Our-Bellows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

863

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-25 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 77% +$20

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782403500	6	$232	161	161	+0	open	—	06-25 16:08
btc updown 5m 1782404400	5	$162	105	105	+0	open	—	06-25 16:24
btc updown 5m 1782403200	4	$93	72	72	+0	open	—	06-25 16:05
btc updown 5m 1782402000	2	$73	53	53	+0	open	—	06-25 15:42
btc updown 5m 1782405900	4	$64	80	80	+0	open	—	06-25 16:48
btc updown 5m 1776501300	6	$63	51	50	+2	open	—	04-18 08:39
btc updown 5m 1776502200	6	$59	69	67	+3	open	—	04-18 08:52
btc updown 5m 1776499200	6	$54	46	45	+2	open	—	04-18 08:04
btc updown 5m 1782405000	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	06-25 16:33
btc updown 5m 1776499500	5	$51	63	40	+23	open	—	04-18 08:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	0	53	-53	open	—	06-16 07:36
btc updown 5m 1776500700	4	$43	39	38	+1	open	—	04-18 08:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$40	109	5	+103	open	—	05-02 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$31	34	24	+10	Up	+$1	05-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$31	25	14	+12	Up	+$3	05-07 18:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$31	58	58	+0	open	—	04-29 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$30	18	18	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 17:54
btc updown 5m 1776501600	2	$27	23	22	+1	open	—	04-18 08:40
btc updown 5m 1776529200	3	$27	35	18	+17	open	—	04-18 16:20
btc updown 5m 1776528300	2	$26	14	13	+0	open	—	04-18 16:09
btc updown 5m 1773092700	3	$26	31	24	+7	open	—	03-09 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$25	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 17:08
btc updown 5m 1782405300	1	$25	42	0	+42	open	—	06-25 16:35
btc updown 5m 1782405600	1	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	06-25 16:41
btc updown 5m 1782404100	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	06-25 16:16
btc updown 5m 1782404700	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	06-25 16:26
btc updown 5m 1782401400	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	06-25 15:33
btc updown 5m 1772594700	11	$25	25	24	+0	open	—	03-04 03:28
btc updown 5m 1776528000	2	$22	16	15	+0	open	—	04-18 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 17:51:55	btc updown 5m 1782409800	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe3b4b4…
06-25 17:47:01	btc updown 5m 1782409500	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x7878d0…
06-25 17:42:25	btc updown 5m 1782409200	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9f65ed…
06-25 17:26:17	btc updown 5m 1782408300	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0b711c…
06-25 17:23:26	btc updown 5m 1782408000	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x10c4cd…
06-25 17:10:20	btc updown 5m 1782407400	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa22c59…
06-25 16:48:40	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Down	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x215517…
06-25 16:46:14	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Down	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x39ce63…
06-25 16:45:49	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Up	SELL	52	26¢	$14	0xf1fa3d…
06-25 16:45:25	btc updown 5m 1782405900	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x031f66…
06-25 16:41:04	btc updown 5m 1782405600	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x72acbc…
06-25 16:35:28	btc updown 5m 1782405300	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe4f0fe…
06-25 16:33:26	btc updown 5m 1782405000	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xd5cf8a…
06-25 16:31:19	btc updown 5m 1782405000	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2b1fb2…
06-25 16:26:17	btc updown 5m 1782404700	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x580324…
06-25 16:24:04	btc updown 5m 1782404400	Down	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0x2521a7…
06-25 16:23:38	btc updown 5m 1782404400	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xe05c8d…
06-25 16:23:37	btc updown 5m 1782404400	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xbc7b3b…
06-25 16:22:16	btc updown 5m 1782404400	Down	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0xcd19aa…
06-25 16:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782404400	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xd8f908…
06-25 16:16:07	btc updown 5m 1782404100	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x53576c…
06-25 16:10:25	btc updown 5m 1782403800	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe502dc…
06-25 16:08:58	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Up	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0x89c1a5…
06-25 16:07:50	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xd67889…
06-25 16:07:50	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x222433…
06-25 16:07:19	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Up	SELL	84	68¢	$57	0xdcfc04…
06-25 16:06:49	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc480c9…
06-25 16:06:49	btc updown 5m 1782403500	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x1f3837…
06-25 16:05:05	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x73f319…
06-25 16:04:37	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xda7dfc…
06-25 16:04:26	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Up	SELL	42	32¢	$14	0x62ab00…
06-25 16:01:26	btc updown 5m 1782403200	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xc7ff21…
06-25 15:42:52	btc updown 5m 1782402000	Down	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x977baf…
06-25 15:41:01	btc updown 5m 1782402000	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xbd782e…
06-25 15:33:35	btc updown 5m 1782401400	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x7b31a0…
06-25 15:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782400800	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcc0622…
06-25 15:18:16	btc updown 5m 1782400500	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x9535ab…
06-25 15:16:32	btc updown 5m 1782400500	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x14a596…
06-25 15:14:01	btc updown 5m 1782400200	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x807ff8…
06-25 15:12:49	btc updown 5m 1782400200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7e0d7e…
06-25 15:07:26	btc updown 5m 1782399900	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xff2063…
06-25 15:07:25	btc updown 5m 1782399900	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6156c2…
06-19 10:57:47	btc updown 5m 1781866500	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x5cb695…
06-19 10:57:07	btc updown 5m 1781866500	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x62607a…
06-19 10:53:35	btc updown 5m 1781866200	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xf83bd6…
06-19 10:51:49	btc updown 5m 1781866200	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4853de…
06-16 17:29:02	btc updown 5m 1781630700	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe1f9dd…
06-16 17:27:35	btc updown 5m 1781630700	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3fccea…
06-16 10:43:52	btc updown 5m 1781606400	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xb03b95…
06-16 10:42:28	btc updown 5m 1781606400	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x573dd9…
06-16 10:34:16	btc updown 5m 1781605800	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x17d690…
06-16 10:30:36	btc updown 5m 1781605800	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x906451…
06-16 10:26:27	btc updown 5m 1781605500	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x8fa509…
06-16 10:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781605500	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe84c88…
06-16 10:17:25	btc updown 5m 1781604900	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x404d07…
06-16 10:16:58	btc updown 5m 1781604900	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x692964…
06-16 09:52:51	btc updown 5m 1781603400	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xda4c88…
06-16 09:50:42	btc updown 5m 1781603400	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0451be…
06-16 09:40:39	btc updown 5m 1781602800	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x2ceabe…
06-16 09:39:28	btc updown 5m 1781602800	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x66af8a…
06-16 09:28:46	btc updown 5m 1781601900	Down	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x26327a…
06-16 09:27:48	btc updown 5m 1781601900	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa360cd…
06-16 09:21:43	btc updown 5m 1781601600	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0fd9c7…
06-16 09:14:18	btc updown 5m 1781601000	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe4e7b0…
06-16 09:13:09	btc updown 5m 1781601000	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x06c21a…
06-16 09:09:25	btc updown 5m 1781600700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e0dee…
06-16 09:06:03	btc updown 5m 1781600700	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1ab965…
06-16 09:04:31	btc updown 5m 1781600400	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc4445b…
06-16 07:36:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x28d798…
06-05 10:38:30	btc updown 5m 1780655700	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba451a…
06-05 10:36:46	btc updown 5m 1780655700	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7c8662…
05-09 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x264b5b…
05-09 16:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8e74f5…
05-08 09:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7f9dbd…
05-08 09:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x5bd7e2…
05-08 09:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1f2582…
05-08 09:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x550477…
05-08 09:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x473f89…
05-08 09:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x862482…
05-08 09:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa18185…
05-08 09:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x56abe8…
05-08 09:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x76b0a6…
05-08 08:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x785785…
05-08 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1c4c63…
05-08 08:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3cf6e2…
05-08 08:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6d00a1…
05-08 08:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbdf0b0…
05-08 08:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x759abc…
05-08 08:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x347b60…
05-07 21:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x8b12d8…
05-07 21:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa6c82b…
05-07 21:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdb06bd…
05-07 21:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x8d0fa7…
05-07 21:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4a13c9…
05-07 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb6ab36…
05-07 21:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfe8751…
05-07 21:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x64564b…
05-07 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8dc15c…
05-07 21:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x82f069…
05-07 21:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x747548…