Coarse-Zebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-01 15:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$8

Crypto

20% 100% +$0

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$104	109	+109	No	+$5	09-05 07:23
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	01-17 11:08
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-25 14:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 100 119	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-25 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	05-19 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	04-30 16:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-19 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-14 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-14 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	07-24 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	07-13 14:26
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	08-12 15:02
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	11-01 15:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-19 14:51
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-12 20:03
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-17 11:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 3?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-02 13:34
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-17 11:12
Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-22 03:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-09 16:00
Will White House post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-22 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on June 27?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-26 12:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 2?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-02 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-17 11:12
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	11-01 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 42°C on June 27?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-26 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 41°C on June 27?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-26 12:42
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	04-20 11:20
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	07-24 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:28:55	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a0c84…
11-01 15:28:25	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x052eb2…
10-14 13:59:06	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x238d04…
10-14 13:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1130d5…
10-14 13:57:50	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x4fc1d4…
09-22 14:07:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x033f01…
09-22 14:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1f7203…
09-22 14:07:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x577358…
09-05 07:23:24	Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0x2ec5df…
09-05 07:21:24	Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa21d85…
08-22 03:26:37	Will White House post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5a902c…
08-22 03:26:33	Will White House post 60-79 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x644eb9…
08-14 08:52:03	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x480cb9…
08-12 20:03:24	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x405160…
08-12 15:03:13	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc62e40…
08-12 15:03:04	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5bd30d…
08-12 15:02:58	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3c326…
08-12 15:02:36	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa30c6b…
07-24 16:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76ae93…
07-24 16:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x897ccb…
07-24 16:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x890d70…
07-24 16:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8e9d3…
07-24 16:04:06	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa02ef4…
07-24 16:03:57	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa75081…
07-13 14:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0fda56…
07-13 14:26:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2455db…
07-13 14:26:50	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x904cc2…
07-13 14:26:41	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a6019…
07-13 14:26:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf94540…
07-13 14:26:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2d76fe…
06-26 12:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 40°C on June 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0fad2e…
06-26 12:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 41°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12c3fa…
06-26 12:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 42°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x88e745…
06-26 12:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 43°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76fda6…
06-17 11:13:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8721f8…
06-17 11:13:07	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57e8ba…
06-17 11:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x681636…
06-17 11:12:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xed78b0…
06-17 11:12:41	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe89c5b…
06-17 11:12:37	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0e674b…
06-02 13:35:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad4298…
06-02 13:35:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb1084c…
06-02 13:35:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa634a6…
06-02 13:35:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5a5185…
06-02 13:35:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2d92db…
06-02 13:35:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f952f…
06-02 13:34:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 4?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x888595…
06-02 13:34:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5fd40f…
05-19 14:51:45	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2f16f7…
05-19 14:51:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x980b89…
05-19 14:51:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x981932…
05-09 18:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04e1d5…
05-09 16:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbfeba5…
05-09 16:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4dbe40…
05-09 16:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on May 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7f6a10…
05-09 16:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x08eccb…
05-09 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x53268a…
05-09 16:00:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b8d47…
04-30 16:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf3e61c…
04-30 16:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa65725…
04-30 16:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe519ab…
04-30 16:08:36	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x135b0c…
04-30 16:07:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b2a3b…
04-30 16:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3d23d4…
04-20 11:20:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x694e0c…
04-20 11:20:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 440 459	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6c56a5…
04-20 11:20:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 120 139	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9ec9a5…
04-20 11:20:18	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x27cedb…
03-25 14:42:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 580plus	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4a19c2…
03-25 14:42:23	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 100 119	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x4877c5…
03-12 13:31:03	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3783a…
03-12 13:30:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e8df6…
03-03 15:20:19	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe06852…
03-03 15:20:11	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x77efaa…
02-11 15:39:51	xrp above 1pt5 on february 11	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9053ac…
02-11 15:39:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 11	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x608dc1…
02-02 15:39:58	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4dd537…
01-17 11:08:36	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x352ed9…