Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

557

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 04-12 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-7

Politics

41% 67% +$2

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$49	54	54	+0	open	—	03-01 02:45
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	5	$43	28	44	-16	open	—	02-26 05:09
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	2	$40	29	29	+0	open	—	02-15 10:35
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	6	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	03-22 03:33
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	5	$27	118	118	+0	open	—	03-26 14:18
will iran strike israel on march 4	6	$24	81	81	+0	open	—	03-05 11:32
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	5	$23	26	26	+0	open	—	03-25 06:17
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	4	$23	32	32	+0	open	—	02-23 03:15
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-25 07:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$22	51	20	+31	open	—	03-21 18:50
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-05 02:50
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game4	3	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-15 11:25
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-19 04:13
will italy win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$21	61	73	-12	open	—	02-20 03:28
lol gen dk 2026 02 14	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-14 12:13
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	02-23 03:15
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	4	$20	36	36	+0	open	—	02-05 03:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$20	14	14	+0	Yes	$-0	04-12 12:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$19	30	30	+0	open	—	03-03 14:26
will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	02-22 05:53
will tisza win at least 120 seats	4	$19	17	17	+0	open	—	04-10 17:02
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$18	70	70	+0	open	—	02-09 13:08
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	03-03 14:21
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	6	$16	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 17:17
nyse trading floor opening delayed monday	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	02-23 13:57
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$16	19	19	+0	open	—	02-08 08:39
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$16	25	25	+0	open	—	02-19 17:03
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-14 03:45
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	03-30 02:19
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$15	23	23	+0	Yes	$-5	03-12 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-12 12:05:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x051ef3…
04-12 12:05:03	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x3c3819…
04-12 12:04:55	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x66d722…
04-12 12:04:51	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0e22e9…
04-12 12:04:45	Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?	No	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x5f8cf8…
04-12 12:04:37	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x75adf1…
04-12 12:03:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x2e7407…
04-12 12:03:25	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xeb2d8e…
04-12 12:03:19	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x646448…
04-12 12:02:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x854a69…
04-12 11:58:41	nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x088434…
04-12 11:58:23	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xdc1fc2…
04-12 11:57:11	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xf609a7…
04-12 11:57:03	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x1076d7…
04-12 11:54:05	Joe Kent charged by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xf5674f…
04-12 11:53:49	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x7700ba…
04-12 09:48:05	will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x77af25…
04-12 09:47:51	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xef5b97…
04-12 03:39:57	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4f698a…
04-11 14:11:25	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xd435ca…
04-11 14:07:41	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e33ee…
04-10 19:02:09	nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb9d242…
04-10 17:02:03	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x7dd417…
04-10 02:56:41	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x7db248…
04-09 22:33:37	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xa9ca70…
04-09 11:38:49	Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf8843d…
04-09 07:23:05	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x27a389…
04-09 01:18:33	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf0c9f6…
04-09 01:17:49	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x41902d…
04-09 01:17:35	will tisza win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0x0432b4…
04-09 00:56:27	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x879486…
04-09 00:55:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xe56487…
04-09 00:42:51	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x23dfe6…
04-09 00:05:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6a4caf…
04-08 03:28:21	Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe2ba9…
04-08 02:42:07	Military action against Iran ends by April 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xe64742…
04-08 02:25:55	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x000544…
04-06 05:09:13	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xe552dc…
04-06 03:35:45	Military action against Iran ends by April 20, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1160c8…
04-05 03:28:49	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfc3367…
04-04 14:17:37	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 4, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc7cc27…
04-04 12:44:51	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfb0378…
04-04 08:00:39	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc984db…
04-04 03:42:31	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xe1af28…
04-04 03:36:09	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3c0583…
04-03 19:16:01	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x1e071b…
04-03 18:38:07	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	1¢	$4	0xc38331…
04-03 12:33:15	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf9a14a…
04-03 02:15:49	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x8b5fe5…
04-03 02:14:15	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x15e878…
04-02 01:43:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x211f71…
04-02 00:17:29	will the dhs shutdown last 52 days or more 416	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$4	0xcaad63…
04-01 13:21:55	will tisza win at least 130 seats	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x66f723…
04-01 13:04:23	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe024a0…
04-01 10:18:31	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$7	0x04ac49…
04-01 03:40:13	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xd661a9…
04-01 02:50:27	will trump dance during easter lunch on april 1	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb3ffec…
03-31 09:19:25	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x97d511…
03-31 02:53:41	will the dhs shutdown last 52 days or more 416	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0d2f20…
03-30 02:45:32	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 30 2026 278	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c4e4b…
03-30 02:44:32	Israeli forces enter Beirut by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xe4461a…
03-30 02:19:46	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x5424f5…
03-30 01:31:40	Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x15e815…
03-29 09:38:54	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x32ff72…
03-29 07:42:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3331a1…
03-29 05:43:14	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x7ae907…
03-29 05:37:04	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xec2c22…
03-29 05:36:02	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xc77c5d…
03-29 05:34:02	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x3d4cc9…
03-29 04:09:36	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa12023…
03-29 03:33:44	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa594f3…
03-29 03:33:42	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5cf472…
03-28 13:00:19	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xbb687c…
03-28 12:50:05	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xf57bd7…
03-28 11:48:37	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8e0a17…
03-28 11:45:03	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x3a75e7…
03-28 11:45:03	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1d0959…
03-28 07:35:35	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x77dcf2…
03-28 06:40:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xecf877…
03-27 16:18:57	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xfde229…
03-27 09:19:31	Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf57df8…
03-27 02:03:27	will tisza win at least 130 seats	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x82c3c5…
03-26 14:20:23	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf5d366…
03-26 14:18:23	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xc93425…
03-26 13:42:15	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x7cdd9c…
03-26 08:31:21	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x18b2dc…
03-26 08:31:03	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xbdeb1d…
03-26 07:53:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeb7612…
03-26 03:50:11	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd2de54…
03-26 02:06:09	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xdb0062…
03-26 01:53:45	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 16c	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0597d7…
03-26 01:36:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f4b07…
03-26 00:12:33	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x34af25…
03-25 19:23:19	Joe Kent charged by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x54ea36…
03-25 14:18:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x080872…
03-25 11:05:35	will tisza win at least 120 seats	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb5a6cf…
03-25 10:55:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x215a8b…
03-25 10:28:23	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x10d462…
03-25 08:34:33	Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb52934…
03-25 08:21:53	Will Iran strike Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf7d541…