Frigid-Igloo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$847

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

134

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$66.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-30 19:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

68% 24% +$534

Other

31% 10% -$1,008

Crypto

1% 22% -$257

Sports

1% 25% -$116

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 6	8	$9.6K	7,334	7,334	+0	No	-$545	03-09 22:04
will iran strike israel on march 10	31	$8.3K	44,418	42,752	+1,667	Yes	-$447	03-16 01:25
us strikes iraq by february 28	25	$6.8K	26,094	12,455	+13,639	Yes	+$3,616	03-06 01:40
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	18	$4.6K	23,957	3,957	+20,000	Yes	+$2,338	03-08 23:16
will iran strike israel on march 4	16	$3.4K	3,952	3,311	+641	Yes	+$2,513	03-06 18:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$2.1K	460,971	2,941	+458,030	Yes	-$513	03-03 23:51
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	4	$1.9K	2,668	2,668	+0	No	-$201	03-14 06:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	6	$1.5K	7,890	7,890	+0	No	-$319	03-28 04:03
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	15	$1.5K	4,531	4,531	+0	No	-$346	03-09 00:47
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	16	$1.4K	15,365	15,365	+0	Yes	+$43	03-10 17:31
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	11	$1.3K	17,524	1,362	+16,162	Yes	+$447	03-04 12:17
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	10	$1.1K	5,498	5,498	+0	No	-$284	03-08 11:07
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	6	$1.1K	8,592	8,592	+0	No	-$512	03-08 16:13
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$939	846	846	+0	Yes	+$719	02-28 06:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$924	1,709	1,709	+0	Yes	-$76	03-08 11:24
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	10	$894	3,279	3,279	+0	No	-$270	03-12 22:59
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$870	641	641	+0	Yes	-$86	02-28 09:27
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$814	4,517	4,517	+0	No	-$54	03-30 10:47
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	3	$810	1,161	1,161	+0	No	+$145	03-28 17:06
will israel strike gaza on march 5 2026	22	$799	25,858	0	+25,858	No	-$799	03-09 02:29
netanyahu out by march 31 854	13	$700	17,131	17,131	+0	No	-$379	03-31 16:12
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$648	8,248	8,248	+0	No	-$595	03-11 12:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$634	4,209	4,209	+0	No	-$121	03-30 10:46
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	4	$633	1,061	799	+262	No	-$409	03-14 21:49
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	3	$607	1,085	1,085	+0	No	+$10	03-08 16:33
Will the US strike Iran next?	9	$564	32,473	0	+32,473	No	-$564	03-01 21:35
will trump talk to reza pahlavi in march 848	6	$505	864	864	+0	No	-$112	03-02 15:24
iran strike on israel by february 28	4	$500	500	500	+0	Yes	+$430	02-28 08:15
cbb gas troy 2026 03 09	1	$472	522	0	+522	Troy Trojans	+$49	03-10 00:06
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	7	$461	17,171	3,537	+13,635	No	-$230	03-15 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:36:29	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	232	8¢	$19	0xbc37ae…
06-17 19:16:13	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x66cdea…
06-17 19:15:58	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread away 2pt5	Croatia	BUY	750	1¢	$9	0x7a1933…
06-17 19:15:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x7e5bf5…
06-17 19:15:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	9,000	0¢	$9	0xb05d82…
06-17 19:10:50	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3a209b…
06-17 19:10:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb95232…
06-17 17:57:34	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	103	8¢	$8	0x723621…
06-17 17:55:13	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	SELL	121	7¢	$9	0xf215b8…
06-17 17:49:05	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	121	15¢	$18	0xc6aa6b…
06-17 17:48:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	SELL	491	4¢	$18	0xa660d9…
06-17 17:37:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	Yes	BUY	491	9¢	$42	0xd171ad…
06-17 17:36:55	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	226	19¢	$42	0x473056…
06-17 17:36:13	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xf48034…
06-17 17:13:23	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xe1af9d…
06-17 16:24:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfcfa6b…
06-17 16:24:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xa0f6de…
06-17 16:23:46	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xf8c023…
06-17 15:36:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xa7462f…
06-17 15:36:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	SELL	148	5¢	$7	0xb05e3f…
06-17 12:10:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 30 20260615191216221	No	BUY	148	4¢	$6	0xb57803…
06-17 12:09:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	0¢	$2	0x9aef80…
06-17 12:09:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	2,500	0¢	$2	0xcfadb8…
06-17 10:56:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x6f05ce…
06-17 10:56:28	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	SELL	82	6¢	$5	0xc9e329…
06-17 10:54:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x0a483a…
06-17 10:54:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	SELL	2,923	0¢	$6	0x10c9d1…
06-17 06:22:14	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	No	BUY	340	10¢	$33	0x955af7…
06-17 06:21:47	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	588	5¢	$31	0x6f01f6…
06-17 06:21:02	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	588	9¢	$50	0xcae21d…
06-17 05:51:49	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,430	3¢	$47	0xa0b5c6…
06-17 05:30:08	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$5	0x0d2a24…
06-17 04:21:58	Jordan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xfcc190…
06-17 02:47:45	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	229	3¢	$8	0x14be6f…
06-17 01:15:22	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	Yes	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xf531cd…
06-17 00:15:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$15	0x7d5b3f…
06-16 23:17:28	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x02bf4c…
06-16 22:22:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x8d7e85…
06-16 21:41:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xe7656c…
06-16 21:41:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xa34936…
06-16 21:16:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4,167	1¢	$25	0xf4895f…
06-16 20:35:17	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x3b61c2…
06-16 20:31:58	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	130	78¢	$101	0xafbd25…
06-16 19:38:16	Senegal leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x59e478…
06-16 19:37:44	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	5¢	$3	0x813a37…
06-16 19:24:17	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xd1512b…
06-16 18:58:13	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts first half	Yes	BUY	474	19¢	$90	0x978778…
06-16 18:53:11	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xf11f2b…
06-16 18:32:38	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	705	14¢	$100	0xf19512…
06-16 18:31:35	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	130	66¢	$86	0x46e411…
06-16 17:11:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	260	5¢	$12	0x68fef1…
06-16 16:27:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	Yes	BUY	2,434	4¢	$100	0x60c03d…
06-15 16:15:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	705	21¢	$150	0xe54341…
06-15 16:10:40	Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,430	10¢	$150	0x846be5…
05-24 14:16:17	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0xd12a42…
05-24 12:56:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xf369ec…
05-24 11:42:05	Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	No	BUY	4,081	4¢	$150	0x5c0c1b…
05-16 18:19:28	Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x512aa5…
05-16 15:50:44	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	386	26¢	$100	0x355ddc…
05-16 15:16:14	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	249	19¢	$46	0xcf192e…
05-16 15:15:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,598	3¢	$49	0x9101d5…
05-16 13:18:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,598	5¢	$79	0xbb75e8…
05-16 13:08:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$86	0xb95fff…
05-16 11:18:09	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	539	4¢	$20	0xf789a1…
05-16 11:17:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$21	0xf0d0ce…
05-16 11:15:58	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	607	3¢	$20	0x1f523e…
05-16 11:15:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$22	0x04e4ef…
05-16 11:14:44	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,921	2¢	$36	0x380d47…
05-16 11:14:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,139	3¢	$37	0xd2b6f3…
05-16 11:04:42	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,509	4¢	$57	0xefc340…
05-16 10:03:17	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,139	4¢	$40	0xcfb935…
05-16 10:00:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,000	4¢	$120	0x90453c…
04-25 09:13:18	Will Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	95	13¢	$12	0x64206d…
04-25 08:55:16	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	312	4¢	$13	0xea53cb…
04-25 08:34:52	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	379	28¢	$107	0xe1dd32…
04-24 13:25:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	109	28¢	$31	0x80d440…
04-24 08:03:50	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,911	2¢	$31	0x512797…
04-19 07:44:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,911	5¢	$92	0xe731a4…
04-19 07:43:08	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6,712	1¢	$92	0x2eeb2e…
03-31 18:50:01	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	Yes	BUY	139	14¢	$20	0x80676b…
03-31 16:12:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9af66b…
03-31 14:23:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	280	4¢	$10	0x92af15…
03-30 10:59:10	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6,991	4¢	$280	0x255cfe…
03-30 10:47:02	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	571	4¢	$23	0x0f6cf9…
03-30 10:46:38	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	4,209	6¢	$257	0xb00a03…
03-28 21:47:18	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	158	15¢	$24	0x7686c5…
03-28 21:41:58	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$60	0x2d6c00…
03-28 21:40:30	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	571	7¢	$40	0x1be216…
03-28 18:47:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xdb0bd0…
03-28 17:24:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,667	9¢	$150	0xabfb24…
03-28 17:23:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa9bb81…
03-28 17:23:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x3bb13e…
03-28 17:06:49	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	870	45¢	$392	0x09dd15…
03-28 15:26:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,074	8¢	$86	0x0d6291…
03-28 15:21:39	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	290	30¢	$86	0xf2ed64…
03-28 04:04:07	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,161	29¢	$332	0x8c1c55…
03-28 04:03:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	5,540	6¢	$332	0xe9f996…
03-27 15:32:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	758	7¢	$53	0x418992…
03-27 15:20:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,782	7¢	$335	0xa8cb15…
03-20 08:39:15	will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	No	BUY	1,480	0¢	$4	0xe98d21…