Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$480

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$45

10 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 11-04 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

56% 43% -$10

Politics

28% 38% -$22

Crypto

8% 57% +$3

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+28	$16	68¢	$19	+$3	11-03 13:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	+13	$7	46¢	$6	-$1	10-23 11:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	Yes	+13	$3	43¢	$5	+$2	10-23 11:25
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	+20	$4	26¢	$5	+$1	11-04 16:33
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	+5	$2	86¢	$4	+$2	10-30 06:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	+44	$4	4¢	$2	-$3	10-23 09:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?	Yes	+13	$2	10¢	$1	-$1	10-23 11:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	+44	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-23 09:38
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	+9	$1	12¢	$1	$0	10-31 02:49
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+0	$0	84¢	$0	+$1	10-18 11:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	2	$46	44	44	+0	open	—	10-25 07:40
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	2	$16	28	0	+28	open	—	11-03 13:47
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$13	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	10-18 12:01
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	3	$11	16	16	+0	No	+$4	10-15 10:09
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?	1	$10	181	0	+181	No	-$10	09-16 15:36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-13 10:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$9	10	5	+5	Yes	-$2	10-25 22:38
Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	2	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	10-27 10:10
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 09:06
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	10-20 09:56
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-16 17:29
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-20 18:31
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 09:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 09:56
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	10-15 21:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	10-16 07:12
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	10-23 01:40
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-16 13:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	10-16 07:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	2	$8	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 09:05
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$8	34	34	+0	open	—	10-21 18:10
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$8	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	10-16 13:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 16:32
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No change	+$1	10-16 07:05
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?	2	$7	21	21	+0	open	—	10-28 22:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	10-23 11:25
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-21 09:06
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	10-15 17:21
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-18 11:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	10-21 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:33:55	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x232688…
11-03 13:47:39	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x7b0492…
11-03 12:47:04	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x394e9e…
10-31 16:32:33	Will Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x9c0d37…
10-31 14:03:45	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x194720…
10-31 02:49:57	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xae24cc…
10-30 06:07:24	Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe6c870…
10-28 22:26:13	Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0xb1957b…
10-28 22:23:34	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0xd3a9de…
10-28 22:22:52	Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x5b0d66…
10-27 10:10:12	Will the Browns win the season series against the Ravens during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x831934…
10-27 10:10:11	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x699207…
10-27 04:36:20	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x1327c8…
10-25 22:38:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x24dd79…
10-25 22:38:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x18cf4c…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0x46e6eb…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x1a65b9…
10-25 10:48:15	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xffbe1f…
10-25 10:16:09	Will the season series between the Ravens and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x627126…
10-25 10:16:09	Will the Browns win the season series against the Ravens during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x4c40d1…
10-25 07:40:47	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	44	50¢	$22	0x5e6d72…
10-23 11:25:11	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xff9a05…
10-23 11:25:11	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x959cf6…
10-23 11:25:11	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x734592…
10-23 09:38:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0xeebf17…
10-23 09:38:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xe18aec…
10-23 09:38:05	Will the Rams win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xaebd7e…
10-23 09:38:05	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xa55292…
10-23 09:38:05	Will the Seahawks win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x115505…
10-23 09:38:05	Will the season series between the Rams and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x1025a4…
10-23 06:53:06	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x3df4f2…
10-23 01:40:03	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xe82456…
10-22 04:17:21	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x92ff94…
10-22 04:08:39	Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xb9aafe…
10-21 23:09:24	Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd2f1d6…
10-21 21:24:05	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x45bfd2…
10-21 18:27:35	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	5¢	$3	0x55db05…
10-21 18:10:45	Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0xcdefa6…
10-21 18:09:45	Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xe59e7a…
10-21 12:58:14	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xe57007…
10-21 10:37:47	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?	No	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x65a547…
10-21 09:56:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x63c7fb…
10-21 09:06:09	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xfa6c34…
10-21 08:13:44	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x94322b…
10-21 05:09:08	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x136ca1…
10-21 04:34:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x01fb1d…
10-20 18:33:20	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x091b86…
10-20 18:31:50	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x43f8a5…
10-20 16:32:48	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xf896e3…
10-20 16:32:44	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xcf8631…
10-20 09:56:56	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x353450…
10-20 00:16:23	Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0xc7723b…
10-19 23:19:20	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xfb8776…
10-19 23:18:53	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xde58dd…
10-19 15:56:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xce1d93…
10-19 15:26:59	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdb9a50…
10-19 13:39:03	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x353d9f…
10-19 12:51:26	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x424572…
10-19 11:21:56	Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa667d4…
10-19 10:39:51	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8e50a6…
10-19 00:32:32	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x588200…
10-18 22:15:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xffbf03…
10-18 12:01:12	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x233d73…
10-18 11:59:30	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x008824…
10-18 11:03:32	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9e547f…
10-18 10:08:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xfcde14…
10-18 10:08:50	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x26fca2…
10-18 09:07:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x770602…
10-18 09:06:47	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc4b99c…
10-18 09:05:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x74bafb…
10-18 08:15:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xd7a560…
10-18 05:19:59	Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x779488…
10-18 05:19:59	Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x4d20da…
10-18 04:55:33	Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xcba4de…
10-18 02:53:32	Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x46c02a…
10-17 22:19:11	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x941577…
10-17 21:30:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x77d26c…
10-17 21:20:12	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x304cb4…
10-17 18:48:15	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xab073c…
10-17 18:02:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0x412c5e…
10-17 12:37:17	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x07ec69…
10-17 10:01:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd00f0a…
10-17 04:13:00	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa337b4…
10-16 17:29:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf9b187…
10-16 17:23:54	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x48224e…
10-16 17:16:15	will bitcoin dip to 80k in october 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0xe0b5b0…
10-16 13:45:12	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xc37ed3…
10-16 13:42:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5977c9…
10-16 08:03:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5e854e…
10-16 07:12:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xe29034…
10-16 07:12:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd29b0e…
10-16 07:05:45	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xf48d54…
10-16 05:10:51	Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x760d83…
10-16 01:35:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	191	2¢	$3	0xb1e0ff…
10-16 00:35:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x7fcacc…
10-16 00:25:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd04dbb…
10-15 22:24:17	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xab031a…
10-15 21:58:08	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0x04046a…
10-15 21:25:32	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc90a50…
10-15 17:21:37	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0xe271d2…