3…
04-21 13:49:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7b3d32…
04-21 13:24:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,667	75¢	$2,000	0xa877c4…
04-08 16:33:17	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xefc381…
04-08 12:50:37	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	840	12¢	$100	0x19cbcf…
04-08 11:14:51	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	406	49¢	$200	0x5e9484…
04-06 19:20:01	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x7a4d6d…
03-13 21:44:01	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	775	13¢	$100	0xbe74cb…
01-30 22:46:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	3,678	87¢	$3,200	0x2e8241…
01-30 06:20:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	7,576	66¢	$5,000	0x05fdc2…
01-30 04:21:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	3,077	65¢	$2,000	0xb142bc…
01-30 03:56:18	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	8,065	62¢	$5,000	0x80ab2a…
01-30 03:55:36	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	771	65¢	$500	0xc129fe…
01-29 15:43:38	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xad0c1d…
01-29 15:29:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0xb24fc4…
01-29 10:20:00	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xef65ba…
01-29 08:22:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	635	44¢	$279	0xd557d3…
01-28 15:10:49	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	1,484	34¢	$500	0xd4aa99…
01-28 15:10:03	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	1,310	76¢	$1,000	0x16be70…
01-28 04:35:53	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x3b2d6f…
01-27 05:12:33	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0xb556e8…
01-25 06:28:20	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xcf4081…
01-25 06:27:30	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x87ae5b…
01-25 06:27:02	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	Yes	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0x38c30a…
01-25 06:23:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xbc8898…
01-22 19:29:30	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x6102c3…
01-22 19:11:38	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x8b588f…
01-22 19:05:00	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x44ad14…
01-22 19:00:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe8cf34…
01-21 19:18:00	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xc24bed…
01-21 06:08:40	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xe418db…
01-21 02:07:54	will us gdp growth in 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	Yes	BUY	284	88¢	$250	0xb9337e…
01-20 08:35:22	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xafe6e9…