Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 10?
open
Total volume
$1,055
$1,752 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$6,246
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 11:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $0 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 11 | — | $949 | $949 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $24 | $24 |
| unranked | 5 | $0 | $18 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | +712 | $711 | $711 | 2 | 05-09 19:32 |
| Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Rusty-Tiger 0xb6d3…bc0a | Yes | +105 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 07:07 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-09 19:32 |
| Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-09 13:13 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 12:29 |
| Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 07:29 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 08:21 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-10 11:20 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-08 06:29 |
| Admired-Dead 0x707e…7c09 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 02:50 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 11:15 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 04:38 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:31 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 10:09 |
| Milky-Impulse 0x1fe9…69b8 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 04:37 |
| Hard-Musculature 0x83f6…a14a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Jumbo-Cyclooxygenase 0x47e3…97ca | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Red-Modem 0xb00e…2245 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 07:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:56:08 | Incredible-Tweezers 0xc576…3f04 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0xcbf1f5… |
| 05-10 11:20:47 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x284e87… |
| 05-10 11:15:34 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0af2dd… |
| 05-10 08:21:30 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x87064e… |
| 05-10 07:07:39 | Rusty-Tiger 0xb6d3…bc0a | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6fa06… |
| 05-10 02:50:28 | Admired-Dead 0x707e…7c09 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x27757a… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb263b0… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffa44a… |
| 05-09 19:32:45 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 686 | 100¢ | $685 | 0xcdd8e0… |
| 05-09 19:32:35 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xc22ba9… |
| 05-09 19:32:24 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x712318… |
| 05-09 19:17:55 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe483e0… |
| 05-09 13:13:20 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x5fea45… |
| 05-09 10:09:43 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe51130… |
| 05-09 09:30:16 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x576beb… |
| 05-09 07:24:56 | Red-Modem 0xb00e…2245 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbe44ea… |
| 05-09 07:24:45 | Jumbo-Cyclooxygenase 0x47e3…97ca | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0d2615… |
| 05-09 07:24:35 | Hard-Musculature 0x83f6…a14a | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7fa7a5… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfaf81a… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x661a1e… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd32a61… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcbdf8f… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd04805… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e2e54… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa15e08… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae12c2… |
| 05-08 12:29:38 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xd095a1… |
| 05-08 07:29:39 | Hungry-Finance-Brief 0xdbf2…e987 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xbb27e3… |
| 05-08 06:29:53 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xf829b9… |
| 05-08 04:39:16 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x03c91e… |
| 05-08 04:38:28 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x702256… |
| 05-08 04:37:43 | Milky-Impulse 0x1fe9…69b8 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x21fcb4… |