Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$853
$54 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$466
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 23:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $0 | $810 | $810 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Median | 11 | — | $690 | $690 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | $125 | $125 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +310 | $305 | $305 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | +194 | $194 | $194 | 19 | 05-16 20:32 |
| Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 08:11 |
| Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | +99 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-14 20:43 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +34 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-16 23:57 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-16 13:35 |
| Untrue-Service 0xeb8a…ed2b | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-15 10:15 |
| Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 10:31 |
| Blond-Restriction 0x3680…f087 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-16 11:01 |
| Half-Currant 0x42e6…386b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 12:34 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 11:46 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 10:19 |
| Svelte-Carotene 0x1243…37ee | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 21:07 |
| Faithful-Mousse 0x3c98…d2d1 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 21:07 |
| Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 10:30 |
| Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 09:30 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 10:31 |
| Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 09:06 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 15:19 |
| Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 23:57:28 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15cb66… |
| 05-16 23:02:19 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x00d8d4… |
| 05-16 22:33:30 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x87302a… |
| 05-16 22:12:34 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee8947… |
| 05-16 21:12:09 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04cc6f… |
| 05-16 21:07:21 | Svelte-Carotene 0x1243…37ee | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7c285… |
| 05-16 21:07:19 | Faithful-Mousse 0x3c98…d2d1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b826e… |
| 05-16 20:32:24 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xda3dac… |
| 05-16 20:32:22 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x4d0d2a… |
| 05-16 20:32:21 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xb86c21… |
| 05-16 20:32:19 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x754efe… |
| 05-16 20:32:17 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x07b9c9… |
| 05-16 20:32:17 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x9744e5… |
| 05-16 20:32:15 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x23cfa7… |
| 05-16 20:32:14 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xa367fa… |
| 05-16 19:55:01 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa746da… |
| 05-16 19:54:59 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xa7426f… |
| 05-16 19:54:57 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8c2846… |
| 05-16 19:54:57 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd46f54… |
| 05-16 19:54:55 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xac8d49… |
| 05-16 19:54:54 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe0a9f0… |
| 05-16 19:54:52 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe77076… |
| 05-16 19:52:16 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x53777e… |
| 05-16 19:52:14 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe7c674… |
| 05-16 19:51:53 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x3922f0… |
| 05-16 19:51:53 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd36bbc… |
| 05-16 18:55:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1ad3c… |
| 05-16 17:28:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe69743… |
| 05-16 16:58:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb1c7b… |
| 05-16 16:09:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb46373… |
| 05-16 15:19:30 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0eed36… |
| 05-16 15:14:29 | Sugary-Pier 0xf148…f863 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6969b… |
| 05-16 15:11:52 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54161b… |
| 05-16 15:11:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8dd7dd… |
| 05-16 13:35:56 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x9736fd… |
| 05-16 13:24:58 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d0157… |
| 05-16 11:01:00 | Blond-Restriction 0x3680…f087 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xdc2814… |
| 05-16 10:31:29 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x57d0fa… |
| 05-16 10:31:25 | Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe1fc72… |
| 05-16 10:30:45 | Mundane-Currency 0x5451…6f23 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeabbdc… |
| 05-16 09:30:24 | Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc20580… |
| 05-16 09:06:21 | Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4e746a… |
| 05-16 08:11:36 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x82aab7… |
| 05-16 03:31:08 | Torn-Trick 0x938d…8674 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xad7898… |
| 05-16 03:30:57 | Torn-Trick 0x938d…8674 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7bf9fb… |
| 05-16 01:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xe536…c8e0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b4944… |
| 05-16 01:20:56 | Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x453f8a… |
| 05-15 23:04:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1607d2… |
| 05-15 23:04:00 | (anonymous) 0xe536…c8e0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9aad3b… |
| 05-15 21:58:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe71356… |
| 05-15 12:34:36 | Half-Currant 0x42e6…386b | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x75040f… |
| 05-15 11:46:53 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2c9ef6… |
| 05-15 10:15:43 | Untrue-Service 0xeb8a…ed2b | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xaa77f3… |
| 05-14 20:43:17 | Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x467acd… |
| 05-14 10:19:07 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x8255cc… |
| 05-14 06:26:30 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 310 | 98¢ | $305 | 0xc9bb4b… |
| 05-14 04:29:07 | Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbcdd5a… |