Excellent-Half — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 07-10 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 75% $-1

Other

32% 20% +$3

Sports

9% 100% +$6

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	3	$494	331	164	+167	open	—	03-14 12:52
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$331	166	166	+0	open	—	03-17 03:04
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$327	164	164	+0	No	$-0	03-07 07:11
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$327	164	164	+0	open	—	03-08 09:34
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$327	164	164	+0	open	—	03-09 03:54
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$327	164	164	+0	open	—	03-12 04:42
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$320	160	160	+0	open	—	03-12 05:09
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$318	159	159	+0	No	$-0	04-05 04:01
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$316	160	160	+0	open	—	03-04 07:23
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$303	153	153	+0	open	—	03-03 09:25
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$292	147	147	+0	open	—	04-08 03:48
Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$257	129	129	+0	open	—	04-24 12:58
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	03-30 08:45
ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 180 199	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	03-27 15:17
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	03-28 04:31
will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	03-29 11:59
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 31	1	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	03-31 12:28
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	1	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	03-24 12:26
will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	1	$171	172	0	+172	open	—	03-22 09:08
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$171	171	0	+171	open	—	03-21 04:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	03-25 12:39
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$167	167	0	+167	open	—	03-13 12:29
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	1	$166	166	0	+166	open	—	03-16 09:15
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on march 17	1	$166	166	0	+166	open	—	03-17 03:11
ethereum above 1700 on march 7	1	$164	164	0	+164	open	—	03-07 07:20
ethereum above 2200 on march 8	1	$164	164	0	+164	open	—	03-08 09:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 9	1	$163	164	0	+164	open	—	03-09 04:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$162	162	0	+162	open	—	03-20 08:56
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	1	$160	160	0	+160	open	—	03-12 05:23
bitcoin above 70k on april 4	1	$158	159	0	+159	open	—	04-04 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 08:36:37	will msft reach 442 50 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x9e1485…
06-30 11:39:14	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xccf7e5…
05-31 07:35:17	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb4c43e…
05-31 07:33:18	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xce42ff…
05-30 12:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x2e0914…
05-30 12:31:12	Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	FaZe	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x049817…
05-28 10:40:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x822dae…
05-27 10:56:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x790f06…
05-26 06:57:02	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x16f5ae…
05-24 11:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4aa40a…
05-23 11:42:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xe5345f…
05-23 11:33:31	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x41378b…
05-20 04:08:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xe6e5e1…
05-20 03:36:23	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojo	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8ec426…
05-19 07:03:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x201d21…
05-17 12:44:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xf7bbe6…
05-16 06:06:06	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xad5774…
05-14 03:56:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xb3a856…
05-12 19:57:17	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0x214932…
05-12 10:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x32cf2b…
05-11 10:27:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x61d7d6…
05-10 11:58:28	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xdd3a9d…
05-10 11:49:54	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0c5a27…
05-09 09:29:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$117	0x5f6602…
05-09 09:07:39	New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xcec628…
05-08 07:41:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x780dd1…
05-07 03:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0x161ffa…
05-07 03:55:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa9424d…
05-07 03:46:15	KBO: NC Dinos vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x61f64e…
05-06 04:26:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc70dca…
05-06 04:05:30	Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Polina Kudermetova	Anastasia Gasanova	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3a5b68…
05-05 03:48:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x56e62b…
05-03 06:29:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x791e76…
05-02 03:41:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x883d5a…
05-01 11:13:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x9473a5…
04-30 07:48:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of April?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x81c436…
04-27 08:51:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xce721d…
04-26 07:01:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xc83f54…
04-26 06:34:14	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x6b4d50…
04-25 12:17:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xcc5643…
04-24 13:02:12	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xb60de5…
04-24 12:58:16	Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xff6b76…
04-24 12:28:46	Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xf3d55a…
04-23 07:40:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xf18fe0…
04-22 04:03:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0xe6254a…
04-19 05:16:10	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xd77eb0…
04-19 05:04:26	Gwangju: August Holmgren vs Yunchaokete Bu	August Holmgren	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xf9510c…
04-17 02:44:34	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0xf0da39…
04-16 11:52:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x205a4f…
04-15 04:03:16	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xcac80f…
04-14 11:59:37	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xaef374…
04-13 05:33:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$2	0xa8648b…
04-13 05:08:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,555	0¢	$3	0xf6a880…
04-13 05:07:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x3950b9…
04-13 05:06:53	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	Yes	BUY	577	0¢	$2	0x16405f…
04-12 11:02:05	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x1879fc…
04-12 10:58:57	mlb pit chc 2026 04 12	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0xe5c561…
04-11 07:27:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xa26ab8…
04-11 07:27:19	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xcfabb7…
04-11 07:26:33	bitcoin above 70k on april 11	No	BUY	1,173	0¢	$4	0x689245…
04-11 07:24:07	atp baena molcan 2026 04 11	Roberto Carballes Baena	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4ad025…
04-10 04:41:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x7aa3cd…
04-09 11:41:21	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x0cf587…
04-08 03:53:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 8	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x5c279a…
04-08 03:48:41	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0xeb2222…
04-08 03:07:55	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x9c168b…
04-07 12:54:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 7	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x6631d0…
04-06 04:56:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$2	0xb1836a…
04-06 04:56:05	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x7152e4…
04-06 04:55:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 6	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x5067b3…
04-06 04:55:07	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$2	0x5f9841…
04-05 04:06:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 5	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x09c0c9…
04-05 04:02:21	nhl stl col 2026 04 05	Avalanche	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x75e09a…
04-05 04:01:47	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x99bdf7…
04-05 03:45:21	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x64b51a…
04-04 09:33:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x2d63d4…
04-04 08:06:59	mlb tb min 2026 04 04	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x08857d…
04-02 11:27:35	ethereum above 1900 on april 2	No	BUY	834	0¢	$3	0x0953ea…
04-02 11:25:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 2	Yes	BUY	670	0¢	$1	0x0e2605…
04-01 07:28:09	ethereum above 1900 on april 1	No	BUY	853	0¢	$3	0x6941a8…
04-01 07:25:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0x7bd75b…
03-31 12:28:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 31	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xa5fda5…
03-31 12:26:23	cricipl pun guj 2026 03 31	Gujarat Titans	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6bb2f5…
03-30 08:45:20	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xc22413…
03-29 11:59:44	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x9d4ae8…
03-28 04:31:03	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xbcda67…
03-27 15:17:49	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 180 199	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x521856…
03-25 12:39:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x4b253c…
03-25 12:31:25	nhl bos buf 2026 03 25	Bruins	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x31e09c…
03-24 12:26:03	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xf1eb0c…
03-22 09:08:09	will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x4eadf4…
03-21 04:22:29	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x4f015a…
03-20 08:56:47	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x634a25…
03-20 08:26:19	cs2 fal2 navi 2026 03 20	Natus Vincere	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8043ee…
03-17 03:11:49	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on march 17	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x8c1314…
03-17 03:04:27	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xf13b28…
03-17 02:46:31	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x56781d…
03-16 09:15:03	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x79b2cf…
03-16 09:14:43	nba gsw was 2026 03 16	Wizards	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xf17098…
03-14 12:52:47	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x642b47…