Gummy-Asymmetry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$270

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 09-17 14:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

55% 83% +$35

Politics

19% 40% -$18

Sports

15% 33% -$26

Crypto

11% 75% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	2	$25	17	17	+0	Yes	+$5	05-02 20:47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	09-13 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$20	33	17	+17	No	$0	03-23 11:24
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$15	156	0	+156	No	-$15	06-02 09:14
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?	1	$15	22	0	+22	No	-$15	05-26 11:47
will iran strike turkey in march	2	$13	55	11	+44	No	-$7	03-09 12:15
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	3	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	04-04 17:58
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-22 06:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:35 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-04 13:41
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	1	$10	25	0	+25	No	-$10	03-09 11:20
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	06-02 09:15
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	03-28 09:38
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	+$8	04-12 08:02
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	05-10 18:00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	08-31 06:09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	04-24 09:06
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$10	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	03-18 11:29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	09-17 14:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:00 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	03-05 11:04
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	03-22 08:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 07:45 UTC	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	03-08 07:59
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	-$5	03-28 09:40
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	03-15 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:25 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	03-07 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 14:19:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x939c17…
09-13 16:15:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4d7408…
09-06 16:54:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x125e03…
08-31 06:09:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xafdffc…
06-02 09:15:30	Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfdd5d7…
06-02 09:14:50	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	156	10¢	$15	0x3c708e…
05-26 11:47:18	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x858a5f…
05-10 18:00:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x131d3e…
05-02 20:47:58	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xd54a7e…
05-02 18:50:52	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbe68c8…
04-24 09:06:00	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9802b4…
04-12 08:02:37	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6734ba…
04-04 17:58:49	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x52be77…
04-04 17:41:57	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x784e4a…
04-02 16:46:17	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4763f8…
03-28 09:40:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x79e26a…
03-28 09:38:07	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf08c71…
03-23 11:24:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x9a8b06…
03-22 08:41:25	lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb540ff…
03-22 08:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x54a2ff…
03-22 06:40:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xcbaaa6…
03-18 11:29:51	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3af380…
03-18 07:50:13	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8b5927…
03-16 18:22:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x785728…
03-15 13:44:29	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc61a75…
03-09 12:15:27	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xd5050e…
03-09 11:20:39	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x289208…
03-08 07:59:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x45a23b…
03-07 15:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2a2852…
03-05 11:04:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b3e6d…
03-04 13:41:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x30e2fa…
03-04 13:39:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9db1f4…
03-04 13:37:07	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xe4524a…