Tired-Age — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.44K

Unrealized P&L

-$387

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

167

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$62.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$257

Open exposure

$993

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Sports

44% 44% +$1,740

Other

32% 38% -$4,995

Politics

24% 14% -$219

Tech

1% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		-757	-$264	70¢	$-534	-$269	07-06 19:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-2,971	-$341	15¢	$-459	-$118	08-29 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$4.7K	13,403	13,403	+0	open	—	10-18 10:50
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$2.9K	3,028	3,028	+0	open	—	09-08 01:54
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$2.6K	2,210	2,210	+0	Yes	-$376	06-05 19:41
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	4	$2.5K	2,094	2,094	+0	Yes	+$289	07-12 03:16
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$2.5K	5,453	5,453	+0	No	+$483	03-29 21:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	3	$1.6K	1,420	2,177	-757	open	—	07-06 19:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.4K	877	877	+0	Yes	+$374	04-06 11:56
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,263	1,263	+0	Yes	-$38	02-17 15:30
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	4	$1.0K	3,837	0	+3,837	No	-$1,024	05-19 23:16
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	1	$1000	1,923	0	+1,923	Yes	+$923	06-27 15:42
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$937	1,389	1,389	+0	Yes	+$437	05-07 18:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$914	1,891	1,891	+0	open	—	06-30 02:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$892	589	589	+0	Yes	-$8	02-24 17:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$755	1,229	1,229	+0	No	-$151	03-20 15:48
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$743	1,429	1,429	+0	No	-$257	02-12 02:45
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$733	1,385	443	+942	Yes	+$675	06-05 19:42
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	3	$700	1,000	500	+500	Patriots	+$180	01-18 18:55
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$700	2,063	0	+2,063	Yes	+$1,363	05-28 16:18
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	2	$633	385	383	+2	Michigan State Spartans	+$134	03-21 21:09
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$627	794	794	+0	Argentina	-$373	07-07 17:33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$605	1,022	0	+1,022	Yes	+$417	07-19 14:50
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 5pt5	2	$601	402	400	+2	Arizona Wildcats	+$201	03-29 03:12
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	3	$600	2,011	0	+2,011	No	-$600	09-13 16:57
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	3	$595	759	500	+259	Broncos	-$235	01-18 00:25
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	2	$590	500	500	+0	Texans	-$10	01-12 23:14
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	2	$590	409	402	+7	Connecticut Huskies	+$220	04-05 00:46
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$553	1,024	0	+1,024	Argentina	-$553	07-14 21:03
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	2	$552	855	0	+855	Steelers	-$552	01-04 15:47
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	2	$548	400	400	+0	49ers	-$4	01-11 21:23
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	2	$502	303	302	+1	Iowa State Cyclones	+$103	03-22 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:01:52	Spread: Rams (-6.5)	Rams	BUY	306	50¢	$153	0xc567d5…
10-28 16:52:02	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0xa79c1f…
10-28 14:28:11	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	304	51¢	$155	0xb329ed…
10-27 18:37:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	292	48¢	$140	0x999e35…
10-25 19:55:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x0de370…
10-25 19:55:23	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0x78fedc…
10-25 19:54:20	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	156	48¢	$75	0x49e2dd…
10-25 16:57:06	Spread: Bengals (-2.5)	Bengals	BUY	355	55¢	$195	0x834911…
10-25 16:56:02	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	305	55¢	$168	0xc8fc89…
10-18 10:51:33	Cowboys vs. Packers	Cowboys	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x92fdb3…
10-18 10:50:14	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7,518	15¢	$1,161	0x7b6cd2…
10-12 20:51:48	Saints vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	150	49¢	$74	0x9d3835…
10-12 20:51:02	Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)	Jaguars	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x4618bc…
10-12 20:50:30	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	360	57¢	$205	0xe4d91c…
10-12 20:49:53	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0xc7a8fb…
10-11 23:18:20	Spread: Falcons (-2.5)	Falcons	BUY	371	58¢	$215	0x266e00…
10-09 22:54:31	Colts vs. Steelers	Steelers	BUY	371	58¢	$215	0x58f948…
10-05 20:23:59	Spread: Saints (-1.5)	Saints	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xf38351…
10-04 20:01:01	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Lions	BUY	151	51¢	$77	0xc16684…
10-04 20:00:43	Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	Chiefs	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0xbd1c6f…
10-04 19:59:31	Spread: 49ers (-3.5)	Broncos	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x5750d7…
10-03 18:58:11	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xe178f2…
10-03 18:55:27	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,071	17¢	$512	0x34f48d…
10-02 22:21:33	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0xb78940…
10-02 21:26:02	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,815	18¢	$498	0x616b8f…
09-28 21:47:39	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	285	53¢	$151	0xa87a29…
09-28 21:46:17	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0x09755c…
09-28 00:02:21	Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x097622…
09-28 00:01:41	Spread: Saints (-3.5)	Raiders	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x18e95d…
09-28 00:01:29	Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5	Over	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0xba063c…
09-27 16:10:59	Spread: Saints (-3.5)	Raiders	BUY	150	52¢	$78	0xda5209…
09-27 16:10:26	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	306	49¢	$150	0x931d63…
09-26 17:04:39	Spread: Penn State (-10.5)	Penn State	BUY	317	47¢	$150	0x64c705…
09-26 17:04:11	Spread: Mississippi State (-5.5)	Missouri	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x3fa54d…
09-26 16:00:29	Spread: Michigan (-5.5)	Iowa	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xd70e62…
09-25 19:39:47	Spread: Texans (-1.5)	Texans	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xf07713…
09-25 19:37:47	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27 total 42pt5	Under	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x8770cb…
09-25 19:37:08	Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5	Over	BUY	255	49¢	$125	0xdb9d27…
09-24 23:46:17	Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5	Under	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x2e97db…
09-21 00:08:58	Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5	Under	SELL	300	50¢	$150	0x830012…
09-21 00:08:35	Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x6c8aef…
09-21 00:08:07	Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 45.5	Under	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x0c9e56…
09-20 23:45:22	Spread: KC (-5.5)	KC	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x5696e1…
09-19 22:22:15	Packers vs. Jets: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0xda1be0…
09-17 19:46:16	Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Cowboys	BUY	306	60¢	$185	0xcfcf34…
09-16 18:36:31	Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	308	50¢	$154	0x21e0f7…
09-16 18:36:06	Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 48.5	Over	BUY	206	50¢	$103	0x712686…
09-16 16:40:08	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	67	63¢	$42	0xc82911…
09-16 12:35:57	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	66	63¢	$42	0x4d86da…
09-16 12:32:54	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x731d3b…
09-16 08:17:30	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x88cd71…
09-15 03:06:33	Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	308	50¢	$154	0xb8647e…
09-15 00:16:09	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xad460b…
09-15 00:04:52	Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	308	50¢	$154	0xff56ca…
09-13 23:42:22	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xcb697c…
09-13 23:41:12	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x99c85d…
09-13 23:05:36	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	516	44¢	$227	0xb66999…
09-13 20:32:39	Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)	Cowboys	BUY	409	57¢	$233	0x1297ac…
09-13 20:23:31	Spread: Raiders (-2.5)	Raiders	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0x335a40…
09-13 16:57:01	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	BUY	595	8¢	$50	0x181be5…
09-13 16:41:36	Spread: Lions (-6.5)	Lions	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0xe4bcbb…
09-13 16:36:55	Spread: Lions (-6.5)	Lions	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x788f83…
09-12 20:58:06	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Panthers	SELL	161	44¢	$71	0x796320…
09-12 20:57:16	Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	412	51¢	$210	0x894fc0…
09-12 15:59:13	Spread: Texas (-1.5)	Texas	BUY	412	52¢	$214	0xd26e6d…
09-12 15:58:31	Spread: Oklahoma (-4.5)	Oklahoma	BUY	412	52¢	$214	0x5f8fb1…
09-12 14:29:54	Jets vs. Titans: O/U 38.5	Under	BUY	206	49¢	$101	0x67804a…
09-12 14:10:01	Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: Sunderland AFC O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	312	48¢	$150	0x6fe978…
09-12 14:08:49	Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	Hull City AFC	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbc179c…
09-10 20:44:37	Spread: Rams (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	308	51¢	$157	0x390adf…
09-09 21:02:13	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	319	47¢	$150	0x48046e…
09-08 02:02:48	Jets vs. Titans	Jets	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xc6b47e…
09-08 01:59:40	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	411	49¢	$201	0xe1a386…
09-08 01:57:54	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	161	47¢	$75	0x00b684…
09-08 01:57:28	Bills vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x90968c…
09-08 01:54:31	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	3,028	46¢	$1,401	0x992bcc…
09-06 15:39:40	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	221	52¢	$115	0xd50c02…
09-06 15:39:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	518	39¢	$200	0x11eef2…
08-31 18:42:15	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	202	39¢	$79	0x85b235…
08-29 15:37:42	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x2c4835…
08-29 13:54:49	cfb ncst vir 2026 08 29	North Carolina State	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd60dbb…
08-29 13:54:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	966	16¢	$156	0x6c57ca…
08-26 18:15:10	Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	518	13¢	$70	0x7b319d…
08-25 20:10:09	Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	793	13¢	$100	0x57d451…
08-25 20:08:04	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	BUY	1,259	40¢	$500	0x5ed965…
08-18 23:10:57	ufc rpuga ttremb 2026 08 18	Taner Trembley	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x6de171…
08-12 17:33:39	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	3,028	50¢	$1,500	0xf23039…
08-12 17:31:16	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13,403	19¢	$2,500	0x239771…
07-19 14:50:09	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,022	59¢	$605	0x2f6861…
07-14 21:03:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	1,024	54¢	$553	0x6b972a…
07-12 03:16:44	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	SELL	1,847	67¢	$1,245	0xbe93cc…
07-12 01:23:19	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	516	45¢	$232	0x475bdc…
07-07 21:58:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0xc82488…
07-07 17:33:19	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	794	16¢	$127	0x140215…
07-07 17:15:07	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x5c1b03…
07-07 17:14:31	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x45a825…
07-06 22:30:23	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	508	53¢	$269	0x25b0e8…
07-06 19:25:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2,177	42¢	$914	0x84f717…
07-06 18:45:38	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0x2a499e…
07-03 00:48:23	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	526	10¢	$53	0xa4d796…