Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

717

Trades

2,397

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-17 04:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 6% -$365

Other

31% 46% +$201

Politics

11% 50% +$71

Sports

6% 20% -$107

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$273	240	240	+0	Yes	+$110	09-11 14:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$185	337	0	+337	Yes	+$152	09-17 04:48
nba orl tor 2026 03 29 spread home 2pt5	1	$100	192	0	+192	Raptors	-$100	03-29 15:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$66	194	0	+194	Yes	+$128	03-29 11:39
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	02-28 06:37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$50	86	0	+86	No	-$50	04-08 03:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$50	77	0	+77	No	-$50	04-08 03:32
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-27 06:40
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	3	$14	12	18	-6	Yes	+$1	02-27 06:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$10	117	0	+117	No	-$10	04-08 03:32
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-27 06:40
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-27 06:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$10	6	5	+1	Yes	+$1	02-27 06:40
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 06:40
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$10	6	5	+1	Yes	$0	02-27 06:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 02:15 UTC	2	$8	18	0	+18	Up	+$1	02-27 02:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$6	135	135	+0	Yes	-$4	02-27 10:43
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$6	83	83	+0	No	-$4	02-27 08:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 04:45 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	02-27 04:57
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$5	38	0	+38	Yes	-$5	02-09 05:46
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt502pt75 in january	1	$5	15	0	+15	Yes	-$5	02-08 14:41
as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	3	$5	36	0	+36	Yes	-$5	02-22 05:39
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	-$5	02-08 10:48
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	02-09 05:46
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$5	17	0	+17	No	+$12	02-10 10:21
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$3	02-08 10:54
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	02-27 06:40
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	02-09 05:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 03:15 UTC	1	$4	9	0	+9	Down	+$5	02-27 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 03:30 UTC	1	$4	9	0	+9	Up	-$4	02-27 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:48:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	337	55¢	$185	0x89fefe…
09-11 14:32:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	240	80¢	$192	0x54606f…
08-25 08:53:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	240	34¢	$81	0xcf6781…
04-08 03:32:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xfef67f…
04-08 03:32:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xe63ea2…
04-08 03:31:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xfcc648…
03-29 15:22:58	nba orl tor 2026 03 29 spread home 2pt5	Magic	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xf3181e…
03-29 11:39:12	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	194	34¢	$66	0x627e40…
02-28 06:37:01	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x3dcd20…
02-27 14:46:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0x574a14…
02-27 14:26:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0xe17f39…
02-27 10:43:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0x2a2c28…
02-27 08:40:03	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x2210ba…
02-27 08:30:17	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd08486…
02-27 08:29:41	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xd704e8…
02-27 06:40:56	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x023b8d…
02-27 06:40:52	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1182a8…
02-27 06:40:46	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xefa742…
02-27 06:40:42	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1175fe…
02-27 06:40:38	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc9df9c…
02-27 06:40:34	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x638845…
02-27 06:40:30	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbe923f…
02-27 06:40:26	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xa99310…
02-27 04:57:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6df525…
02-27 03:30:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xeff428…
02-27 03:15:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x96e0be…
02-27 03:09:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x50137b…
02-27 02:15:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbb5538…
02-27 02:15:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xd68d90…
02-27 02:09:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x346f3a…
02-23 12:07:06	highest temperature in chicago on february 23 2026 26 27f	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xae4b6f…
02-23 09:59:38	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x90d344…
02-23 09:27:16	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5ed222…
02-23 09:26:44	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x75e31e…
02-22 05:39:50	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x8233de…
02-22 04:47:00	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5ac287…
02-22 01:36:46	as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf3feb7…
02-22 00:24:14	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x743c7b…
02-21 08:05:44	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa526ba…
02-21 07:17:28	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbe563e…
02-21 06:54:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xae0cb3…
02-21 06:38:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x40ae7f…
02-21 06:28:54	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xe579a6…
02-21 06:25:40	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x2e6107…
02-21 06:22:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x5d43a9…
02-21 06:18:46	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3837d2…
02-21 06:18:06	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9150b4…
02-21 06:16:52	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8d4316…
02-10 18:18:45	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6806a2…
02-10 10:21:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5197d8…
02-10 10:21:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xaffa18…
02-09 05:46:49	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xce8af5…
02-09 05:46:43	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9339f2…
02-09 05:46:29	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x23c525…
02-09 01:12:43	will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt753pt00 in january	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xd05637…
02-09 01:12:43	will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt753pt00 in january	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x603979…
02-09 01:12:43	will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt753pt00 in january	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x53623c…
02-08 14:41:01	will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt502pt75 in january	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x04cb0c…
02-08 10:54:17	will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa85f37…
02-08 10:48:31	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb3b6a8…
02-08 10:47:19	will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x54037d…
02-08 09:07:11	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcb9780…
02-07 06:51:27	will la mudanza be played at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4fef1c…
02-07 06:39:09	will dkiti be played at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x75c00c…
02-04 11:00:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x55c731…
02-04 11:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x22f95d…
02-04 11:00:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0887e8…
02-04 10:59:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a922d…
02-04 10:42:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5a819c…
02-04 09:45:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xed4caf…
02-04 09:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbf8348…
02-04 09:44:44	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x96fde4…
02-04 09:44:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x59b152…
02-04 09:14:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x72f4e1…
02-04 09:13:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x522976…
02-04 09:11:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcf125e…
02-04 09:11:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc474a3…
02-04 09:00:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x96b948…
02-04 08:59:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xcb12e7…
02-04 08:59:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xca30b5…
02-04 08:58:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9a4a31…
02-04 08:43:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x603363…
02-04 08:43:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfbf380…
02-04 08:42:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc7f0ff…
02-04 08:41:38	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb6128d…
02-04 08:29:26	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xed7a07…
02-04 08:27:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc46640…
02-04 08:27:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4dee12…
02-04 08:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x95df55…
02-04 08:15:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5eaf94…
02-04 08:14:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd7401b…
02-04 08:11:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x268fd8…
02-04 08:10:40	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x51b117…
02-03 22:30:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfb1a50…
02-03 22:30:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb20311…
02-03 22:30:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb00587…
02-03 22:30:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x9bb4ea…
02-03 22:29:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x05cbdc…
02-03 22:29:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3291d7…
02-03 22:29:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd1c042…