Grim-Sleet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

Trades

959

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 70% $-22

Other

14% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	7	$263	439	401	+38	open	—	03-30 19:51
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	5	$217	204	123	+81	open	—	04-05 13:07
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	2	$214	115	115	+0	open	—	03-27 12:13
will bitcoin reach 71k on march 26	2	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	03-27 04:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 13:14
will bitcoin reach 68k on march 29	3	$179	100	99	+1	open	—	03-30 04:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	2	$175	90	90	+0	open	—	03-29 11:29
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 1	2	$167	111	110	+1	open	—	04-01 18:03
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$167	88	88	+0	open	—	04-30 08:04
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	2	$149	80	79	+0	open	—	03-30 15:40
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	3	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	02-17 16:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	05-19 14:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	5	$137	102	102	+0	open	—	05-11 07:11
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$117	86	86	+0	open	—	04-04 07:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$116	273	0	+273	open	—	04-04 11:21
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	2	$115	65	65	+0	Yes	$-5	05-05 16:11
btc updown 5m 1771176300	4	$113	732	0	+732	open	—	02-15 17:30
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	04-03 15:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-02 12:12
btc updown 5m 1771171500	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 16:08
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 17:10
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	10	$95	100	90	+10	open	—	03-30 06:03
btc updown 5m 1771149000	1	$94	96	0	+96	open	—	02-15 09:53
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	2	$92	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 08:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$92	56	55	+1	open	—	04-04 07:53
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 30 april 5	2	$92	53	52	+1	open	—	03-31 14:01
btc updown 5m 1771150800	1	$91	92	0	+92	open	—	02-15 10:24
will how to train your dragon be the 2 us netflix movie this week 395	3	$90	55	55	+0	open	—	02-20 18:11
will usd fall to 1pt3m iranian rials by march 31 476 423 961	2	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	03-24 07:27
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 30 2026 28c	7	$88	49	49	+0	open	—	03-30 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 01:55:55	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe260f3…
06-08 01:00:04	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xaefb31…
05-24 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x9a20bb…
05-24 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x931c87…
05-24 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0e8529…
05-24 16:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x835f1a…
05-24 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x481278…
05-24 15:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3adbee…
05-22 17:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd305da…
05-22 16:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf8cb5a…
05-22 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1de866…
05-22 16:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x283042…
05-22 15:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9d0cf6…
05-20 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdaf9e1…
05-20 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9657c4…
05-20 17:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xc4620a…
05-20 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x597881…
05-20 16:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3a56c7…
05-20 16:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd3641f…
05-20 16:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x355e46…
05-20 15:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3659e3…
05-20 14:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd3f6da…
05-20 14:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcf1d8f…
05-20 13:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x18108c…
05-20 13:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x88a7af…
05-20 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb637f6…
05-20 10:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc132a5…
05-20 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x19928d…
05-20 09:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4e94b0…
05-20 08:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0fce30…
05-20 07:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc192e3…
05-20 07:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x69e179…
05-20 07:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5070b9…
05-20 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x9ea6d4…
05-20 06:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x99b030…
05-20 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x40de4a…
05-19 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4d15c2…
05-19 17:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfd2be0…
05-19 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xf5d8b7…
05-19 16:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd156fb…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbe6f94…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb88c04…
05-19 16:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5f02e7…
05-19 16:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc264f0…
05-19 16:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x47c7a5…
05-19 16:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x083d26…
05-19 16:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xa2e399…
05-19 16:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xee3f21…
05-19 16:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xd79cc1…
05-19 15:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9bea90…
05-19 14:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb87956…
05-19 14:49:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xb61b18…
05-19 14:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x59a7cf…
05-19 13:23:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x99c666…
05-19 09:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x79b634…
05-19 09:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x99eaa9…
05-19 08:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x342ad2…
05-19 08:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85bb9c…
05-19 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d246b…
05-19 08:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x4d1606…
05-19 08:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x09c33f…
05-19 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x820b58…
05-19 08:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8d790d…
05-19 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x63871f…
05-19 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x4e71da…
05-19 07:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x4ab751…
05-19 07:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xf1f72e…
05-19 07:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x04eb33…
05-19 06:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x907c52…
05-19 06:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb4a605…
05-19 06:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xce46b5…
05-19 06:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2618df…
05-19 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6930de…
05-19 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaa0807…
05-19 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x15ae19…
05-19 05:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb23f15…
05-18 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xaa4140…
05-18 18:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x0e9542…
05-18 17:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x009db7…
05-18 17:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x37fb5d…
05-18 16:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x732933…
05-18 16:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa8df1c…
05-18 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xebb813…
05-18 15:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x2c8c1d…
05-18 15:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x7d813d…
05-18 15:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x66008b…
05-18 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x95c53f…
05-18 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x5a5123…
05-18 14:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xffd56f…
05-18 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe69d2d…
05-18 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe7e45e…
05-18 14:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1e701d…
05-18 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x24cc4d…
05-18 13:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x40aaa2…
05-18 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf9ec4e…
05-18 13:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1fefc3…
05-18 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf41d8c…
05-18 12:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x8342fc…
05-18 12:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$10	0x241bd8…
05-18 12:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xe50d35…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	175	$1.28K	1,010	06-08 02:35
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	173	$145.2K	3,033	06-08 02:59
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	167	$59.1K	8,394	06-08 02:57
Dangerous-Literate 0xd31a…5f51	126	$828	302	05-13 16:00
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	120	$13.1K	4,056	06-08 02:50
(anonymous) 0xb657…7a1b	116	$1.47K	697	05-22 17:56
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	111	$61.2K	4,152	05-24 18:57
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	109	$132.7K	8,815	05-24 18:58