Rectangular-Gingerbread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,932

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 0% $-12

Other

30% 40% +$3

Politics

7% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 20 6pm et	14	$309	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 23:59
spx up or down on january 28 2026	2	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	01-28 21:06
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	35	$279	42,000	32,000	+10,000	open	—	02-20 01:41
ethereum up or down january 20 7pm et	15	$215	400	400	+0	open	—	01-21 00:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	23	$210	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	03-09 22:42
spx up or down on february 20 2026	6	$202	200	200	+0	open	—	02-20 05:55
bitcoin up or down january 20 9pm et	7	$157	220	220	+0	open	—	01-21 02:43
bitcoin up or down january 20 5pm et	6	$137	100	100	+0	open	—	01-20 22:57
ethereum up or down january 20 6pm et	4	$103	60	60	+0	open	—	01-20 23:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	8	$102	6,000	3,000	+3,000	open	—	02-21 03:23
spx up or down on january 27 2026	1	$99	0	100	-100	open	—	01-27 19:27
spx up or down on january 21 2026	2	$98	50	100	-50	open	—	01-21 17:34
spx up or down on january 9 2026	4	$97	100	50	+50	open	—	01-09 19:20
spx up or down on january 15 2026	3	$97	100	50	+50	open	—	01-15 20:53
spx up or down on january 14 2026	3	$96	100	50	+50	open	—	01-14 16:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$96	250	250	+0	open	—	01-30 21:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$93	1,170	970	+200	open	—	03-01 01:03
spx up or down on january 20 2026	5	$92	223	123	+100	open	—	01-20 07:51
bitcoin up or down january 21 11am et	3	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	01-21 17:51
bitcoin up or down january 20 7pm et	2	$85	200	0	+200	open	—	01-21 00:03
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 draw	8	$84	100	50	+50	open	—	01-20 21:20
bitcoin up or down january 21 12am et	3	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	01-21 05:56
bitcoin up or down january 20 1pm et	27	$80	200	0	+200	open	—	01-20 18:16
btc updown 4h 1768798800	2	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	01-19 08:59
spx up or down on january 30 2026	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	01-30 16:25
dota2 liquid ts8 2026 01 30	7	$70	150	100	+50	open	—	01-30 18:58
bitcoin up or down january 20 1am et	6	$69	59	59	+0	open	—	01-20 06:26
ethereum up or down january 20 8pm et	4	$69	200	0	+200	open	—	01-21 01:28
spx up or down on february 4 2026	3	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	02-04 17:29
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	01-21 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 04:53:55	spy closes above 750 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0xc6c47a…
06-09 20:40:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x0faf75…
06-09 20:23:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	375	1¢	$3	0x3c5a59…
06-09 07:24:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	670	2¢	$11	0xd70afb…
06-08 18:39:13	nvda close above 210 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xe7c346…
06-07 20:15:52	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0xc5a723…
06-07 03:46:00	will spy reach 780 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x7d4498…
06-07 03:44:52	will spy reach 790 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	670	6¢	$40	0xea28b9…
06-05 12:01:31	atp molcan sachko 2026 06 05	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x3b65a7…
06-05 10:56:36	atp shimabu majchrz 2026 06 05	Sho Shimabukuro	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x232621…
06-05 01:31:54	will spy reach 765 by june 1 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xee44ab…
06-03 16:47:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x388458…
06-03 05:16:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x536184…
06-03 02:36:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xb8983f…
06-02 18:42:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$12	0x01fa2d…
05-27 03:57:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x5cdde7…
05-25 19:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe87458…
05-25 19:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5c6762…
05-25 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4cb42d…
05-25 10:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x53f49b…
05-25 10:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ec7c8…
05-25 10:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8316ad…
05-25 10:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x115460…
05-25 10:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78bbe0…
05-25 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9374a7…
05-25 10:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xa2e8e9…
05-25 10:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x3c1f07…
05-25 10:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf23fa1…
05-25 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5ad1b3…
05-25 09:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x5f02aa…
05-25 09:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x09621c…
05-25 09:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x22c93d…
05-25 09:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x41402a…
05-25 09:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x253dab…
05-25 09:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x63939c…
05-25 09:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf7111e…
05-25 09:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xec01f5…
05-25 09:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc440d4…
05-25 09:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6669e8…
05-25 09:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x5fdc56…
05-25 09:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xac35c4…
05-25 09:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17d0b7…
05-25 09:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x742921…
05-25 08:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x68e970…
05-25 08:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x2ed0ae…
05-25 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5cab1a…
05-25 08:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x07f4d9…
05-25 08:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1fbf2f…
05-25 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb01725…
05-25 08:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x30373e…
05-25 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5030d2…
05-25 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xe19724…
05-25 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xc18af5…
05-25 08:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8f7c76…
05-25 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf12d77…
05-25 07:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x89635c…
05-25 07:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x13cfd3…
05-25 07:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xb8950c…
05-25 07:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa7d905…
05-25 07:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x877d96…
05-25 07:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8f696…
05-25 07:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa55e7a…
05-25 07:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x05a26d…
05-25 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8156fd…
05-25 06:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a9dba…
05-25 06:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c76d9…
05-25 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x82c778…
05-25 06:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0xac840f…
05-25 06:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5c3d12…
05-25 06:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x05594c…
05-25 06:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33ef95…
05-25 06:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xfc3314…
05-25 06:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1a354d…
05-25 06:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcb99d…
05-25 05:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x8b4aa2…
05-25 05:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xdb523f…
05-25 04:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x04936c…
05-25 04:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8d3f19…
05-25 04:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x878152…
05-25 04:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x0cb021…
05-25 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2a3e44…
05-25 04:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd7d842…
05-25 04:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xcb7153…
05-25 04:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x935dea…
05-25 04:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdd0975…
05-25 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf82e14…
05-25 03:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc20d5f…
05-25 03:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xc9aa5f…
05-25 03:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x89b43c…
05-25 03:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xaf0922…
05-25 03:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xaef0ba…
05-25 03:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe0b322…
05-25 03:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x12d164…
05-25 03:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef226d…
05-25 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc83f92…
05-25 03:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb94a3b…
05-25 03:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77ea5b…
05-25 02:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x1561df…
05-25 02:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x02cb6f…
05-25 02:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7c592…