Irresponsible-Halloween — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

2,189 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$129

$26.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-09 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% -$87

Other

2% 43% -$22

Politics

1% 57% -$133

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:00 UTC	42	$1.2K	2,027	0	+2,027	Down	-$553	01-19 09:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:45 UTC	31	$1.1K	1,428	1,428	+0	Up	+$157	01-19 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	46	$1.1K	1,250	1,249	+1	Up	+$79	01-19 07:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:15 UTC	89	$1.1K	2,040	340	+1,700	Down	+$189	01-19 07:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:30 UTC	50	$996	2,483	0	+2,483	Up	+$184	01-19 08:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 12:15 UTC	23	$733	724	724	+0	Down	+$119	01-19 12:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:00 UTC	62	$722	1,720	0	+1,720	Up	+$138	01-19 07:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 12:45 UTC	46	$697	1,040	520	+520	Down	-$177	01-19 12:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:30 UTC	14	$613	932	0	+932	Up	+$115	01-19 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:15 UTC	5	$612	1,340	0	+1,340	Down	-$2	01-19 06:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:00 UTC	45	$516	1,228	0	+1,228	Up	+$98	01-19 06:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 11:45 UTC	31	$513	1,221	0	+1,221	Down	+$98	01-19 11:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 07:30 UTC	65	$511	1,216	0	+1,216	Up	+$80	01-19 07:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:00 UTC	22	$454	1,080	0	+1,080	Down	+$86	01-19 08:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:45 UTC	27	$433	1,032	0	+1,032	Down	+$83	01-19 05:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 10:45 UTC	9	$433	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	+$82	01-19 10:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 12:30 UTC	8	$420	0	800	-800	Up	+$20	01-19 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:45 UTC	34	$417	994	0	+994	Down	+$80	01-20 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:30 UTC	24	$350	834	0	+834	Up	+$67	01-20 07:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:15 UTC	14	$322	820	0	+820	Up	+$114	01-19 05:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:30 UTC	21	$320	745	0	+745	Down	-$320	01-19 09:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 12:00 UTC	24	$306	729	0	+729	Down	-$306	01-19 12:01
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 10:00 UTC	24	$306	728	0	+728	Up	+$58	01-19 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:15 UTC	32	$295	702	0	+702	Up	+$56	01-20 07:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 05:00 UTC	28	$277	660	0	+660	Down	+$53	01-20 05:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:00 UTC	23	$270	644	0	+644	Down	+$51	01-19 05:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 08:15 UTC	25	$249	594	0	+594	Up	+$48	01-20 08:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 07:00 UTC	19	$248	590	0	+590	Up	+$47	01-20 07:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 17:15 UTC	6	$247	532	0	+532	Up	+$19	01-17 17:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 08:00 UTC	40	$247	589	0	+589	Down	-$247	01-20 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 08:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa2f29c…
09-09 07:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9e5b92…
09-09 07:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfa26c8…
08-31 18:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x356090…
08-31 17:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe5d00b…
08-31 17:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c24cf…
08-30 22:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd02025…
08-30 19:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6ac9f8…
08-30 16:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd25078…
08-30 03:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9bc28d…
08-30 02:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x8bbd18…
08-30 02:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb9498e…
08-29 08:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7be88c…
08-29 08:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x14dfeb…
08-29 08:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xfe7122…
08-29 02:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x85d4f0…
08-28 15:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x4bb9c9…
08-28 15:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x795bc9…
08-28 11:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x69495d…
08-28 11:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x4ff29f…
08-28 08:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce8d88…
08-28 04:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x273586…
08-17 15:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd080c8…
08-17 10:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x974739…
08-17 02:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5dc2d9…
08-17 02:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x05c9a3…
08-16 17:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xf58223…
08-16 17:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcd0291…
08-16 16:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x82d362…
08-16 11:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5dacbf…
08-16 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x82ae1f…
08-16 09:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd8d78c…
08-16 04:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x913725…
08-16 03:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbf616b…
08-16 02:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x577a4c…
08-14 15:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8d5e8a…
08-14 14:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x3eb092…
08-14 14:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe92f08…
08-14 12:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0xc321cb…
08-14 12:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x226f5e…
08-14 12:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd18e50…
08-14 11:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb1bf9f…
08-14 08:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4872a3…
08-14 07:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa4aba7…
08-14 07:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x50fa6a…
08-14 07:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xaffde7…
08-14 02:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd2525c…
08-13 11:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x081415…
08-13 11:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x41e840…
08-13 05:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1580b1…
08-13 02:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x481f30…
08-13 00:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x69bb58…
08-13 00:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x66d3d4…
08-13 00:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x0636dd…
08-12 20:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x012ecb…
08-12 18:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe9c8b9…
08-12 17:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7b9810…
08-12 16:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x3dace9…
08-12 14:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x90826a…
08-12 13:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe84bf8…
08-12 04:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8b653c…
08-12 04:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x658cbb…
08-12 02:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbf2b70…
08-12 02:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6a4935…
08-11 09:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x87aec0…
08-10 20:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe9d6a3…
08-10 10:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe01d21…
08-10 09:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1be3a6…
08-10 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc6ce6b…
08-10 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4bac29…
08-10 08:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x82006d…
08-10 07:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xedaba4…
08-09 23:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x014764…
08-09 20:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x58fef9…
08-09 19:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6b1d4b…
08-07 03:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4d4313…
08-02 03:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xcb3732…
08-01 16:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x87bc71…
08-01 14:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe6a5f4…
08-01 12:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xe564a2…
08-01 11:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xebdc56…
08-01 11:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x8f478c…
08-01 10:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa59aec…
07-31 16:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfe6111…
07-31 15:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x179b6b…
07-31 15:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x4251ce…
07-31 15:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x0c9243…
07-31 15:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x1eaf46…
07-31 15:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x29397a…
07-31 15:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9405ef…
07-30 21:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa46013…
07-25 04:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 25?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4d43ec…
07-24 11:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x90cd8c…
07-24 09:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0d1405…
07-24 06:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2974a5…
07-24 04:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f6151…
07-23 08:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb9f91a…
07-22 17:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x125b43…
07-22 03:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2ea0d6…
07-22 02:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x570653…