Will the highest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$726
$830 in 24h
Trades
53
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$4,943
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 13:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $46 | $46 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $2 | $678 | $677 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $72 | $72 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $261 | $261 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $342 | $340 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $16 | $16 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasty-Producer 0xa493…1b55 | Yes | +300 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:56 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +223 | $221 | $221 | 1 | 05-08 07:38 |
| Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-10 11:50 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 7 | 05-10 02:40 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 11:16 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-10 10:28 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-10 12:15 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-09 23:49 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 20:08 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-10 12:46 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 06:16 |
| Prime-Stallion 0x01f0…59f2 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:36 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 06:16 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:53 |
| Pink-Herring 0xda6d…0d48 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 09:57 |
| Unlined-Parable 0x669d…05f5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Comfortable-Shaker 0x3779…9187 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:14 |
| Babyish-Allowance 0x66ff…7faf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 13:01:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x829635… |
| 05-10 13:00:46 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f1198… |
| 05-10 12:57:29 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x784fd1… |
| 05-10 12:46:04 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2b50d6… |
| 05-10 12:15:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x190dbc… |
| 05-10 12:15:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64257f… |
| 05-10 12:15:43 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5268fa… |
| 05-10 12:12:27 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x4c74a8… |
| 05-10 11:50:53 | Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xf5fddd… |
| 05-10 11:16:30 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xc1fe1c… |
| 05-10 10:56:19 | Tasty-Producer 0xa493…1b55 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x074d92… |
| 05-10 10:28:14 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x02714e… |
| 05-10 09:57:19 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xdef955… |
| 05-10 09:57:08 | Pink-Herring 0xda6d…0d48 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0503ac… |
| 05-10 08:36:40 | Prime-Stallion 0x01f0…59f2 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb91d9f… |
| 05-10 07:53:48 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xd576ab… |
| 05-10 07:32:23 | Unlined-Parable 0x669d…05f5 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xac3e80… |
| 05-10 07:14:13 | Comfortable-Shaker 0x3779…9187 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1e7116… |
| 05-10 06:16:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b1e32… |
| 05-10 06:16:31 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xb71eac… |
| 05-10 06:16:28 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x48e620… |
| 05-10 05:27:56 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d5b5c… |
| 05-10 05:27:56 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70b5f8… |
| 05-10 05:27:56 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4cab0… |
| 05-10 05:27:56 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2dc31… |
| 05-10 05:06:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x395a51… |
| 05-10 04:51:53 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x1452ce… |
| 05-10 04:22:29 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x63a0d5… |
| 05-10 03:55:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x187a2c… |
| 05-10 03:48:53 | Babyish-Allowance 0x66ff…7faf | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x651c26… |
| 05-10 03:23:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6afd0… |
| 05-10 03:22:03 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c8ae0… |
| 05-10 03:21:58 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa07639… |
| 05-10 03:21:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38f1a4… |
| 05-10 03:21:37 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04c1fc… |
| 05-10 03:21:37 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad3b63… |
| 05-10 02:40:34 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x9378ad… |
| 05-10 02:37:10 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe7fbae… |
| 05-10 02:33:45 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xdbe334… |
| 05-10 02:30:22 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xf6b932… |
| 05-10 02:26:57 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe3f09c… |
| 05-10 02:20:08 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa919ab… |
| 05-10 02:16:43 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xd71c74… |
| 05-09 23:49:59 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfc4b65… |
| 05-09 20:08:34 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x59f848… |
| 05-09 16:09:49 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xd3a3df… |
| 05-09 12:23:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15cac0… |
| 05-09 12:23:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe17820… |
| 05-09 12:23:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f3cc0… |
| 05-09 12:23:34 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xb2fac2… |
| 05-08 07:38:22 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 223 | 99¢ | $221 | 0x7975e4… |
| 05-08 04:43:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc915ea… |
| 05-08 04:43:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0361f1… |