Realized P&L
-$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
3,329
Trades
9,239
lifetime
Volume
$37.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$124
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-15
last 11-08 12:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Crypto
88% 51% -$1,208
Other
12% 61% -$161
Politics
1% 52% $0
Sports
0% 67% -$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 1722 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes -25 -$6 65¢ $-16 -$11 09-10 07:42
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -20 -$18 74¢ $-15 +$4 09-10 07:10
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? Yes -15 -$10 94¢ $-14 -$4 09-10 07:41
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes -25 -$8 24¢ $-6 +$2 09-10 07:41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000? Yes -5 -$2 100¢ $-5 -$3 09-11 14:20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 600,000 and 650,000? Yes -5 -$2 99¢ $-5 -$3 09-17 07:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-09 House election by 20%-25%? Yes -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 +$0 11-08 09:10
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -20 -$2 25¢ $-5 -$3 09-16 12:47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%? Yes -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 11-08 09:29
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 15%-20%? Yes -5 -$5 95¢ $-5 $0 11-06 09:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%? Yes -5 -$5 94¢ $-5 $0 11-06 09:45
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000? Yes -5 -$4 92¢ $-5 -$1 11-05 01:47
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-19 House election by 35%-40%? Yes -5 -$1 82¢ $-4 -$3 09-21 20:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $4 81¢ $4 $0 08-30 11:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 0%-3%? Yes -5 -$3 69¢ $-3 -$1 11-06 09:45
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes -25 -$3 13¢ $-3 $0 09-11 14:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5 -$3 65¢ $-3 $0 11-04 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down — +300 $20 1¢ $3 -$17 11-08 13:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 40%-45%? Yes -5 -$1 47¢ $-2 -$1 09-16 13:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? Yes -5 -$1 35¢ $-2 $0 09-26 11:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -5 -$4 34¢ $-2 +$2 09-11 05:55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 34¢ $-2 +$1 08-30 11:24
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes -5 -$3 33¢ $-2 +$1 11-04 12:26
Will a player from the ACC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes -5 -$2 27¢ $-1 +$0 10-25 14:31
Will a player from the Big Ten win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes -5 -$1 24¢ $-1 $0 09-26 15:50
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes -5 -$1 16¢ $-1 $0 09-04 15:05
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? Yes -5 -$1 15¢ $-1 +$1 09-26 15:51
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-07 House election by 5%-10%? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 09-21 20:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 40%-45%? Yes -5 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 09-20 08:26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 25%-30%? Yes -5 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 09-21 19:53