Trusting-Down — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

12,916

lifetime

Volume

$137.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-19 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

80% — —

Crypto

14% 84% +$3

Politics

6% 100% +$79

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 451 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	28	$2.0K	1,030	1,012	+18	open	—	03-25 21:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	13	$1.8K	900	900	+0	open	—	02-24 11:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	20	$1.4K	1,010	1,010	+0	Yes	+$73	04-10 17:32
highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 68 69f	9	$1.1K	733	417	+317	open	—	04-14 20:41
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	22	$746	396	396	+0	open	—	02-09 15:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$604	615	0	+615	open	—	02-28 19:20
bitcoin up or down on january 12	117	$568	1,122	0	+1,122	open	—	01-12 15:52
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 21corbelow	3	$509	510	0	+510	open	—	04-22 08:29
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 215 239	5	$509	510	0	+510	open	—	02-27 21:25
will the price of solana be between 140 150 on january 8	5	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	01-08 17:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 420 439	4	$498	500	0	+500	open	—	02-24 09:28
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 580plus	4	$473	485	0	+485	open	—	02-18 09:04
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	4	$470	471	0	+471	open	—	02-20 15:18
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 82 83f	71	$460	460	0	+460	open	—	04-20 20:12
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	9	$449	250	230	+20	open	—	01-09 16:47
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	3	$430	431	0	+431	open	—	02-27 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 29?	11	$428	428	0	+428	open	—	04-28 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$402	208	208	+0	open	—	04-07 21:06
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 12	4	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 22:19
bitcoin above 82k on january 9	4	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	01-09 16:34
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	10	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	02-12 04:36
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	5	$398	400	0	+400	open	—	03-11 05:21
xrp above 1pt8 on february 2	9	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	02-02 14:15
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	3	$397	400	0	+400	open	—	02-24 15:44
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 80 81f	1	$375	375	0	+375	open	—	04-20 19:04
highest temperature in seoul on april 18 2026 11corbelow	60	$360	360	0	+360	open	—	04-17 20:23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	22	$359	360	0	+360	open	—	04-27 14:54
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 240 259	4	$337	340	0	+340	open	—	02-25 22:14
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	7	$333	340	0	+340	open	—	02-25 09:34
ethereum above 2600 on february 2	3	$332	134	200	-66	open	—	02-02 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 11:56:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x2365a6…
05-19 05:20:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87a6be…
05-19 04:56:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x431b86…
05-18 23:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x540f93…
05-18 21:38:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x351e71…
05-18 21:02:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9936e8…
05-18 20:53:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6e4e7b…
05-18 20:35:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53a325…
05-18 20:35:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1871b1…
05-14 16:59:06	XRP Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa0160a…
05-14 16:12:14	Solana Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1a4d18…
05-14 16:08:09	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x29a9bf…
05-14 16:08:05	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c0d23…
05-14 16:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x22d27c…
05-14 16:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x548493…
05-14 16:02:03	Solana Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfb29e1…
05-14 16:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf2f9b9…
05-14 15:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb86695…
05-14 14:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe984d8…
05-14 10:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x10b432…
05-14 10:18:19	XRP Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb0a0d…
05-14 10:14:42	Solana Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc81a62…
05-14 10:12:33	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xacfc93…
05-14 10:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2779bc…
05-14 09:59:52	Solana Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0678b0…
05-13 07:39:23	Solana Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x6a7a65…
05-13 07:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x23e9b4…
05-12 16:00:35	Solana Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeaea1a…
05-12 12:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf1cf79…
05-08 17:19:13	XRP Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9da011…
05-08 17:07:05	Solana Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb6275a…
05-08 17:07:05	Solana Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xa6305e…
05-08 17:05:46	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0x87f0be…
05-08 16:45:53	Solana Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x69bc93…
05-08 16:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0x20c332…
05-08 16:02:17	XRP Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x3c0d70…
05-08 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9718fa…
05-08 16:01:40	Solana Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbb6d72…
05-08 16:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xc8ce1c…
05-08 15:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x8bf1ff…
05-08 15:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x789735…
05-08 15:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x716370…
05-08 15:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xcd156d…
05-08 14:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x2860f8…
05-08 13:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x6211ca…
05-08 12:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$9	0xc76c4a…
05-08 11:20:32	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06f89c…
05-08 09:26:49	XRP Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x96fb93…
05-08 00:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4d4fab…
05-08 00:06:12	Solana Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8505ce…
05-07 20:56:07	Solana Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x57d40d…
05-07 20:54:36	XRP Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe2532c…
05-07 20:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x630bdc…
05-07 20:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4f2041…
05-07 18:00:50	XRP Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1e0709…
05-07 17:26:49	Solana Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5cfb07…
05-07 17:18:36	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x466177…
05-07 17:12:14	XRP Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcfc068…
05-07 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8bbc94…
05-07 16:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc34d0f…
05-07 16:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x676cd7…
05-07 16:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x721cbd…
05-07 16:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4e6b06…
05-07 16:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x1514bd…
05-07 16:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x40444a…
05-07 16:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf98a4c…
05-07 16:34:25	Solana Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6c1c08…
05-07 16:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb8decd…
05-07 16:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc00da5…
05-07 16:27:33	XRP Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11597d…
05-07 16:23:16	Solana Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x74bed1…
05-07 16:19:18	Solana Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x723652…
05-07 16:12:06	XRP Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf481cf…
05-07 16:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f9f7c…
05-07 14:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9c72d3…
05-07 14:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe547a1…
05-07 13:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbf32c9…
05-06 16:29:17	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa451f0…
05-06 16:10:46	Solana Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x9eeec1…
05-06 16:10:20	Solana Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x383894…
05-06 16:09:26	XRP Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xceba55…
05-06 16:05:05	Ethereum Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x07f1ce…
05-06 16:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6e35f…
05-06 15:51:33	Solana Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7cb46a…
05-06 15:50:58	XRP Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69890e…
05-06 14:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd77a30…
05-05 09:05:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fce9c…
05-05 09:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x90e309…
05-05 09:04:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8081fd…
05-05 09:04:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1ed811…
05-05 09:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95b630…
05-05 09:04:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x167a67…
05-05 09:03:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd9f1f4…
05-05 09:03:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4d6a20…
05-05 09:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf0ab98…
05-04 16:22:54	Solana Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc7f5ff…
05-04 16:22:08	XRP Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd67f53…
05-04 16:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5a6e5c…
05-04 16:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x035f9e…
05-04 16:08:04	XRP Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8df1ae…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	886	$503	4,696	05-13 22:03
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	617	$54.0K	59,270	04-26 07:01
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	571	$76.5K	9,190	04-28 05:25
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	568	$45.4K	4,537	04-26 23:40
Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0	548	$36.3K	1,241	04-27 18:38
(anonymous) 0x229c…b966	453	$547	2,121	04-17 04:26
Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44	446	$568	6,730	05-04 10:50
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	427	$31.7K	8,423	04-09 19:44