Grim-Sleet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

435

Trades

1,010

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-15 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 62% -$272

Other

13% 48% -$29

Politics

5% 50% -$73

Sports

0% 55% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-174	-$30	6¢	$-10	+$20	04-30 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	7	$263	439	401	+38	No	-$116	03-30 19:51
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	5	$217	204	123	+81	No	+$37	04-05 13:07
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	2	$214	115	115	+0	No	+$15	03-27 12:13
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 26	2	$207	108	108	+0	No	+$8	03-27 04:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-01 13:14
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 29	3	$179	100	99	+1	No	+$20	03-30 04:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	2	$175	90	90	+0	No	+$1	03-29 11:29
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 1	2	$167	111	110	+1	Yes	-$33	04-01 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$167	88	88	+0	No	+$7	04-30 08:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	2	$149	80	79	+0	Yes	+$10	03-30 15:40
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	3	$146	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	02-17 16:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	2	$140	100	100	+0	No	+$4	05-19 14:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	5	$137	102	102	+0	Yes	-$3	05-11 07:11
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$117	86	86	+0	$80k	-$7	04-04 07:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$116	273	0	+273	No	-$116	04-04 11:21
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	2	$115	65	65	+0	Yes	-$5	05-05 16:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 17:25 UTC	4	$113	732	0	+732	Up	-$113	02-15 17:30
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	2	$110	55	55	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 15:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-02 12:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 5?	2	$97	55	55	+0	No	-$3	05-04 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:05 UTC	1	$96	100	0	+100	Down	+$4	02-15 16:08
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	04-01 17:10
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	10	$95	100	90	+10	Up	+$5	03-30 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 09:50 UTC	1	$94	96	0	+96	Down	+$2	02-15 09:53
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	2	$92	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	03-22 08:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$92	56	55	+1	No	-$1	04-04 07:53
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 30 april 5	2	$92	53	52	+1	Yes	+$13	03-31 14:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	1	$91	92	0	+92	Up	+$1	02-15 10:24
will how to train your dragon be the 2 us netflix movie this week 395	3	$90	55	55	+0	No	+$0	02-20 18:11
will usd fall to 1pt3m iranian rials by march 31 476 423 961	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	$0	03-24 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:15:40	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb9a08e…
07-14 19:19:32	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x12103d…
07-10 04:55:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x76db31…
07-07 09:17:41	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3a7fa1…
07-07 09:17:17	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0x7c3b3f…
07-07 09:17:07	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0fc4f6…
07-07 09:16:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x7de410…
06-25 08:39:26	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x452ffa…
06-25 08:39:10	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xce1977…
06-24 16:43:35	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa9b6ae…
06-24 15:32:56	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x345e8b…
06-24 15:02:31	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6e09b7…
06-24 14:52:22	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x252a74…
06-24 07:26:07	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5c329c…
06-21 22:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x8f6f13…
06-21 21:58:22	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2e5847…
06-21 21:40:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa76961…
06-21 21:37:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7b53a3…
06-21 21:35:08	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x21e7d2…
06-21 21:34:08	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x191608…
06-21 21:33:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6b3cd9…
06-21 21:32:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x621c15…
06-21 21:06:32	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5433ac…
06-21 21:03:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1e08ea…
06-21 21:01:13	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4d8a3b…
06-21 21:00:14	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5b6fe4…
06-21 20:56:40	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xdac7fa…
06-21 20:55:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7cbc7b…
06-21 20:45:16	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc7999d…
06-21 20:15:02	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe1091b…
06-21 20:15:02	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb92608…
06-17 02:24:18	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7ab86e…
06-17 02:23:37	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf20a19…
06-17 02:07:31	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x472103…
06-17 02:00:40	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x893c46…
06-17 01:20:59	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x941be5…
06-08 01:55:55	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe260f3…
06-08 01:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaefb31…
05-24 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x9a20bb…
05-24 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x931c87…
05-24 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0e8529…
05-24 16:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x835f1a…
05-24 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x481278…
05-24 15:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3adbee…
05-22 17:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd305da…
05-22 16:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf8cb5a…
05-22 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1de866…
05-22 16:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x283042…
05-22 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9d0cf6…
05-20 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdaf9e1…
05-20 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9657c4…
05-20 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc4620a…
05-20 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x597881…
05-20 16:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3a56c7…
05-20 16:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd3641f…
05-20 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x355e46…
05-20 15:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3659e3…
05-20 14:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd3f6da…
05-20 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcf1d8f…
05-20 13:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x18108c…
05-20 13:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x88a7af…
05-20 11:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x30d5a4…
05-20 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb637f6…
05-20 10:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc132a5…
05-20 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x19928d…
05-20 10:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x1aaa92…
05-20 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xec2328…
05-20 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x950134…
05-20 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x47f9ab…
05-20 09:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4e94b0…
05-20 08:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0fce30…
05-20 07:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc192e3…
05-20 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x084389…
05-20 07:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x69e179…
05-20 07:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5070b9…
05-20 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x9ea6d4…
05-20 06:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x99b030…
05-20 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x40de4a…
05-19 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4d15c2…
05-19 17:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfd2be0…
05-19 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xf5d8b7…
05-19 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd156fb…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbe6f94…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb88c04…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f02e7…
05-19 16:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc264f0…
05-19 16:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x47c7a5…
05-19 16:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x083d26…
05-19 16:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xa2e399…
05-19 16:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xee3f21…
05-19 16:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xd79cc1…
05-19 15:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9bea90…
05-19 14:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb87956…
05-19 14:49:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xb61b18…
05-19 14:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x59a7cf…
05-19 13:23:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x99c666…
05-19 09:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x79b634…
05-19 09:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x99eaa9…
05-19 08:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x342ad2…
05-19 08:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85bb9c…