Artistic-Fairy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-16 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

58% 90% +$22

Other

32% 75% -$22

Sports

6% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-16).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+16	$14	92¢	$15	+$2	08-16 01:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+16	$11	27¢	$4	-$7	08-16 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$237	131	131	+0	No	+$4	02-01 18:55
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	+$0	01-24 16:31
military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	03-24 04:06
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$130	130	0	+130	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:01
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$102	102	0	+102	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$84	85	0	+85	No	+$1	02-14 02:11
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$78	81	0	+81	No	+$2	02-23 12:06
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$75	52	52	+0	No	+$18	04-08 01:17
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$75	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 01:45
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$73	88	0	+88	No	+$15	01-25 16:40
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	04-03 06:22
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$68	40	40	+0	No	-$6	05-06 11:50
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	1	$57	62	0	+62	No	+$5	06-29 20:09
nothing ever happens microstrategy	3	$52	115	115	+0	No	-$29	02-22 14:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$44	44	0	+44	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:00
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$36	39	0	+39	No	+$3	06-22 23:26
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$17	36	0	+36	Yes	-$17	08-14 00:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	04-05 08:03
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	08-16 01:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	08-16 08:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	01-28 07:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$3	168	168	+0	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 08:41:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x4e91a4…
08-16 01:46:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$14	0x541ba0…
08-14 00:27:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x73b7df…
06-29 20:09:31	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	No	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x4e357a…
06-22 23:26:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x14f2e8…
05-06 11:50:18	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xfa45bf…
05-06 04:25:04	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xf23013…
05-06 01:45:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x2051d7…
05-06 01:45:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xe11a7c…
05-06 01:45:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x2b936e…
05-05 09:47:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0x9102fa…
04-08 01:17:19	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	52	89¢	$46	0xdc6854…
04-05 09:34:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	168	1¢	$2	0xe5da93…
04-05 08:03:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x6a1e8d…
04-05 07:29:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$2	0x6e85a2…
04-03 06:22:13	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x8278c5…
03-31 08:36:13	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	52	55¢	$29	0x33aec2…
03-27 14:51:35	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x357f62…
03-24 04:06:59	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x0d4363…
02-23 12:06:30	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7bc725…
02-23 12:05:42	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x34c8b6…
02-22 14:55:54	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	110	10¢	$11	0x294d16…
02-22 14:55:34	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xdc8e76…
02-14 02:11:41	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x56334f…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:01:57	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x503fc7…
02-01 20:00:48	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	115	35¢	$40	0xbddfce…
02-01 18:55:46	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	131	92¢	$120	0x0f2d2e…
02-01 16:45:20	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	131	89¢	$117	0x984329…
01-30 11:00:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x37af76…
01-28 07:27:01	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e6fc3…
01-25 16:40:48	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	88	83¢	$73	0xa7834a…
01-24 16:31:38	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x219838…
01-20 11:06:04	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x5cc6f6…