Naive-Priesthood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$215

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-27 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 73% +$2

Other

6% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:21
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 01:35
Cagliari: Emilio Nava vs Hubert Hurkacz	5	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$4	112	12	+100	open	—	04-30 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	05-16 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-21 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 02:23
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$3	6	4	+2	open	—	05-16 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 00:46
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmoh	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-01 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-18 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-27 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Down	+$4	05-13 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 22:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x99a0d7…
05-27 21:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa90db1…
05-27 13:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf8adf…
05-27 03:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x450ede…
05-27 01:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc8bcdf…
05-27 01:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc2fecc…
05-23 01:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x123509…
05-21 23:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xddf100…
05-21 23:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe8c0f1…
05-21 23:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x48a1b4…
05-21 23:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x61680f…
05-21 13:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb52712…
05-19 21:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0fcbdf…
05-18 14:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x905cac…
05-18 14:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdef85e…
05-18 14:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x93563b…
05-18 13:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x70814c…
05-18 12:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa45ca3…
05-18 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb5f4d9…
05-18 11:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45afba…
05-18 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xefb090…
05-18 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe31174…
05-18 02:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x0b3a3b…
05-18 02:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a127a…
05-18 02:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd5c525…
05-17 15:22:45	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd243b1…
05-16 23:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61f0dd…
05-16 14:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x1fc723…
05-16 14:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x28c4f3…
05-16 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e6ede…
05-16 14:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xc32014…
05-16 14:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x25f42d…
05-16 14:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x73aa61…
05-16 13:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9c1859…
05-16 13:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xb4dfca…
05-16 13:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0185eb…
05-16 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4bdc79…
05-16 13:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x175205…
05-16 13:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xff7f0d…
05-16 13:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5c6584…
05-16 12:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xec6053…
05-16 12:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3b299…
05-16 03:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd4be3e…
05-16 03:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4e50ec…
05-16 03:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbc0b16…
05-16 03:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ab47d…
05-16 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfdafb9…
05-15 23:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x482741…
05-15 21:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x53741f…
05-15 20:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbd8713…
05-14 15:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x406c28…
05-14 15:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0e29c9…
05-14 14:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x88e6e1…
05-14 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbee27e…
05-14 14:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xdf1d67…
05-14 01:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6c2f03…
05-14 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf831b…
05-13 21:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe133a9…
05-13 19:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9e4527…
05-13 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd85def…
05-13 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x15d5a9…
05-13 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x37d1f4…
05-13 16:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xadaf08…
05-13 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x02650e…
05-13 16:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbcd77a…
05-13 15:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x981213…
05-13 15:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xce7cbc…
05-12 11:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x158d54…
05-11 18:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xe33a2c…
05-11 18:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb29f6a…
05-09 23:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x53430d…
05-08 14:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe5c88b…
05-08 03:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1f301…
05-07 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd54dfa…
05-06 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb0b2e…
05-06 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe8d3e0…
05-06 16:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc43e7…
05-06 14:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x241e7a…
05-06 02:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x33d690…
05-05 02:41:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbfaeae…
05-05 02:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x03171e…
05-05 02:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x824e9c…
05-04 23:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe5259c…
05-04 18:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3dc780…
05-04 18:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca4144…
05-04 17:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfebebe…
05-04 17:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x65845f…
05-04 17:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x73816d…
05-04 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa733e0…
05-04 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4439d3…
05-04 15:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa43b05…
05-04 02:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb4fc39…
05-04 02:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa5e4a7…
05-04 02:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb1e0a4…
05-04 02:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3fcb50…
05-04 02:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x002c63…
05-04 01:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb3153b…
05-04 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf4ce5b…
05-04 01:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4ecc8d…
05-04 01:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x42c881…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	122	$111.8K	4,770	05-27 22:45
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	122	$34.8K	5,906	05-27 22:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	121	$30.0K	5,176	05-27 22:44
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	121	$25.4K	4,578	05-27 22:44
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	120	$33.5K	6,373	05-27 22:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	120	$33.1K	9,728	05-27 22:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	120	$30.8K	9,023	05-27 22:44
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	120	$8.42K	1,070	05-27 22:44