Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$213

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

128

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$26.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-24 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

55% 97% -$249

Crypto

45% 100% +$20

Politics

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	2	$645	326	326	+0	No	+$5	06-12 14:24
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	2	$550	551	0	+551	No	+$1	01-05 07:18
bitcoin above 80k on january 3	2	$550	551	0	+551	Yes	+$1	01-03 07:13
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 400 419	1	$550	551	0	+551	No	+$1	01-08 06:42
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 40 64	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	01-16 08:32
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	07-16 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	07-23 06:49
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$330	332	0	+332	No	+$2	09-15 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	1	$330	332	0	+332	No	+$2	07-28 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$330	331	0	+331	No	+$1	08-12 08:54
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$330	331	0	+331	No	+$1	07-31 10:23
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$330	331	0	+331	No	+$1	07-20 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	08-07 07:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	08-04 05:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	08-01 05:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$330	330	0	+330	No	+$0	08-03 06:55
ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	1	$320	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	06-18 08:13
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$320	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	07-14 05:49
ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	1	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	06-14 06:37
ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	1	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	06-15 07:37
bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	1	$320	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	06-24 09:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$310	311	0	+311	No	+$1	05-25 06:02
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	1	$300	312	0	+312	Yes	-$300	01-18 07:48
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 160 179	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	01-10 08:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	04-28 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-12 11:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	05-27 11:27
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	04-16 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-21 10:22
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	06-02 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 04:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x50cfae…
09-15 04:48:10	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	332	99¢	$330	0x49883f…
08-12 08:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0xd9d971…
08-07 07:28:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x2eb2ce…
08-04 05:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xca7c09…
08-03 06:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x6a1616…
08-01 05:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xc11657…
07-31 10:23:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0xc521e4…
07-28 07:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	332	99¢	$330	0x376250…
07-23 06:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x56558b…
07-20 06:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$330	0xcbbaa7…
07-16 06:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x7a28a6…
07-14 05:49:08	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0xec6fbb…
06-24 09:52:04	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x95aba8…
06-18 08:14:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0d12a6…
06-18 08:13:46	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0xa6a90c…
06-15 07:37:16	ethereum above 2000 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x59582d…
06-14 06:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4294da…
06-14 06:37:58	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0xba9a00…
06-12 14:24:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$325	0x967e66…
06-12 08:08:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	326	98¢	$320	0xb7ca8c…
06-09 07:33:55	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x3ff0f2…
06-08 07:45:48	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xf6efa4…
06-05 08:21:03	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xd9b057…
06-03 07:54:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1b8bb…
06-03 07:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xf79022…
06-02 05:18:23	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x35b222…
06-01 05:40:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xce4611…
05-27 11:27:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x576ee1…
05-25 06:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0x8c9a56…
05-21 10:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6f4b04…
05-18 14:50:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x0cc924…
05-17 10:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	308	97¢	$300	0xb2b648…
05-15 09:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x441eba…
05-12 11:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x3a1422…
05-11 11:08:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc06191…
05-10 05:15:34	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3024e6…
05-10 05:15:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5c9e3c…
05-10 05:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc54d27…
05-06 07:47:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x67cba3…
05-06 07:43:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7e4ce8…
04-29 08:49:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x83bb13…
04-28 09:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x5679d2…
04-22 07:43:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xbcdc3d…
04-20 07:41:20	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xc9d52f…
04-17 09:32:36	ethereum above 2700 on april 17	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x50178c…
04-16 09:24:34	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb0a190…
04-13 03:19:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x147ac6…
04-11 07:55:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x4a34aa…
04-08 09:08:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x9e30f5…
04-07 06:15:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb65294…
04-06 05:25:49	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x87f2b0…
04-02 07:29:41	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x59f864…
03-30 08:29:26	highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x751b84…
03-27 11:11:29	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xa5bcff…
03-26 08:54:59	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x5aa75c…
03-26 08:54:15	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 0 39	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x6751f6…
03-23 09:06:45	highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcb97b9…
03-23 09:06:15	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5e14cf…
03-23 09:05:29	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 190 214	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x367a1d…
03-23 09:04:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa24f07…
03-19 10:20:49	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xba6836…
03-18 07:53:43	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xd85313…
03-13 05:42:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xfce565…
03-13 05:42:09	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x6f32d6…
03-12 08:34:05	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x65f2da…
03-12 08:33:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x2f4952…
03-10 09:46:09	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	No	BUY	288	99¢	$285	0xd800ca…
03-09 12:26:47	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xea0d8f…
03-08 06:57:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 240 259	No	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xe9a86c…
03-06 08:20:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 6	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x158209…
03-05 09:26:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 5	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xe565c0…
03-04 08:00:45	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0xcb119f…
03-03 10:57:33	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0xd47c5a…
03-02 08:15:11	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 160 179	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x3265a8…
03-01 04:50:53	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1d463…
03-01 04:50:43	will israel strike lebanon on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc4d5d…
03-01 04:50:21	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x8347b7…
02-27 07:13:49	ethereum above 1800 on february 27	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb7557e…
02-27 07:13:19	bitcoin above 74k on february 27	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48b04d…
02-27 07:12:53	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 140 159	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde7484…
02-27 07:11:45	solana above 100 on february 27	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3fb29c…
02-26 07:07:52	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9b893e…
02-26 07:07:12	bitcoin above 60k on february 26	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x2b136c…
02-26 07:07:04	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3f3222…
02-15 06:56:17	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x888a61…
02-13 12:18:35	bitcoin above 72k on february 13	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x5afa35…
02-12 10:27:41	highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 11c	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x764106…
02-12 10:27:19	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xdde6bc…
02-08 07:54:09	ethereum above 2500 on february 8	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x08623d…
02-05 08:13:11	solana above 70 on february 5	Yes	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x369ee7…
02-05 08:12:49	will israel strike gaza on february 3 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5315e7…
02-04 09:59:14	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 165 189	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x6b37b0…
02-03 06:52:16	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x5fd4f6…
02-02 05:59:20	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 40 64	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x80ceda…
01-31 05:51:44	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0xdfd5a5…
01-30 08:39:10	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x4f92ce…
01-30 08:39:00	bitcoin up or down on january 30	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0e5e7c…
01-27 08:39:15	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 215 239	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x808a74…
01-27 08:36:07	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 480 499	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xb718e0…