Quirky-Cupola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,733

lifetime

Volume

$5.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-12 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 72% +$28

Other

12% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Politics

5% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 616 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	153	$359	394	392	+3	open	—	03-12 03:10
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	34	$307	203	203	+0	open	—	03-12 17:26
eth updown 5m 1774922700	34	$122	342	0	+342	open	—	03-31 02:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$102	76	112	-36	open	—	03-06 12:46
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	18	$100	105	105	+0	open	—	03-11 13:09
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	46	$94	175	175	+0	open	—	03-18 15:03
btc updown 5m 1774971000	10	$85	0	160	-160	open	—	03-31 15:33
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	26	$83	65	65	+0	open	—	03-13 13:53
btc updown 5m 1774970400	15	$82	0	160	-160	open	—	03-31 15:23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	13	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	03-11 09:27
eth updown 5m 1774976400	11	$61	0	117	-117	open	—	03-31 17:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	37	$60	152	152	+0	Yes	$-2	03-14 11:02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	20	$55	77	77	+0	open	—	03-17 01:13
sol updown 5m 1774953900	8	$49	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 10:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	22	$48	62	62	+0	Yes	$-0	03-17 18:27
eth updown 5m 1774977600	11	$48	0	100	-100	open	—	03-31 17:23
fl1 lyo pfc 2026 03 08 lyo	6	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	03-08 12:54
eth updown 5m 1774959300	6	$44	0	92	-92	open	—	03-31 12:17
eth updown 5m 1774971300	8	$43	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 15:39
xrp updown 5m 1774977300	5	$43	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 17:18
eth updown 5m 1774971900	11	$43	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 15:46
btc updown 5m 1774972200	8	$43	0	82	-82	open	—	03-31 15:54
eth updown 5m 1774953300	5	$43	0	60	-60	open	—	03-31 10:39
btc updown 5m 1774971900	9	$42	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 15:47
eth updown 5m 1774957200	6	$42	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 11:44
btc updown 5m 1774977600	8	$41	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 17:23
btc updown 5m 1774971600	4	$41	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 15:41
btc updown 5m 1774960200	9	$41	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 12:29
btc updown 5m 1774977300	5	$40	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 17:16
btc updown 5m 1774954800	8	$40	0	80	-80	open	—	03-31 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:19:10	xrp updown 5m 1781291700	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x990a62…
06-08 12:34:12	xrp updown 5m 1780921800	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1f52da…
06-02 12:29:12	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xead9e9…
05-31 13:54:03	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x76e5bf…
05-31 13:19:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x45c138…
05-14 16:34:13	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf33245…
05-12 13:44:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x182d5b…
05-12 12:29:10	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcc095b…
05-12 12:24:09	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd627d0…
05-12 10:59:07	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x352eab…
05-12 10:19:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2e35cc…
05-11 11:09:03	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7ed7ff…
05-10 16:49:04	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x148007…
05-10 16:24:02	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0cb541…
05-10 14:39:02	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa03b2a…
05-10 14:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc02aa9…
05-10 13:59:10	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfc87ce…
05-10 12:29:04	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd9baa9…
05-09 12:29:03	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcc4b91…
05-08 14:49:02	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x644189…
05-08 14:24:11	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x651431…
05-06 12:44:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x462aea…
05-06 12:34:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x92fcd5…
05-05 11:09:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x94b57c…
05-04 18:59:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0c2d61…
05-04 18:49:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x22ad70…
05-04 17:59:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcf2485…
05-04 17:44:26	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4e6eb0…
05-04 17:24:14	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x641a9c…
05-04 12:04:40	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0f632d…
05-03 18:44:52	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x70b489…
05-03 18:44:38	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe20429…
05-03 12:54:26	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe5fe7a…
05-03 12:54:22	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5316ac…
05-03 11:54:58	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7bbcbe…
05-03 05:14:14	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeaac9b…
05-03 05:09:02	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2d1028…
05-02 15:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x8335cd…
04-20 10:29:44	xrp updown 5m 1776680700	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea760c…
04-20 09:59:20	xrp updown 5m 1776678900	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5eaf3b…
04-19 19:34:04	sol updown 5m 1776627000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbe9617…
04-19 12:49:08	sol updown 5m 1776602700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x223b25…
04-19 09:39:04	sol updown 5m 1776591300	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xb9dc68…
04-19 09:34:18	sol updown 5m 1776591000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa9fefe…
04-19 05:19:40	sol updown 5m 1776575700	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0fd908…
04-19 02:14:06	sol updown 15m 1776564000	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x58aa8e…
04-19 00:29:18	sol updown 5m 1776558300	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x87d00c…
04-18 23:44:18	xrp updown 15m 1776555000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2217f8…
04-18 23:39:04	sol updown 5m 1776555300	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3e325a…
04-18 14:59:06	sol updown 5m 1776524100	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb9c311…
04-18 14:19:30	sol updown 5m 1776521700	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x7ba77c…
04-18 14:19:24	sol updown 5m 1776521700	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3f5941…
04-18 13:14:08	sol updown 5m 1776517800	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x954d7b…
04-18 11:49:08	sol updown 5m 1776512700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x312dcf…
04-18 10:54:18	xrp updown 5m 1776509400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xafbda0…
04-18 09:59:20	sol updown 15m 1776505500	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfecb83…
04-16 03:48:18	btc updown 5m 1776311100	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2dc4ea…
04-04 00:39:13	sol updown 5m 1775262900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0fad7…
04-04 00:39:13	sol updown 5m 1775262900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x94527a…
04-04 00:39:13	eth updown 5m 1775262900	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x51cd64…
04-04 00:39:11	btc updown 5m 1775262900	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfeb716…
04-01 15:09:31	xrp updown 5m 1775055900	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8687e8…
04-01 15:09:27	btc updown 5m 1775055900	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7a5b58…
04-01 14:59:13	xrp updown 5m 1775055300	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x969f2b…
04-01 14:44:59	eth updown 5m 1775054400	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x418043…
04-01 14:19:45	xrp updown 5m 1775052900	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9d2c31…
04-01 14:19:21	sol updown 5m 1775052900	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x7318c6…
04-01 14:14:23	btc updown 5m 1775052600	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x400509…
04-01 12:45:15	eth updown 15m 1775046600	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8cf62a…
04-01 12:34:13	xrp updown 5m 1775046600	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe4658e…
04-01 12:34:13	xrp updown 5m 1775046600	Down	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x2de187…
04-01 12:14:21	sol updown 15m 1775044800	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb5abb7…
04-01 12:09:15	btc updown 5m 1775045100	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf63f58…
04-01 12:09:15	eth updown 5m 1775045100	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xe77073…
04-01 11:59:23	sol updown 5m 1775044500	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xfd03d2…
04-01 11:59:21	btc updown 5m 1775044500	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc4538a…
04-01 11:54:05	eth updown 5m 1775044200	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8227fd…
04-01 11:49:25	btc updown 5m 1775043900	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xf71c72…
04-01 11:45:01	sol updown 5m 1775043600	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x046fc3…
04-01 11:44:59	xrp updown 5m 1775043600	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x03a483…
04-01 11:44:41	btc updown 5m 1775043600	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x6d9be7…
04-01 11:44:39	btc updown 5m 1775043600	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x093d70…
04-01 11:44:05	btc updown 15m 1775043000	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x9afdd9…
04-01 11:34:27	sol updown 5m 1775043000	Down	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xbb38d8…
04-01 11:34:03	eth updown 5m 1775043000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb2ea9c…
04-01 11:29:53	xrp updown 5m 1775042700	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x44e472…
04-01 11:29:53	btc updown 5m 1775042700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3a5a97…
04-01 11:29:51	sol updown 5m 1775042700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2d60f7…
04-01 11:29:17	btc updown 15m 1775042100	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xdafa97…
04-01 11:29:03	eth updown 5m 1775042700	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe8c158…
04-01 11:24:11	btc updown 5m 1775042400	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x6814c5…
04-01 11:09:13	eth updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x71a681…
04-01 11:09:13	eth updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x70b674…
04-01 11:09:11	sol updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x300dea…
04-01 11:09:09	eth updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xdc9a15…
04-01 11:09:07	btc updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x10fa9e…
04-01 11:09:07	btc updown 5m 1775041500	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x086bca…
04-01 11:04:19	btc updown 5m 1775041200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3f293c…
04-01 11:04:19	btc updown 5m 1775041200	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x066deb…
04-01 10:59:09	xrp updown 15m 1775040300	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xcc2ad0…