Musty-Profit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

8,869

Trades

13,544

lifetime

Volume

$36.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 11-03 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 85% -$20

Sports

5% 43% -$116

Other

3% 35% -$9

Politics

2% 48% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 613 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	26	$185	236	63	+173	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$82	05-27 21:46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	17	$170	212	212	+0	Yes	-$5	05-28 04:52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	9	$153	85	105	-20	Joao Fonseca	+$37	05-27 21:04
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)	12	$136	97	120	-23	RCD Mallorca	+$19	05-23 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:30 UTC	3	$126	129	0	+129	Up	+$3	07-26 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$112	116	0	+116	Down	+$4	07-29 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	6	$108	109	4	+105	Up	-$8	08-10 23:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	2	$105	113	0	+113	Down	+$1	07-26 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 22:35 UTC	5	$101	111	0	+111	Up	+$10	07-26 22:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:00 UTC	2	$94	94	0	+94	Down	+$1	08-07 02:15
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	12	$93	169	274	-105	Dplus KIA Challengers	-$2	05-25 06:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$92	78	118	-40	Yes	-$28	05-29 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$90	56	54	+2	Down	-$9	07-29 05:04
cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09	7	$87	57	57	+0	Monte	+$27	06-09 14:00
mlb lad phi 2026 07 21	4	$85	67	67	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	07-22 01:07
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$82	87	0	+87	Up	+$5	08-05 22:19
nhl car las 2026 06 09	14	$81	80	80	+0	Hurricanes	+$1	06-10 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	6	$77	81	0	+81	Down	+$4	07-27 14:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	10	$77	114	152	-38	No	-$2	05-24 19:40
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	14	$71	83	83	+0	New York Yankees	+$1	06-10 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:50 UTC	4	$68	71	0	+71	Up	+$3	08-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$66	69	2	+67	Up	+$1	07-31 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:25 UTC	2	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	07-28 02:29
mlb sea bal 2026 06 10	13	$60	72	51	+21	Baltimore Orioles	-$10	06-10 22:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$59	119	143	-24	No	+$6	05-27 22:42
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$58	36	142	-107	Frances Tiafoe	+$38	05-28 14:04
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	15	$58	105	0	+105	Jakub Mensik	-$12	05-27 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:10 UTC	4	$57	59	0	+59	Down	+$2	07-26 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:05 UTC	3	$56	61	0	+61	Down	+$5	07-26 19:08
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	9	$56	94	0	+94	PARIVISION	-$35	05-27 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 13:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x822183…
11-03 13:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd17808…
11-03 13:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x43ed9d…
11-03 13:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d0355…
11-03 06:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2840dd…
11-03 05:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0da281…
11-03 04:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x51ac7f…
11-03 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x623ef4…
11-02 20:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9a34e7…
10-25 09:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb40c49…
10-25 09:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd7a3da…
10-25 08:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3bbd3b…
10-25 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc527c5…
10-25 08:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x811744…
10-25 07:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbf2627…
10-25 07:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4f31a9…
10-25 07:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x452e49…
10-25 06:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x76ad80…
10-25 06:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc66726…
10-25 06:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa3863f…
10-25 06:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x506674…
10-25 06:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe24d4c…
10-25 05:18:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x668430…
10-25 04:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf46ed9…
10-25 04:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb97aac…
10-25 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0984a5…
10-25 04:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8b4407…
10-25 04:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8be8c1…
10-25 04:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9a9198…
10-25 04:03:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x62cf97…
10-25 03:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4e2189…
10-25 03:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x14135b…
10-25 03:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x835546…
10-25 02:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x698b2e…
10-25 02:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x93d897…
10-25 02:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8acd7d…
10-25 02:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3fe110…
10-25 01:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5cd658…
10-25 01:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe08a2b…
10-25 00:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1407dc…
10-25 00:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc312e…
10-25 00:43:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9ddc82…
10-25 00:38:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x95dcac…
10-25 00:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb9b345…
10-25 00:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x687126…
10-25 00:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x32cf3e…
10-25 00:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x96fd37…
10-24 23:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4d6d4d…
10-24 23:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcbe4f9…
10-24 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x71c826…
10-24 23:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x608543…
10-24 23:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa55f2b…
10-24 22:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x082e60…
10-24 22:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4cb030…
10-24 22:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd2b250…
10-24 22:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf5143a…
10-24 22:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe03b2d…
10-24 22:08:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf989bb…
10-24 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbe5877…
10-24 21:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3303ae…
10-24 20:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfbcaa9…
10-24 20:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2b5c53…
10-24 20:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe87587…
10-24 20:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdcfd68…
10-24 19:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x32bf5c…
10-24 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x15e7cb…
10-24 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xca7a94…
10-24 19:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1f05f1…
10-24 19:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x03eae9…
10-24 18:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x58effe…
10-24 18:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb27b7…
10-24 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xff1a70…
10-24 17:38:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x806b0f…
10-24 16:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xae3a46…
10-24 16:38:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf25954…
10-24 16:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe52e32…
10-24 14:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfdede6…
10-24 13:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0ee673…
10-24 13:23:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x28a55b…
10-24 13:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0ea7d1…
10-24 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4ce30f…
10-24 12:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6907b6…
10-24 12:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbb1c04…
10-24 11:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa5290e…
10-24 11:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2873b3…
10-24 11:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x383bd2…
10-24 11:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x246bcc…
10-24 11:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb50c3a…
10-24 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8cbf4c…
10-24 11:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x319c68…
10-24 10:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbc9fe2…
10-24 10:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa3222b…
10-24 10:03:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7c44dc…
10-24 09:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfd0a30…
10-24 08:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5ab083…
10-24 08:48:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc71a3b…
10-24 08:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6e79fd…
10-24 08:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x887e08…
10-24 08:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1d38e7…
10-24 07:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x471105…