Musty-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

8,953

Trades

13,631

lifetime

Volume

$37.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-06 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 85% -$23

Sports

5% 43% -$116

Other

3% 35% -$9

Politics

2% 48% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 613 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	26	$185	236	63	+173	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$82	05-27 21:46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	17	$170	212	212	+0	Yes	-$5	05-28 04:52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	9	$153	85	105	-20	Joao Fonseca	+$37	05-27 21:04
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)	12	$136	97	120	-23	RCD Mallorca	+$19	05-23 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:30 UTC	3	$126	129	0	+129	Up	+$3	07-26 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$112	116	0	+116	Down	+$4	07-29 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	6	$108	109	4	+105	Up	-$8	08-10 23:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	2	$105	113	0	+113	Down	+$1	07-26 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:35 UTC	5	$101	111	0	+111	Up	+$10	07-26 22:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	2	$94	94	0	+94	Down	+$1	08-07 02:15
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	12	$93	169	274	-105	Dplus KIA Challengers	-$2	05-25 06:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$92	78	118	-40	Yes	-$28	05-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$90	56	54	+2	Down	-$9	07-29 05:04
cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09	7	$87	57	57	+0	Monte	+$27	06-09 14:00
mlb lad phi 2026 07 21	4	$85	67	67	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	07-22 01:07
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$82	87	0	+87	Up	+$5	08-05 22:19
nhl car las 2026 06 09	14	$81	80	80	+0	Hurricanes	+$1	06-10 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	6	$77	81	0	+81	Down	+$4	07-27 14:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	10	$77	114	152	-38	No	-$2	05-24 19:40
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	14	$71	83	83	+0	New York Yankees	+$1	06-10 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:50 UTC	4	$68	71	0	+71	Up	+$3	08-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$66	69	2	+67	Up	+$1	07-31 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:25 UTC	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	07-28 02:29
mlb sea bal 2026 06 10	13	$60	72	51	+21	Baltimore Orioles	-$10	06-10 22:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$59	119	143	-24	No	+$6	05-27 22:42
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$58	36	142	-107	Frances Tiafoe	+$38	05-28 14:04
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	15	$58	105	0	+105	Jakub Mensik	-$12	05-27 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:10 UTC	4	$57	59	0	+59	Down	+$2	07-26 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:05 UTC	3	$56	61	0	+61	Down	+$5	07-26 19:08
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	9	$56	94	0	+94	PARIVISION	-$35	05-27 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 15:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8ba36b…
11-06 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf52a1b…
11-06 15:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x63f5e1…
11-06 15:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9a051d…
11-06 15:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x487a7c…
11-06 15:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdaae67…
11-06 15:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x10e5dd…
11-06 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb513f2…
11-06 14:55:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdf6d63…
11-06 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x19f612…
11-06 14:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2c3b89…
11-06 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x118db4…
11-06 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1525e8…
11-06 14:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5d05e4…
11-06 14:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf98cf7…
11-06 14:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd581d5…
11-06 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x371b76…
11-06 14:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3bdc6b…
11-06 14:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x892d73…
11-06 14:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe79626…
11-06 05:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x294b2b…
11-06 05:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9426b8…
11-06 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x27e5f9…
11-06 05:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfbed8e…
11-06 05:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6c8c8b…
11-06 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd13b07…
11-06 05:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7ab08f…
11-06 05:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7ce732…
11-06 05:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf0e282…
11-06 05:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x94cbf6…
11-06 05:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe2f3e3…
11-06 05:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x582157…
11-06 04:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x257f7f…
11-06 04:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6c5dc1…
11-06 04:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5bdd1a…
11-06 04:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfba5b8…
11-06 04:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc8c84e…
11-06 04:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9ccdca…
11-06 04:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x66b1eb…
11-06 04:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe29264…
11-06 04:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe90a1e…
11-06 04:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x982e74…
11-06 04:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb88925…
11-06 04:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x473362…
11-06 04:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe4f503…
11-06 04:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe6f642…
11-06 04:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x60660b…
11-06 04:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfe5c90…
11-06 04:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x893334…
11-06 04:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe33fa8…
11-06 03:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff13f7…
11-06 03:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8f9caa…
11-06 03:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x335066…
11-06 03:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeb51ae…
11-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x936f79…
11-06 03:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb2b6ae…
11-06 03:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa4196b…
11-06 03:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcfb90a…
11-06 03:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x984727…
11-06 03:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd78f5f…
11-06 02:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb0f736…
11-06 01:55:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2f2f33…
11-06 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ee109…
11-06 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe25ecf…
11-06 01:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x464a34…
11-06 01:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf7dce3…
11-06 01:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa88c0d…
11-06 01:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8756de…
11-06 01:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd3cf33…
11-06 01:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f567a…
11-06 01:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc4ef5d…
11-06 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1587cc…
11-06 01:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc691f8…
11-06 01:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf5fe03…
11-06 01:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbfe276…
11-06 01:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa59639…
11-06 00:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x769be2…
11-06 00:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x359ca3…
11-06 00:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x77cba9…
11-06 00:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4227d0…
11-05 20:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8725e4…
11-05 20:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5f0082…
11-05 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4b3119…
11-05 20:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x79e601…
11-05 20:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7f69f…
11-05 20:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3f69b7…
11-05 20:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x46e25f…
11-03 13:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x822183…
11-03 13:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd17808…
11-03 13:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x43ed9d…
11-03 13:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d0355…
11-03 06:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2840dd…
11-03 05:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0da281…
11-03 04:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x51ac7f…
11-03 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x623ef4…
11-02 20:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9a34e7…
10-25 09:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb40c49…
10-25 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd7a3da…
10-25 08:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3bbd3b…
10-25 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc527c5…